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RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin prediction 24.04.2026 | Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Kick off:

Date:

FC Union Berlin

FC Union Berlin

1

1.38

X

5.54

2

8.90

  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: Friday, 24th April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CEST
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

The Bundesliga's 31st round opens with only one game on Friday's schedule: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin. RB Leipzig comes to the game on a four-game winning streak, while Union Berlin lost back-to-back games to Heidenheim and Wolfsburg. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Bundesliga tie. 

RB Leipzig vs FC Union Berlin Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. FC Union Berlin

    3 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  2. FC Union Berlin

    0 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  3. RB Leipzig

    0 : 0

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

  4. RB Leipzig

    2 : 0

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

  5. FC Union Berlin

    0 : 3

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  6. RB Leipzig

    1 : 2

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

In the first H2H game, Union Berlin won 3:1 in a pretty close match. Looking further back, in the past ten H2H games, RB Leipzig have won three times, while Union Berlin have won five times. 

Regarding the number of goals, seven of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in six of them. 

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig team overview

Last year, RB Leipzig had a terrible end to the season and missed Europe as a result. While they had their ups and downs throughout this season, they have been amazing lately, winning six of the past seven games. At the moment, they are sitting in 3rd place with 59 points. However, dropping out of the top four is only five points away, and they must finish the season strongly to secure their place in the Champions League next season. Even though they have a challenging remaining schedule, we believe they will finish in the top four, given how well they have played lately. 

Xaver Schlager served his one-game suspension in the previous game and will be available. Also, Lukas Klostermann suffered an injury and will most likely miss the match, along with Ezechiel Banzuzi, who is out with a knee injury. Meanwhile, Willi Orban is questionable due to his thigh injury. But on a positive note, Castello Lukeba should be ready for the upcoming game after dealing with adductor problems. 

Last matches of RB Leipzig

  1. Eintracht Frankfurt

    1 : 3

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  2. RB Leipzig

    1 : 0

    Borussia M`gladbach

    Bundesliga

  3. Werder Bremen

    1 : 2

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  4. RB Leipzig

    5 : 0

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  5. Stuttgart

    1 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

RB Leipzig lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Maarten Vandevoordt

Defenders

  • 17

    Ridle Baku

  • 23

    Castello Lukeba

  • 5

    El Chadaille Bitshiabu

  • 22

    David Raum

Midfielders

  • 10

    Xaver Schlager

  • 13

    Nicolas Seiwald

  • 14

    Christoph Baumgartner

Forwards

  • 49

    Yan Diomande

  • 40

    Rômulo

  • 7

    Antonio Nusa

FC Union Berlin

Union Berlin team overview

Throughout the season, Union Berlin have been pretty close to European spots, and it seemed they could maybe climb to 7th place and secure European Qualifiers. Unfortunately, they were atrocious this calendar year, winning only twice in 15 games. Now, four rounds before the end, Union Berlin are in 11th place with 32 points - six points above the relegation playout. Due to bad results, the club appointed Marie-Louise Eta as an interim coach on 12th April. Interestingly, she is the first female coach in Bundesliga history! Unfortunately, the 34-year-old started her campaign with a 2:1 loss against Wolfsburg. 

After a 2:1 loss to Wolfsburg in the previous game, coach Marie-Louise Eta spoke to the media. She said she was disappointed to have lost the game at home, but was pretty satisfied with how they played. The coach said they created many chances, but weren't clinical.

The team should have no new absences, but Woo-Yeong Jeong, Matheo Raab, and Robert Skov should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of FC Union Berlin

  1. FC Union Berlin

    1 : 2

    VfL Wolfsburg

    Bundesliga

  2. Heidenheim

    3 : 1

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

  3. FC Union Berlin

    1 : 1

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  4. Bayern Munich

    4 : 0

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

  5. SC Freiburg

    0 : 1

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

FC Union Berlin lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Frederik Rönnow

Defenders

  • 14

    Leopold Querfeld

  • 5

    Danilho Doekhi

  • 4

    Diogo Leite

Midfielders

  • 28

    Christopher Trimmel

  • 6

    Aljoscha Kemlein

  • 8

    Rani Khedira

  • 39

    Derrick Köhn

Forwards

  • 7

    Oliver Burke

  • 23

    Andrej Ilic

  • 10

    Ilyas Ansah

Prediction

RB Leipzig are in excellent form, having won four straight and six of the past seven. They have generally played well and have a 60% win rate this season. At home, that number is even higher, currently at 67%. 

Meanwhile, Union Berlin have been really bad in 2026, winning just twice in 15 games - a mere 13% win rate. On the road, their results have been atrocious, having lost five of the past six games. Moreover, three of those five losses were by two or more goals. 

Simply, we believe that RB Leipzig is a better team, in much better form, and, combined with a home-pitch advantage, they should secure a comfortable win over Union Berlin in this Bundesliga duel.

3 Reasons why RB Leipzig should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

  1. RB Leipzig are on a four-game winning streak
  2. Union Berlin have won twice in the past 15 games
  3. Union Berlin lost five of the past six road games.

Main prediction RB Leipzig - FC Union Berlin

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.98

Bet here

RB Leipzig vs FC Union Berlin standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 30 25 4 1 109 - 29 +80 79
2 Borussia Dortmund 30 19 7 4 61 - 31 +30 64
3 RB Leipzig 30 18 5 7 59 - 37 +22 59
4 VfB Stuttgart 30 17 5 8 62 - 42 +20 56
5 TSG Hoffenheim 30 16 6 8 59 - 44 +15 54
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 30 15 7 8 60 - 41 +19 52
7 SC Freiburg 30 12 7 11 44 - 48 -4 43
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 30 11 9 10 55 - 57 -2 42
9 FC Augsburg 30 10 6 14 38 - 54 -16 36
10 FSV Mainz 05 30 8 10 12 36 - 45 -9 34
11 FC Union Berlin 30 8 8 14 34 - 52 -18 32
12 FC Köln 30 7 10 13 44 - 51 -7 31
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 30 7 10 13 36 - 50 -14 31
14 Hamburger SV 30 7 10 13 33 - 48 -15 31
15 Werder Bremen 30 8 7 15 35 - 53 -18 31
16 St. Pauli 30 6 8 16 26 - 51 -25 26
17 VfL Wolfsburg 30 6 6 18 41 - 66 -25 24
18 Heidenheim 30 4 7 19 33 - 66 -33 19

RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for RB Leipzig this season?

The average xG for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga this season is 1.78.

? How much is the average xG for Union Berlin this season?

The average xG for Union Berlin in the Bundesliga this season is 1.37.