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Newcastle vs Liverpool prediction 23.08.2026 | Premier League

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Kick off:

Date:

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

4.00

X

3.70

2

1.90

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Sunday, 23rd Augusts 2026
  • Kickoff: 16:30 UK / 17:30 CEST
  • Venue: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Probably the Premier League's opening-round derby will be on Sunday afternoon, when Newcastle United will welcome Liverpool. Many don't see the team from St. James' Park as one of the top teams anymore, but can they take points from Liverpool? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Newcastle United vs Liverpool Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Liverpool

    4 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    2 : 3

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  3. Liverpool

    1 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Carabao Cup

  4. Liverpool

    2 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  5. Newcastle United

    3 : 3

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  6. Liverpool

    4 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

The extent of Liverpool's dominance over Newcastle is quite surprising, as they have won 10 of the last 11 H2H matches. On the other hand, the team from St. James' Park has triumphed only once since 2015. The most recent meeting was in January, when Liverpool won 4-1 at Anfield. 

Newcastle United

Newcastle team overview

After a couple of solid seasons, the previous one was nowhere near the desired level for Newcastle, as they finished as a mid-table side. Most pundits don't see them in a better position than that heading into the upcoming year, especially after recent transfers and preseason struggles. Newcastle won only twice in seven friendly matches this summer. In the most recent outing, they lost after penalties against Strasbourg. That was the third defeat in a row for Matthias Jaissle's team. 

Newcastle have big problems in defense. They conceded 11 goals in the last five friendly matches. It is obvious Newcastle need reinforcements, and we should expect them to sign more defenders in the rest of the transfer window. 

Newcastle made big changes this summer. The most significant is the departure of manager Eddie Howe and the appointment of Matthias Jaissle. Also, the team left Anthony Gordon, Bruno Guimaraes, and Sandro Tonali, three players who were among the best last season. On the other hand, the most expensive Newcastle addition is Bazoumana Toure from Hoffenheim. Other signings are Amar Dedic (Benfica), Aladji Bamba (Monaco), Lukas Hornicek (Braga), Sean Steur (Ajax), and Ewen Jaouen (Reims). 

Newcastle will be without Joelinton and Valentino Livramento in Sunday's game. 

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Newcastle United

    2 : 3

    Strasbourg

    Club Friendlies 3

  2. Newcastle United

    1 : 2

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Club Friendlies 3

  3. Newcastle United

    1 : 3

    Everton

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Valencia

    1 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Bristol City

    4 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Club Friendlies 3

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 21

    Lukas Hornicek

Defenders

  • 37

    Amar Dedic

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 4

    Sven Botman

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 41

    Jacob Ramsey

  • 11

    Harvey Barnes

  • 8

    Aladji Bamba

Forwards

  • 19

    Anthony Elanga

  • 27

    Nick Woltemade

  • 9

    Yoane Wissa

Liverpool

Liverpool team overview

Liverpool are heading into the 2026/27 season with the highest ambitions. Last year, they finished fifth in the Premier League and surely expect more in the upcoming campaign. Liverpool's preseason was solid, with only two defeats in six matches. In the previous game, they won 2-0 against Como. 

Liverpool changed the head coach, too, this summer. After Arne Slot finished his tenure, Andoni Iraola, who made big successes with Bournemouth, will get the chance at the highest level. Also, the Reds left Mohamed Salah, Andrew Robertson, and Ibrahima Konate. As replacements, they have Victor Munoz (from Osasuna), Jeremy Jacquet (Rennes), and Ronald Araujo (on loan from Barcelona). 

The Reds have big problems with missing players. They will be without Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike, Joe Gomez, Jayden Danns, Curtis Jones, and Giovanni Leoni on Sunday in Newcastle. 

Last matches of Liverpool

  1. Liverpool

    2 : 0

    Como

    Club Friendlies 1

  2. Liverpool

    0 : 0

    Como

    Club Friendlies 1

  3. Liverpool

    2 : 3

    Monaco

    Club Friendlies 1

  4. Liverpool

    2 : 4

    Leeds United

    Club Friendlies 1

  5. Liverpool

    1 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

Liverpool lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Alisson

Defenders

  • 30

    Jeremie Frimpong

  • 4

    Virgil van Dijk

  • 33

    Ronald Araujo

  • 6

    Milos Kerkez

Midfielders

  • 38

    Ryan Gravenberch

  • 8

    Dominik Szoboszlai

  • 10

    Alexis Mac Allister

Forwards

  • 7

    Florian Wirtz

  • 9

    Alexander Isak

  • 18

    Cody Gakpo

Prediction

Newcastle lost the last three matches in a row. On the other hand, Liverpool lost only twice in six friendlies this summer. Also, the Reds won 10 of the previous 11 H2H games against their next opponent. We should expect Liverpool to continue their dominance over Newcastle and win on Sunday afternoon at St. James' Park. 

3 Reasons why Liverpool should win against Newcastle

  1. Newcastle lost the last three matches in a row
  2. Newcastle conceded six goals in the previous three preseason games
  3. Liverpool won 10 of the last 11 H2H matches against Newcastle

Main prediction Newcastle United - Liverpool

Liverpool to win

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.93

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Newcastle United vs Liverpool standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 3 - 0 +3 3
2 Tottenham Hotspur 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Liverpool 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Manchester City 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
5 Fulham 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
6 Everton 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
7 Manchester United 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
8 Aston Villa 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
9 Chelsea 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
10 Newcastle United 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
11 Hull City 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
12 Crystal Palace 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
13 AFC Bournemouth 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
14 Nottingham Forest 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
15 Leeds United 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
16 Brighton & Hove Albion 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
17 Ipswich Town 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
18 Brentford 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
19 Sunderland 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
20 Coventry City 1 0 0 1 0 - 3 -3 0

Newcastle vs Liverpool – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much was the average xG for Newcastle last season?

The average xG for Newcastle in the Premier League last season was 1.54.

? How much was the average xG for Liverpool last season?

The average xG for Liverpool in the Premier League last season was 1.73.