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Newcastle vs Brighton prediction 02.05.2026 | Premier League

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Kick off:

Date:

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

1

2.63

X

3.66

2

2.76

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Saturday, 2nd May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CEST
  • Venue: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

The English Premier League is slowly coming to an end, with only four rounds remaining. In the 35th round, one of the more interesting games will be between two teams battling to secure Europe - Newcastle and Brighton. However, these two teams come to the match in a totally different momentum, as Newcastle lost four in a row, pretty much ruining their chances of European appearance next season. Meanwhile, Brighton are in excellent form, winning four of the past five. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie. 

Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Brighton & Hove Albion

    2 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  3. Newcastle United

    0 : 1

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    FA Cup

  4. Newcastle United

    0 : 1

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  5. Newcastle United

    1 : 1

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  6. Brighton & Hove Albion

    3 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

In the first H2H game this season, Brighton won 2:1 at home at the Amex Stadium. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, each team secured three wins.

When it comes to the number of goals, five of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, at least in regular time. Meanwhile, both teams scored in eight of the past ten H2H meetings. 

Newcastle United

Newcastle team overview

Newcastle are playing a disastrous season thus far. To be fair, their Champions League run wasn't bad, as they reached the 1/8 Finals, where Barcelona eventually dismantled them on an 8:3 aggregate. However, in the Premier League, the Magpies were absolutely disappointing, especially in the last part of the season. They lost four in a row in the PL and heavily complicated their situation. Now, they are in 14th place with 42 points - seven points away from the desired 7th place and the European appearance next season. Even though there is still a mathematical chance of securing it, the Magpies would need a miracle to do so. 

Joelinton missed the previous two games due to suspension and will be available for the upcoming game. Meanwhile, Anthony Gordon, Fabian Schar, Valentino Livramento, and Emil Krafth should remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Arsenal

    1 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    1 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  3. Crystal Palace

    2 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    1 : 2

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  5. FC Barcelona

    7 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Champions League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Nick Pope

Defenders

  • 2

    Kieran Trippier

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 4

    Sven Botman

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 39

    Bruno Guimarães

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 7

    Joelinton

Forwards

  • 23

    Jacob Murphy

  • 27

    Nick Woltemade

  • 11

    Harvey Barnes

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton team overview

Brighton are in a completely different momentum. After being pretty inconsistent in the first part of the season, it seems the Seagulls have found their rhythm and are playing their best football of the season. Right now, the Seagulls are probably the hottest team in the league, and a 3:0 win over Chelsea in the previous game pretty much confirms that. With four rounds to go, Brighton sits in 6th place with 50 points and is unlikely to move into the top five and secure a Champions League spot, as they are eight points away. Their main goal should be to stay in 6th place, and looking at their remaining schedule, we believe they can do it.

Diego Gomez is the new name on the injury list. The 23-year-old midfielder suffered an injury against Tottenham and missed the upcoming game against Chelsea. According to credible sources, the midfielder has a severe knee inflammation and will not be available for the upcoming game(s). Moreover, Solly March, James Milner, Stefanos Tzimas, and Adam Webster should remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of Brighton & Hove Albion

  1. Brighton & Hove Albion

    3 : 0

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  2. Tottenham Hotspur

    2 : 2

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  3. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  4. Brighton & Hove Albion

    2 : 1

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  5. Sunderland

    0 : 1

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Bart Verbruggen

Defenders

  • 27

    Mats Wieffer

  • 6

    Jan Paul van Hecke

  • 5

    Lewis Dunk

  • 24

    Ferdi Kadıoğlu

Midfielders

  • 17

    Carlos Baleba

  • 13

    Jack Hinshelwood

  • 30

    Pascal Groß

Forwards

  • 11

    Yankuba Minteh

  • 10

    Georginio Rutter

  • 22

    Kaoru Mitoma

Prediction

Newcastle are in terrible form, having lost five straight. Having watched their matches, there is a sense that something is off, and many football pundits call Eddie Howe's system "broken". The Magpies are now without a realistic chance of reaching Europe, and there is a big question about just how much that lack of motive will affect them.

On the other hand, Brighton are in excellent form, having won four of the past five and six of the past eight, only losing to Arsenal (1:0) during that stretch of games. 

Also, Brighton won the previous H2H game 2:1 and haven't lost to Newcastle in the past six. Considering the trend in previous H2H games and the massive difference in form and motivation, we believe the Sagulls are closer to winning the upcoming tie.

4 Reasons why Brighton should (AH 0) win

  1. Newcastle lost five straight
  2. Brighton have won four of the past five
  3. Brighton won the previous H2H game 2:1
  4. Brighton haven't lost in the past six H2H games

Main prediction Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion

AH2 (0)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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2.01

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Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 64 - 26 +38 73
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 66 - 29 +37 70
3 Manchester United 34 17 10 7 60 - 46 +14 61
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 57 - 44 +13 58
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 47 - 42 +5 58
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 34 13 11 10 48 - 39 +9 50
7 AFC Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 52 - 52 0 49
8 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 53 - 45 +8 48
9 Brentford 34 13 9 12 49 - 46 +3 48
10 Fulham 34 14 6 14 44 - 46 -2 48
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 41 - 41 0 47
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 36 - 45 -9 46
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 36 - 39 -3 43
14 Newcastle United 34 12 6 16 46 - 50 -4 42
15 Leeds United 34 9 13 12 44 - 51 -7 40
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 41 - 45 -4 39
17 West Ham United 34 9 9 16 42 - 58 -16 36
18 Tottenham Hotspur 34 8 10 16 43 - 53 -10 34
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 34 - 68 -34 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 34 3 8 23 24 - 62 -38 17

Newcastle vs Brighton – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Newcastle this season?

The average xG for Newcastle in the Premier League this season is 1.55.

? How much is the average xG for Brighton this season?

The average xG for Brighton in the Premier League this season is 1.51.