Contents
- Competition: World Cup
- Date: Tuesday, 16th June, 2026
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
- Venue: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)
On Tuesday evening, the World Cup vice-champions, France, will begin their World Cup campaign with a duel against the real AFCON champions, Senegal. France are the co-favorites for the WC title with Spain, while Senegal are the 19th favorite for the title.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this duel in Group I, which is widely considered the Group of Death alongside Norway and Iraq.
The only H2H meeting between these teams was in 2002 at the World Cup in South Korea. That time, Senegal surprised France, beating them 1:0. Eventually, France finished 4th in the group and exited the competition in the group stage, while Senegal advanced as the 2nd-placed team.
France team overview
For me, France are the most complete team of the tournament and deservedly considered as one of the favorites. They dominated the World Cup Qualifiers, easily winning 16 points in six rounds, but it was a fairly easy group with Ukraine, Iceland, and Azerbaijan.
In the past, under Deschamps, France used their speed but did not play with the ball too much. We think that has changed, and they have embraced a more possession-style of football while playing very offensively. However, considering their talent up front with Doué, Dembélé, Olise, and Mbappé often in the starting lineup, that is hardly a surprise. And lately, that offensive approach (mostly) worked out great, winning three out of the past four games while scoring nine goals against great NTs - Northern Ireland, Ivory Coast, Colombia, and Brazil.
Defensively, they like to sit pretty high up because they are confident in their back line's speed. However, in friendlies, they showed some flaws and can be vulnerable to long balls, especially over the left flank if Theo Hernandez starts.
Last matches of France
-
France
3 : 1
Northern Ireland
Friendly International
-
France
1 : 2
Ivory Coast
Friendly International
-
Colombia
1 : 3
France
Friendly International
-
Brazil
1 : 2
France
Friendly International
-
Azerbaijan
1 : 3
France
WC Qualification Europe
France lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Mike Maignan
Defenders
-
5
Jules Kounde
-
4
Dayot Upamecano
-
17
William Saliba
-
21
Theo Hernandez
Midfielders
-
8
Aurélien Tchouaméni
-
14
Adrien Rabiot
-
11
Michael Olise
Forwards
-
20
Désiré Doué
-
10
Kylian Mbappé
-
7
Ousmane Dembélé
Senegal team overview
Senegal had a magnificent AFCON, winning the title, but later had it stripped due to a technicality. Earlier, in the World Cup Qualifiers, they hadn't had many problems, finishing 1st in Group B, with a 7-3-0 record and a +19 goal difference. Lions of Teranga generally easily secured their fourth-ever World Cup and third in a row.
They like to play over the wings, mostly over Mane. They are very mobile up front with Ndiaye and Jackson and are generally a strong team, which will try to use their physicality. Also, they attack very well through set-pieces, and that is something they will try to exploit, especially when they have a hard time creating offense. However, one of the problems for this team is that they lack discipline, not only among the players but also among the coaching staff.
It seems that Kalidou Koulibaly has recovered, and we expect him in the starting lineup. According to credible sources, he is feeling well and has returned to full training.
Last matches of Senegal
-
United States
3 : 2
Senegal
Friendly International
-
Senegal
3 : 1
Gambia
Friendly International
-
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
Friendly International
-
Senegal
0 : 0
Morocco
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Senegal
1 : 0
Egypt
Africa Cup of Nations
Senegal lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Edouard Mendy
Defenders
-
15
Krepin Diatta
-
3
Kalidou Koulibaly
-
19
Moussa Niakhate
-
25
El Hadji Malick Diouf
Midfielders
-
8
Lamine Camara
-
18
Pape Gueye
-
5
Idrissa Gueye
Forwards
-
10
Sadio Mané
-
13
Iliman Ndiaye
-
11
Nicolas Jackson
Prediction
France went over 2.5 goals in all four of their friendly games against really good competition. Looking further back, they were over 2.5 goals in the past nine games across competitions, mostly thanks to their incredible offense. Scoring 2+ goals against almost anyone in the World seems like a lock. Another good thing for this bet is that they only had one clean sheet in the past seven games, which is definitely something to pay attention to.
Senegal haven't been great for this bet lately, but still went over 2.5 goals in two of the past four friendlies. I think they have their weapons to hurt France, especially over the wings, and we believe they should be able to score in this match as well.
Considering all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, very likely with both teams scoring at least once.
3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals
- France have gone over 2.5 goals in the last nine games across competitions
- France scored 2+ goals in 12 of the past 13 games
- Senegal went over 2.5 goals in two of the past four games
Main prediction France - Senegal
Over 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
France vs Senegal standings in World Cup
| Group I | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |