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France vs Spain prediction 14.07.2026 | World Cup

France

France

Kick off:

Date:

Spain

Spain

1

2.40

X

3.30

2

3.38

  • Competition: World Cup
  • Date: Tuesday, 14th July 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)

With every match played at the World Cup, the weight of expectations continues to grow. Tuesday's semifinal between France and Spain will be no exception, as both sides take the field with a place in the final at stake.    Can these two teams produce another high-scoring spectacle? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option for one of the most anticipated games of the tournament. 

France vs Spain Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Spain

    5 : 4

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Spain

    2 : 1

    France

    European Championship

  3. France

    0 : 2

    Spain

    Friendly International

  4. France

    0 : 2

    Spain

    Friendly International

  5. France

    1 : 0

    Spain

    Friendly International

  6. France

    0 : 1

    Spain

    WC Qualification Europe

Spain are much more successful team in the previous meetings with their next opponent, winning three of the last four H2H games, while France won only once in the same period. The previous encounter between the two sides was in 2025, when Spain won 5-4 in the Nations League semifinal. Although the final scoreline suggests a closely contested match, Spain actually held a commanding 5-1 lead at one stage. France scored three quick goals late on to make the defeat look more respectable, but Luis de la Fuente's side never truly had their victory in doubt.

France

France team overview

France are probably the best team at the World Cup so far. They won all six games pretty comfortably, and for them, the real tournament starts in the semifinals. Didier Deschamps had only problems in the 1/8 final when they met Paraguay. Already in the next game, France again showed their masterclass, beating Morocco 2-0. The final result doesn't sound too dominant, but Les Blues ended the match with an xG of 3.68, while the opponents had only 0.25, and anything other than another French victory would feel pretty unfair. 

France's biggest strength is its offense. Quartet of Dembele, Olise, Mbappe, and Barcola/Doue seems pretty unstoppable. The team scored 16 goals in six World Cup games. The French defense is working almost flawlessly, having conceded only two goals so far. 

Last matches of France

  1. France

    2 : 0

    Morocco

    World Cup

  2. Paraguay

    0 : 1

    France

    World Cup

  3. France

    3 : 0

    Sweden

    World Cup

  4. Norway

    1 : 4

    France

    World Cup

  5. France

    3 : 1

    Senegal

    World Cup

France lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 5

    Jules Kounde

  • 4

    Dayot Upamecano

  • 17

    William Saliba

  • 3

    Lucas Digne

Midfielders

  • 14

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 11

    Michael Olise

  • 6

    Manu Kone

Forwards

  • 7

    Ousmane Dembele

  • 10

    Kylian Mbappe

  • 20

    Desire Doue

Spain

Spain team overview

Based purely on the eye test, Spain have not been as impressive as France at this World Cup. However, a look at the results tells a different story: they have won five of their six matches, with their only setback being a 0-0 draw against Cape Verde in their opening game of the tournament. In the knockout phase, they first trashed Austria 3-0. After that came two much harder victories, 1-0 against Portugal and 2-1 against Belgium. In the quarter and 1/8 final, Spain won, but both times their winning goals came in the late stages of the games. 

Spain showed their usual style at the World Cup. They dominated possession in almost every game, and their opponents had few opportunities to score. Eventually, Spain conceded only one goal in six games so far. On the other hand, Luis de la Fuente's team had some issues offensively. Lamine Yamal is not in his best form, while Nico Williams, the other player who should create some width, played for only 57 minutes across the tournament. Also, Spain lacks more quality solutions in the striker position. Mikel Oyarzabal was great in some games, but in others, it seemed de la Fuente's team would benefit from a more traditional forward in that position.

Last matches of Spain

  1. Spain

    2 : 1

    Belgium

    World Cup

  2. Portugal

    0 : 1

    Spain

    World Cup

  3. Spain

    3 : 0

    Austria

    World Cup

  4. Uruguay

    0 : 1

    Spain

    World Cup

  5. Spain

    4 : 0

    Saudi Arabia

    World Cup

Spain lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Unai Simon

Defenders

  • 12

    Pedro Porro

  • 22

    Pau Cubarsi

  • 14

    Aymeric Laporte

  • 24

    Marc Cucurella

Midfielders

  • 8

    Fabian Ruiz

  • 10

    Dani Olmo

  • 16

    Rodri

Forwards

  • 19

    Lamine Yamal

  • 21

    Mikel Oyarzabal

  • 15

    Alex Baena

Prediction

Both teams have shown a lot on offense so far at the World Cup. France scored 16 goals in six matches, while Spain have scored 11 goals so far. Also, it is worth noting that we have seen at least three goals in every one of the previous three H2H games between these two sides, including a 5-4 spectacle last year in the Nations League. We should expect another high-scoring game on Tuesday in Dallas. 

4 Reasons why we should expect at least three goals in this match

  1. France scored 16 goals in six World Cup matches
  2. Spain scored 11 goals so far at the World Cup
  3. The last three H2H games between France and Spain have gone over 2.5 goals
  4. In 2025, Spain won 5-4 against France in the Nations League semifinal

Main prediction France - Spain

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.90

Bet here

France vs Spain – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for France at the World Cup?

The average xG for France at the World Cup is 2.18.

? How much is the average xG for Spain at the World Cup?

The average xG for Spain at the World Cup is 2.20.