Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich prediction 25.04.2026 | Bundesliga

Mainz enter this fixture in mixed but slightly improving form. They have recorded three wins in their last six Bundesliga matches, including victories over Hoffenheim and Eintracht Frankfurt, though recent setbacks against Freiburg and in European competition highlight inconsistency (they lost 4-0 away at Strasbourg).

Their home form has been rather impressive in recent weeks nonetheless. Urs Fischer’s side have lost only once in their last eight league home fixtures, winning on four occasions. However, the most recent 1-0 home defeat to Freiburg has exposed their vulnerabilities and occasional lack of cutting edge in front of goal.

In terms of squad availability, injuries to key players such as Tom Krauß and Hiroki Itō reduce depth, particularly in midfield and defensive rotations.

Bayern arrive in dominant form and are statistically the strongest team in the division. They have won 25 of their 30 league matches, losing only once throughout the entire Bundesliga season.

Recent form reinforces this dominance. Bayern have won four consecutive league matches, including a 4-2 home victory over Stuttgart, which secured Die Roten their 33rd league title in the club’s history, while averaging at least four goals per game across those fixtures.

Defensively, they remain solid, conceding under one goal per away match on average, though occasional lapses - particularly in transition or set-piece situations - have allowed weaker sides to remain competitive, as seen in the earlier draw against Mainz.

Squad depth remains a major advantage, with Bayern able to rotate without significant drops in performance level, even amid a congested schedule. Serge Gnabry remains a significant absentee heading into this game.