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Leeds vs Burnley prediction 01.05.2026 | English Premier League

Leeds United

Leeds United

Kick off:

Date:

Burnley

Burnley

1

1.45

X

4.93

2

8.00

  • Competition: English Premier League
  • Date: 1st May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Elland Road

Leeds United welcome Burnley on Friday night in a crucial Round 35 fixture, with Leeds on the verge of securing their Premier League status for next season. Leeds head into the match sitting 15th in the table on 40 points, still not mathematically safe but in a relatively comfortable position. Burnley, by contrast, are already relegated after a difficult return to the top flight.

Leeds United vs Burnley Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Burnley

    2 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Burnley

    0 : 0

    Leeds United

    Championship

  3. Leeds United

    0 : 1

    Burnley

    Championship

  4. Leeds United

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  5. Burnley

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  6. Burnley

    0 : 4

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Historically, this has been a competitive fixture. Leeds and Burnley have shared numerous battles across the Premier League and Championship in recent years. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in an unexpected 2-0 win for the Clarets.

Leeds United

Leeds team overview

Leeds come into this game after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Chelsea in the FA Cup semi-final at Wembley, a result that ended their hopes of silverware but showed they remain competitive against top opposition. In league action, their recent form has been mixed but respectable, with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches across all competitions. 

At Elland Road, Leeds have been relatively strong this season. Across 17 league home games, they have accumulated 26 points, which was nearly double of their total points tally when compared to performances on the road.

Players such as Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Noah Okafor have been central to their attacking output, while Joel Piroe remains a threat in the final third. Daniel Farke may rotate slightly after the Wembley defeat to Chelsea, but Leeds should still field a strong XI with survival not yet mathematically secured.

There are no major fresh injury concerns reported, although fatigue could be a factor after the FA Cup semi-final just days earlier.

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Chelsea

    1 : 0

    Leeds United

    FA Cup

  2. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    3 : 0

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    1 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. West Ham United

    2 : 4

    Leeds United

    FA Cup

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lucas Perri

Defenders

  • 24

    James Justin

  • 15

    Jaka Bijol

  • 5

    Pascal Struijk

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

  • 3

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Midfielders

  • 22

    Ao Tanaka

  • 4

    Ethan Ampadu

  • 19

    Noah Okafor

  • 11

    Brenden Aaronson

Forwards

  • 9

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Burnley

Burnley team overview

Burnley’s relegation was confirmed following a 1-0 home defeat to Manchester City last week. Scott Parker’s side battled hard but once again lacked cutting edge in attack and have now gone five matches without a win. Their recent run includes four consecutive league defeats in recent weeks with no real improvement in any areas of their game.

Injuries and lack of squad depth have hurt Burnley throughout the campaign, and Parker may use the final few matches to assess fringe players ahead of a likely Championship rebuild.

Last matches of Burnley

  1. Burnley

    0 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  2. Nottingham Forest

    4 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  3. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  4. Fulham

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  5. Burnley

    0 : 0

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

Burnley lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Martin Dúbravka

Defenders

  • 2

    Kyle Walker

  • 18

    Hjalmar Ekdal

  • 12

    Bashir Humphreys

  • 5

    Maxime Estève

  • 3

    Quilindschy Hartman

Midfielders

  • 29

    Josh Laurent

  • 20

    James Ward-Prowse

  • 17

    Loum Tchaouna

  • 11

    Jaidon Anthony

Forwards

  • 19

    Zian Flemming

Prediction

This looks like a favourable opportunity for Leeds to take a major step toward survival. Burnley’s confidence will be low after relegation, and their away defensive numbers are alarming. Leeds, despite recent fatigue from the FA Cup, have more attacking quality and should be able to create chances against a fragile back line. Burnley have also struggled to find the net on more occasions than not, failing to score in four of their last six Premier League outings.

Prediction: Both Teams to Score - NO.

Three reasons we expect BTTS - NO

  1. Burnley have failed to score in four of their last six league games.
  2. BTTS - NO has occurred in three consecutive matchups between Leeds and Burnley (both EPL and the Championship).
  3. BTTS - NO has landed in Leeds’ last four Premier League home outings.

Main prediction Leeds United - Burnley

Both Teams to Score - NO

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

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1.87

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Leeds United vs Burnley standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 64 - 26 +38 73
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 66 - 29 +37 70
3 Manchester United 34 17 10 7 60 - 46 +14 61
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 57 - 44 +13 58
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 47 - 42 +5 58
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 34 13 11 10 48 - 39 +9 50
7 AFC Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 52 - 52 0 49
8 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 53 - 45 +8 48
9 Brentford 34 13 9 12 49 - 46 +3 48
10 Fulham 34 14 6 14 44 - 46 -2 48
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 41 - 41 0 47
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 36 - 45 -9 46
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 36 - 39 -3 43
14 Newcastle United 34 12 6 16 46 - 50 -4 42
15 Leeds United 34 9 13 12 44 - 51 -7 40
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 41 - 45 -4 39
17 West Ham United 34 9 9 16 42 - 58 -16 36
18 Tottenham Hotspur 34 8 10 16 43 - 53 -10 34
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 34 - 68 -34 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 34 3 8 23 24 - 62 -38 17

Leeds vs Burnley – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Leeds take on Burnley on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Leeds have won in the English Premier League 2025/26?

4.4

? What is the average number of corners Burnley have won in the English Premier League 2025/26?

3.7