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Derby vs Bolton prediction 06.11.2026 | Championship

Derby County

Derby County

Kick off:

Date:

Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers

1

2.50

X

3.40

2

2.70

  • Competition: Championship
  • Date: Friday, 6th November 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Pride Park (Derby)

On Friday night, Derby will welcome Bolton in another interesting Championship tie. Some pundits saw both teams as relegation candidates, and every point could be crucial. Can Derby exploit the home advantage and win their first game at Pride Park this season? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Derby County

    1 : 0

    Bolton Wanderers

    League One

  2. Bolton Wanderers

    2 : 1

    Derby County

    League One

  3. Derby County

    2 : 1

    Bolton Wanderers

    League One

  4. Bolton Wanderers

    0 : 0

    Derby County

    League One

  5. Derby County

    4 : 0

    Bolton Wanderers

    Championship

  6. Bolton Wanderers

    1 : 0

    Derby County

    Championship

Derby have won six of the last nine H2H matches against their next opponent. On the other hand, Bolton won twice in the same period, with one draw. The previous meeting was more than two years ago, when Derby won 1-0 at Pride Park. 

Derby County

Derby team overview

Last season was the best for Derby in recent years. They finished eighth, just four points behind the playoff zone. However, things are much harder for John Eustace's team, as Derby are deep in the relegation zone, seven points from safety. The Rams are in terrible form with ten games in a row without a victory and urgently need to stop the negative streak. In the previous match, they lost 4-0 at home against Norwich. The guests dominated the first half, and although the hosts improved after the break, it wasn't enough to avoid another defeat.

Derby were terrible in the last match, and the manager, John Eustace, took responsibility for the defeat. He commented, "It's not the ideal result we want, and the performance is unacceptable when we concede four goals at home. Tactically, I got it wrong tonight, and I'll take full responsibility for the performance. We're professional, and we need a reaction on Friday."

Sammie Szmodics suffered an injury in the previous match, and his status is unclear for Friday. If the attacking midfielder can't play, he will join the already unavailable Sondre Langas, Craig Forsyth, Derry Murkin, Eiran Cashin, Charlie Taylor, and David Ozoh. Also, Joe Ward, Matt Clarke, and Patrick Agyemang are questionable.

Last matches of Derby County

  1. Derby County

    0 : 4

    Norwich City

    Championship

  2. Millwall

    4 : 1

    Derby County

    Championship

  3. Sheffield United

    1 : 1

    Derby County

    Championship

  4. Derby County

    0 : 1

    Stoke City

    Championship

  5. Queens Park Rangers

    4 : 1

    Derby County

    Championship

Derby County lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jacob Widell Zetterstrom

Defenders

  • 43

    Isaac Gordon

  • 24

    Ryan Nyambe

  • 28

    Dion Sanderson

  • 22

    Max Johnston

Midfielders

  • 13

    Filip Bilbija

  • 20

    Alex Mowatt

  • 29

    Oscar Fraulo

  • 8

    Bobby Clark

Forwards

  • 19

    Henrik Meister

  • 9

    Carlton Morris

Bolton Wanderers

Bolton team overview

After five years in League One, Bolton finally returned to the Championship. Some expected them to have huge problems avoiding relegation, but with 17 points in 14 league rounds, they are looking solid enough, maybe even mid-table. However, Steven Schumacher's team lost two of the last three matches. Bolton returned to the right track on Tuesday night with a 1-0 road win over Charlton. The teams were pretty even, but the visitors' better efficiency was enough for all three points.

Bolton's manager, Steven Schumacher, was very pleased after the victory in the previous game. He stated, "So it's another tick in the box for us as well to come to another tough away place to play, get a clean sheet, and play well to an extent. I think we've played better football this year."

Josh Sheehan and Atsuki Ito had problems in the last match and they might skip Friday's game at Pride Park. Besides them, Bolton will be without Eoin Toal, Ryan Hardie, Ethan Erhahon, Jayden Nelson, and John McAtee. Gavin Bazunu is questionable and his status will become clearer closer to the kickoff.

Last matches of Bolton Wanderers

  1. Charlton Athletic

    0 : 1

    Bolton Wanderers

    Championship

  2. Bolton Wanderers

    2 : 3

    Bristol City

    Championship

  3. Bolton Wanderers

    1 : 5

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  4. Southampton

    0 : 0

    Bolton Wanderers

    Championship

  5. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    1 : 3

    Bolton Wanderers

    Championship

Bolton Wanderers lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jack Bonham

Defenders

  • 27

    Luca Stephenson

  • 3

    Chris Forino

  • 14

    Akin Famewo

  • 25

    Max Conway

Midfielders

  • 4

    Xavier Simons

  • 20

    Ruben Rodrigues

  • 12

    David Watson

Forwards

  • 16

    Samuel Iling-Junior

  • 10

    Sam Dalby

  • 35

    Max Lott

Prediction

Derby are terrible at Pride Park this season with a 0-2-5 record and a 4:14 goal difference. On the other hand, Bolton have three wins and one draw in the previous four road games. We should expect the visitors to secure all three points on Friday night. 

3 Reasons why Bolton should win against Derby

  1. Derby have a 0-2-5 record at Pride Park this season
  2. Derby conceded 14 goals in seven home games 
  3. Bolton are unbeaten in the previous four matches

Main prediction Derby County - Bolton Wanderers

AH2 (0)

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

2.04

Bet here

Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers standings in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30 - 19 +11 28
2 Wolverhampton Wanderers 14 8 3 3 25 - 17 +8 27
3 Birmingham City 14 7 5 2 26 - 13 +13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22 - 17 +5 26
5 Swansea City 14 8 2 4 21 - 16 +5 26
6 West Bromwich Albion 14 7 4 3 20 - 15 +5 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29 - 14 +15 24
8 West Ham United 14 6 5 3 36 - 21 +15 23
9 Sheffield United 14 6 4 4 20 - 17 +3 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19 - 16 +3 22
11 Queens Park Rangers 14 5 6 3 22 - 17 +5 21
12 Norwich City 14 6 0 8 27 - 24 +3 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23 - 24 -1 18
14 Blackburn Rovers 14 5 3 6 20 - 22 -2 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16 - 19 -3 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17 - 19 -2 17
17 Bolton Wanderers 14 5 2 7 19 - 26 -7 17
18 Cardiff City 14 3 6 5 22 - 23 -1 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14 - 24 -10 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13 - 23 -10 14
21 Charlton Athletic 14 3 5 6 11 - 22 -11 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18 - 26 -8 10
23 Derby County 14 1 4 9 11 - 29 -18 7
24 Preston North End 14 1 2 11 12 - 30 -18 5

Derby vs Bolton – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Derby this season?

The average xG for Derby in the Championship this season is 1.40.

? How much is the average xG for Bolton this season?

The average xG for Bolton in the Championship this season is 1.51.