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Toulouse vs Lyon prediction 22.08.2026 | Ligue 1

Toulouse

Toulouse

Kick off:

Date:

Lyon

Lyon

1

2.94

X

3.68

2

2.48

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: 22nd August 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stadium de Toulouse

Ligue 1 drama returns to Occitanie. Toulouse prepares for this one on the back of an erratic summer, welcoming a dangerous Lyon side to town this Saturday. The hosts face a tricky mental hurdle. While they pulled off a brilliant league double over Les Gones last season, their current backline is a complete sieve. I watched their pre-season matches crumble into a chaotic mess, leaking seven goals in just four games. It was frustrating to watch. Lyon’s lethal new weapon Loïs Openda will absolutely feast on those wide-open spaces. Expect goals. Let’s dive straight into the metrics.

Toulouse vs Lyon Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Toulouse

    2 : 1

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  2. Lyon

    1 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  3. Lyon

    0 : 0

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  4. Toulouse

    1 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  5. Toulouse

    2 : 3

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  6. Lyon

    3 : 0

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

The historical scales heavily favor Lyon, but Toulouse completely shattered that dominance last season. Les Gones brag six wins from their last 10 meetings. However, the Violets turned the tide by snatching a rare league double last term. I don't see a boring stalemate happening here. Expect absolute fireworks from two sides that historically clear the over 2.5 goals line whenever they clash.

Toulouse

Toulouse team overview

Toulouse enters this one on the back of a solid, building-block campaign where they locked down a respectable 9th-place finish with 45 points last season.

The Violets showed immense tactical discipline, wrapping things up with an encouraging four-match unbeaten run including a 2-1 win over Lyon at this ground.

However, Jens Berthel Askou’s men struggled deeply with defensive stability throughout that period, ending the prior campaign with just one clean sheet in eight matches before shipping seven goals across four summer friendlies.

Honestly, it’s frustrating how easily their backline gets exposed now. On home soil, the squad did prove tough to break down last term, closing out their stadium schedule by avoiding defeat in four of their final six home encounters.

Yann Gboho remains the critical element here after spearheading their attack with 8 goals last season. In midfield, Abu Francis is back from a long-term injury layoff, while defender Mark McKenzie continues to be a key presence amid reports of a future transfer.

Last matches of Toulouse

  1. Toulouse

    1 : 2

    Hamburger SV

    Club Friendlies 3

  2. Elche

    3 : 0

    Toulouse

    Club Friendlies 3

  3. Al Ain

    0 : 1

    Toulouse

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Toulouse

    2 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Toulouse

    1 : 1

    Rodez

    Club Friendlies 3

Toulouse lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Guillaume Restes

Defenders

  • 6

    Mark McKenzie

  • 2

    Rasmus Nicolaisen

  • 4

    Charlie Cresswell

  • 15

    Aron Dønnum

Midfielders

  • 8

    Vincent Sierro

  • 23

    Cristian Cásseres Jr.

  • 17

    Gabriel Suazo

Forwards

  • 10

    Yann Gboho

  • 7

    Zakaria Aboukhlal

  • 9

    Frank Magri

Lyon

Lyon team overview

Olympique Lyonnais enters this one on the back of a strong fourth-place finish last season. Les Gones showed real grit, bouncing back from structural turmoil to collect 18 league wins and secure European football.

Paulo Fonseca's men are desperate to build on that momentum, but their up-and-down summer exhibition matches proved that finding early chemistry is still a massive work in progress.

I honestly don't think they're completely cohesive yet. Looking back, their domestic away form was a total mixed bag down the final stretch; that stunning 2-1 win over PSG at the Parc des Princes was actually their solitary victory across their final seven road games of the 2025-26 campaign. Sadly, things aren't getting any smoother lately, with the team completely failing to win either of their two road trips during Champions League qualifying this month.

Up front, all eyes are on vital new loan signing Loïs Openda, a lethal target man hungry to replicate his past French scoring streaks after a tough stint in Italy. Luckily, the squad has avoided catastrophic early-season absences, leaving only minor fitness concerns ahead of the match.

Last matches of Lyon

  1. Fenerbahce

    1 : 1

    Lyon

    Champions League

  2. Lyon

    3 : 0

    Sparta Prague

    Champions League

  3. Sparta Prague

    2 : 1

    Lyon

    Champions League

  4. Real Betis

    4 : 0

    Lyon

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Lyon

    0 : 2

    Slavia Praha

    Club Friendlies 3

Lyon lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Lucas Perri

Defenders

  • 22

    Clinton Mata

  • 55

    Duje Ćaleta-Car

  • 19

    Moussa Niakhaté

  • 3

    Nicolás Tagliafico

Midfielders

  • 8

    Corentin Tolisso

  • 31

    Nemanja Matić

  • 7

    Jordan Veretout

Forwards

  • 11

    Malick Fofana

  • 9

    Loïs Openda

  • 18

    Georges Mikautadze

Prediction

This fixture screams chaotic energy. Both backlines are leaking goals at an alarming rate, yet both attacks possess enough lethal quality to completely tear things open. I honestly can’t see either manager keeping a clean sheet here. Openda will likely terrorize Toulouse's shaky defense, but the Violets always find a way to strike back at home. It’s going to be a wild ride. Bank on a high-scoring 2-2 draw.

Four reasons we expect two or more goals in this game

  1. Six of the last seven meetings between Toulouse and Lyon finished with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Lyon finished only two of their last 13 games across all comp without conceding.
  3. Toulouse kept a clean sheet in only one of their last 12 encounters.
  4. Bets on over 2.5 goals won in each of the last three home games of Toulouse.

Main prediction Toulouse - Lyon

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

8 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.89

Bet here

Toulouse vs Lyon standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Olympique Marseille 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Olympique Lyonnais 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Brest 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Lens 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
5 Toulouse 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
6 Nice 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
7 Paris Saint Germain 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
8 Rennes 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
9 Strasbourg 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
10 LOSC Lille 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
11 Angers SCO 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
12 Le Havre 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
13 Auxerre 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
14 Paris 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
15 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
16 Troyes 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
17 Le Mans 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
18 Lorient 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0

Toulouse vs Lyon – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Saturday’s Ligue 1 encounter.

? How many corners did Lyon win on average on the road last season?

Around 5.24 per away Ligue 1 match, which remains a strong attacking indicator for the visitors.

? What about bookings for Jens Berthel Askou’s side at home?

About 1.82 yellow cards on average in their home Ligue 1 games.