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France vs Senegal prediction 16.06.2026 | World Cup

France

France

Kick off:

Date:

Senegal

Senegal

1

1.50

X

4.46

2

7.31

  • Competition: World Cup
  • Date: Tuesday, 16th June, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)

On Tuesday evening, the World Cup vice-champions, France, will begin their World Cup campaign with a duel against the real AFCON champions, Senegal. France are the co-favorites for the WC title with Spain, while Senegal are the 19th favorite for the title. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this duel in Group I, which is widely considered the Group of Death alongside Norway and Iraq. 

The only H2H meeting between these teams was in 2002 at the World Cup in South Korea. That time, Senegal surprised France, beating them 1:0. Eventually, France finished 4th in the group and exited the competition in the group stage, while Senegal advanced as the 2nd-placed team.

France

France team overview

For me, France are the most complete team of the tournament and deservedly considered as one of the favorites. They dominated the World Cup Qualifiers, easily winning 16 points in six rounds, but it was a fairly easy group with Ukraine, Iceland, and Azerbaijan. 

In the past, under Deschamps, France used their speed but did not play with the ball too much. We think that has changed, and they have embraced a more possession-style of football while playing very offensively. However, considering their talent up front with Doué, Dembélé, Olise, and Mbappé often in the starting lineup, that is hardly a surprise. And lately, that offensive approach (mostly) worked out great, winning three out of the past four games while scoring nine goals against great NTs - Northern Ireland, Ivory Coast, Colombia, and Brazil. 

Defensively, they like to sit pretty high up because they are confident in their back line's speed. However, in friendlies, they showed some flaws and can be vulnerable to long balls, especially over the left flank if Theo Hernandez starts. 

Last matches of France

  1. France

    3 : 1

    Northern Ireland

    Friendly International

  2. France

    1 : 2

    Ivory Coast

    Friendly International

  3. Colombia

    1 : 3

    France

    Friendly International

  4. Brazil

    1 : 2

    France

    Friendly International

  5. Azerbaijan

    1 : 3

    France

    WC Qualification Europe

France lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 5

    Jules Kounde

  • 4

    Dayot Upamecano

  • 17

    William Saliba

  • 21

    Theo Hernandez

Midfielders

  • 8

    Aurélien Tchouaméni

  • 14

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 11

    Michael Olise

Forwards

  • 20

    Désiré Doué

  • 10

    Kylian Mbappé

  • 7

    Ousmane Dembélé

Senegal

Senegal team overview

Senegal had a magnificent AFCON, winning the title, but later had it stripped due to a technicality. Earlier, in the World Cup Qualifiers, they hadn't had many problems, finishing 1st in Group B, with a 7-3-0 record and a +19 goal difference. Lions of Teranga generally easily secured their fourth-ever World Cup and third in a row. 

They like to play over the wings, mostly over Mane. They are very mobile up front with Ndiaye and Jackson and are generally a strong team, which will try to use their physicality. Also, they attack very well through set-pieces, and that is something they will try to exploit, especially when they have a hard time creating offense. However, one of the problems for this team is that they lack discipline, not only among the players but also among the coaching staff.

It seems that Kalidou Koulibaly has recovered, and we expect him in the starting lineup. According to credible sources, he is feeling well and has returned to full training.

Last matches of Senegal

  1. United States

    3 : 2

    Senegal

    Friendly International

  2. Senegal

    3 : 1

    Gambia

    Friendly International

  3. Senegal

    2 : 0

    Peru

    Friendly International

  4. Senegal

    0 : 0

    Morocco

    Africa Cup of Nations

  5. Senegal

    1 : 0

    Egypt

    Africa Cup of Nations

Senegal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Edouard Mendy

Defenders

  • 15

    Krepin Diatta

  • 3

    Kalidou Koulibaly

  • 19

    Moussa Niakhate

  • 25

    El Hadji Malick Diouf

Midfielders

  • 8

    Lamine Camara

  • 18

    Pape Gueye

  • 5

    Idrissa Gueye

Forwards

  • 10

    Sadio Mané

  • 13

    Iliman Ndiaye

  • 11

    Nicolas Jackson

Prediction

France went over 2.5 goals in all four of their friendly games against really good competition. Looking further back, they were over 2.5 goals in the past nine games across competitions, mostly thanks to their incredible offense. Scoring 2+ goals against almost anyone in the World seems like a lock. Another good thing for this bet is that they only had one clean sheet in the past seven games, which is definitely something to pay attention to.

Senegal haven't been great for this bet lately, but still went over 2.5 goals in two of the past four friendlies. I think they have their weapons to hurt France, especially over the wings, and we believe they should be able to score in this match as well. 

Considering all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, very likely with both teams scoring at least once. 

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. France have gone over 2.5 goals in the last nine games across competitions
  2. France scored 2+ goals in 12 of the past 13 games
  3. Senegal went over 2.5 goals in two of the past four games

Main prediction France - Senegal

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.94

Bet here

France vs Senegal standings in World Cup

Group I P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 France 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Senegal 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Norway 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0

France vs Senegal – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? Who could be the goalscorer for France?

Ousmane Dembélé, who scored 20 goals in 40 appearances this season for PSG.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Senegal?

Sadio Mané, who scored 55 goals in 128 national team appearances.