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KuPS vs Vardar prediction 14.07.2026 | UEFA Champions League

KuPS

KuPS

Kick off:

Date:

Vardar

Vardar

1

1.71

X

3.98

2

4.31

  • Competition: UEFA Champions League, Qualification Round 1
  • Date: 14th July, 2026
  • Kickoff: 16:00 UK / 17:00 CEST
  • Venue: Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS return to Finland in a commanding position as they host North Macedonian champions Vardar in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League first qualifying round tie. The Finnish champions produced a professional display in Skopje to secure a 2-0 away victory in the opening leg, placing themselves firmly in control of the contest ahead of the return fixture.

KuPS vs Vardar Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Vardar

    0 : 2

    KuPS

    Champions League

The first leg in Skopje was the first competitive meeting between the clubs, with KuPS emerging as deserved 2-0 winners. Benjamin Magassa opened the scoring just before half-time before Boakye Armah doubled the advantage early in the second half. KuPS controlled large periods of the match and restricted Vardar to very few clear-cut opportunities, while the hosts' task became even more difficult after finishing the match with ten men following a late dismissal.

KuPS

KuPS team overview

KuPS arrive in excellent condition both domestically and in Europe. The reigning Veikkausliiga champions remain among Finland's strongest teams and have carried that consistency into continental competition. Their disciplined defensive structure was evident in the first leg, where they successfully limited Vardar's attacking threats while remaining clinical in front of goal.

Benjamin Magassa and Boakye Armah were the match winners in Skopje, while experienced striker Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba Moreno and Swedish forward Axel Vidjeskog Engvall continue to provide quality in the attacking third. KuPS have now kept several consecutive clean sheets across all competitions and possess one of the strongest defensive records in Finnish football this season.

There are no major fresh injury concerns reported following the first leg, allowing head coach Miika Nuutinen to field a settled starting eleven. With home advantage and a two-goal cushion, KuPS are expected to approach the game with patience rather than unnecessary risk.

Last matches of KuPS

  1. Vardar

    0 : 2

    KuPS

    Champions League

  2. HJK Helsinki

    0 : 4

    KuPS

    Veikkausliiga

  3. KuPS

    4 : 3

    FC Ilves

    Veikkausliiga

  4. TPS

    1 : 2

    KuPS

    Veikkausliiga

  5. VPS Vaasa

    1 : 1

    KuPS

    Veikkausliiga

KuPS lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Johannes Kreidl

Defenders

  • 29

    Akseli Puukko

  • 28

    Brahima Magass

  • 4

    Kasim Adams

  • 25

    Clinton Antwi

Midfielders

  • 10

    Valentín Gasc

  • 8

    Petteri Pennanen

  • 9

    Gustav Engvall

Forwards

  • 16

    Tommi Jyry

  • 24

    Bob Nii Armah

  • 11

    Jaime Moreno

Vardar

Vardar team overview

Vardar face an uphill battle after an underwhelming home performance. Despite enjoying vocal support from the home crowd in Skopje, the Macedonian champions struggled to create sustained attacking pressure and rarely troubled the KuPS defence. Their situation worsened after conceding twice and ending the match with ten players following a late red card.

Coach Cristian Fabbiani will almost certainly need to adopt a far more adventurous tactical approach in Finland. Attackers such as Jovan Omeragić and Zakarić must deliver significantly greater attacking output if Vardar are to have any chance of staging an unlikely comeback.

Domestically, Vardar remain an experienced European campaigner and qualified as Macedonian champions, but overturning a two-goal deficit away from home against an organised KuPS side represents one of their toughest recent continental assignments.

Last matches of Vardar

  1. Vardar

    0 : 2

    KuPS

    Champions League

  2. Vardar

    3 : 0

    Skendija 79

    First League

  3. Struga

    0 : 1

    Vardar

    First League

  4. Vardar

    2 : 1

    Sileks

    First League

  5. FK Bashkimi Kumanovo

    0 : 2

    Vardar

    First League

Vardar lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 95

    Davor Taleski

Defenders

  • 21

    Georgije Jankulov

  • 14

    Darko Velkovski

  • 4

    Mislav Matić

  • 34

    Ian Puleio

Midfielders

  • 71

    Miguel Pires

  • 99

    Joaquín Torres

  • 32

    Diego Castañeda

  • 8

    Boban Nikolov

Forwards

  • 10

    Goran Zakarić

  • 9

    Azer Omeragikj

Prediction

Unless Vardar produce a dramatic improvement in attacking efficiency, KuPS should comfortably see out the tie and progress to the second qualifying round. It is highly plausible that the home side will focus on defending their two-goal lead from the first leg; therefore, it is difficult to expect many goals in this fixture.

Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals.

Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals

  1. The first leg ended in a 2-0 victory for KuPS.
  2. KuPS have also kept three clean sheets in their last six matches across all competitions.
  3. KuPS limited Vardar to very few chances in the first leg and are expected to adopt a similar approach in the second leg, placing emphasis on protecting their advantage.

Main prediction KuPS - Vardar

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

Melbet

2.40

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KuPS vs Vardar – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch KuPS take on Vardar on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners KuPS have won in the Veikkausliiga 2026?

7.2

? What is the average number of corners Vardar have won in the 1. MFL 2025/26?

4.5