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Genoa vs AC Milan prediction 17.05.2026 | Serie A

Genoa

Genoa

Kick off:

Date:

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

4.70

X

3.65

2

1.71

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: 17/05/2026
  • KO: 11:00 UK / 12:00 CEST
  • Venue: Luigi Ferraris

AC Milan continue their faltering pursuit of Champions League qualification when they take on Genoa on Sunday afternoon. 

A tight encounter is expected with the out-of-form visitors looking to secure a vital win in the penultimate weekend of the Serie A season. 

Genoa have been held to goalless draws in their last two matches, and a similarly hard-fought encounter is expected at the Luigi Ferraris this weekend.

Genoa vs AC Milan Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AC Milan

    1 : 1

    Genoa

    Serie A

  2. Genoa

    1 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    0 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    3 : 3

    Genoa

    Serie A

  5. Genoa

    0 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  6. AC Milan

    2 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

Genoa and AC Milan have met on 11 occasions since 2020. AC Milan won six games, while Genoa secured just one victory. Three of their last four meetings finished deadlocked. 

Genoa

Genoa team overview

Genoa face their final home fixture of the season after back-to-back goalless draws picked up on the road at Atalanta and Fiorentina. 

Daniele De RossI’s side have now failed to score in each of their three matches, after a 2.0 home reversal against Como in their last game at Luigi Ferraris.

Placed 14th in the division, the hosts have found some decent form in recent weeks, securing four wins while losing three of their last nine Serie A matches. By comparison, visiting Milan have picked up just 11 points over the same period.

Low-scoring outcomes have been frequent for the Griffin. Six of eight previous fixtures finished with under 2.5 goals scored. Four of the last six meetings between Genoa and AC Milan also finished with two goals or fewer. 

Head coach De Rossi has three injury worries for Sunday’s Serie A contest. Brooke Norton-Cuffy (muscle) and Junior Messias (muscle) are ruled out through injury, while Tommaso Baldanzi is doubtful with a muscle issue.

Last matches of Genoa

  1. Fiorentina

    0 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

  2. Atalanta

    0 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

  3. Genoa

    0 : 2

    Como

    Serie A

  4. Pisa

    1 : 2

    Genoa

    Serie A

  5. Genoa

    2 : 1

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

Genoa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Justin Bijlow

Defenders

  • 27

    A. Marcandalli

  • 5

    Leo Oestigard

  • 13

    Nils Zaetterstroem

Midfielders

  • 77

    M. Egill Ellertsson

  • 4

    Amorim

  • 32

    Morten Frendrup

  • 3

    Aaron Martin Caricol

Forwards

  • 21

    Jeff Ekhator

  • 29

    Lorenzo Colombo

  • 9

    Vitinha

AC Milan

AC Milan team overview

AC Milan make the trip to Genoa after a disappointing 3-2 home defeat against Atalanta last weekend. Trailing 3:0 late on, goals from Strahinja Pavlović (88') and Christopher Nkunku (90+4', pen.) proved consolation only as Max Allegri’s side slipped to defeat at San Siro. 

The Rosoneri have been in dismal form since claiming bragging rights in the Derby della Madonnina in March. Milan lost five and won only two of their last eight Serie A fixtures. 

Despite their dramatic dip in form, Allegri’s men remain inside the UCL qualification zone. Milan find themselves fourth in Serie A, but now only two points ahead of sixth-placed Como with two games still to play. 

On the road, low-scoring outcomes have been a recurring theme in recent weeks. Each of the visitors' last five away fixtures finished with under 2.5 goals scored.

Head coach Allegri is unable to call on four first-team players this weekend. Alexis Saelemaekers, Pervis Estupiñán and Rafael Leão are all suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, while Luka Modrić (collarbone) is ruled out through injury.

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. AC Milan

    2 : 3

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. Sassuolo

    2 : 0

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    0 : 0

    Juventus

    Serie A

  4. Hellas Verona

    0 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    0 : 3

    Udinese

    Serie A

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 5

    Koni De Winter

  • 46

    Matteo Gabbia

  • 31

    Strahinja Pavlovic

Midfielders

  • 19

    Youssouf Fofana

  • 30

    Ardon Jashari

  • 4

    Samuele Ricci

  • 12

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 33

    Davide Bartesaghi

Forwards

  • 7

    Santiago Gimenez

  • 18

    Christopher Nkunku

Prediction

Both teams are short in winning form, and a likely tight encounter, with fewer than three goals scored should be on the cards.

I have my stake on under 2.5 goals in Sunday’s Serie A contest.

Three Reasons Why We Expect Under 2.5 Goals

  1. Genoa have seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 matches
  2. Genoa have seen under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches against AC Milan
  3. AC Milan have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 5 away matches

Main prediction Genoa - AC Milan

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

7 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Best Odds:

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1.92

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Genoa vs AC Milan standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 36 27 4 5 85 - 31 +54 85
2 Napoli 36 21 7 8 54 - 36 +18 70
3 Juventus 36 19 11 6 59 - 30 +29 68
4 AC Milan 36 19 10 7 50 - 32 +18 67
5 Roma 36 21 4 11 55 - 31 +24 67
6 Como 36 18 11 7 60 - 28 +32 65
7 Atalanta 36 15 13 8 50 - 34 +16 58
8 Bologna 36 15 7 14 45 - 43 +2 52
9 Lazio 36 13 12 11 39 - 37 +2 51
10 Udinese 36 14 8 14 45 - 46 -1 50
11 Sassuolo 36 14 7 15 44 - 46 -2 49
12 Torino 36 12 8 16 41 - 59 -18 44
13 Parma 36 10 12 14 27 - 45 -18 42
14 Genoa 36 10 11 15 40 - 48 -8 41
15 Fiorentina 36 8 14 14 38 - 49 -11 38
16 Cagliari 36 9 10 17 36 - 51 -15 37
17 Lecce 36 8 8 20 24 - 48 -24 32
18 Cremonese 36 7 10 19 30 - 53 -23 31
19 Hellas Verona 36 3 11 22 24 - 58 -34 20
20 Pisa 36 2 12 22 25 - 66 -41 18

Genoa vs AC Milan – FAQ

? Genoa Player to Watch

Lorenzo Colombo - The 24-year-old leads the Genoa scoring charts with seven goals in 36 Serie A appearances this season.

? AC Milan Player to Watch

Adrien Rabiot - The French midfielder has ten goal contributions in 27 Serie A appearances this season.