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Casa Pia vs Braga Prediction 23.04.2026 | Primeira Liga

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Braga

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  • Competition: Portugal - Primeira Liga
  • Date: Thursday, 23rd, April 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CEST
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

Aiming to secure their grip on fourth place, Braga travel to the Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior on Thursday night to face a relegation-threatened Casa Pia in a crucial Primeira Liga encounter. 

The visitors arrive buoyed by a historic week that saw them reach the Europa League semi-finals, while the hosts are fighting to escape the bottom three during a tense end to the campaign. 

Casa Pia vs Braga Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Braga

    4 : 0

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  2. Casa Pia

    2 : 1

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

  3. Braga

    1 : 2

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  4. Braga

    4 : 3

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  5. Casa Pia

    1 : 3

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

  6. Casa Pia

    0 : 1

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

This will mark the 10th meeting between the two sides, with Braga holding a slight edge after winning five of those encounters, including a commanding 4-0 demolition of Casa Pia on home soil.

Casa Pia

Casa Pia team overview

Casa Pia head into this daunting midweek fixture firmly entrenched in a severe downturn in form, with the Lisbon outfit currently sitting 16th in the table and occupying the dreaded relegation playoff spot after a demoralising seven-match winless run, recording four draws and three defeats during that stretch.

The Gansos have struggled badly to generate any attacking rhythm, failing to find the back of the net in four matches throughout this ongoing drought, including a lifeless goalless draw against Santa Clara last time out, a result that has dragged them dangerously close to the automatic relegation zone.

Matters are further compounded by their alarming home record, with Casa Pia turning Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior into an uneasy venue for their supporters, having managed just two wins from 14 home fixtures this season, while a concerning goal difference of -24 highlights both their attacking limitations and persistent defensive frailties.

On the team news front, experienced defender José Fonte, along with Abdu Conte and Xander Severina, are all facing late fitness tests due to ongoing injury concerns, although at least one member of the trio could be in contention to feature from the bench.

Last matches of Casa Pia

  1. Casa Pia

    0 : 0

    Santa Clara

    Liga Portugal

  2. Alverca

    3 : 1

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  3. Casa Pia

    1 : 1

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  4. Estrela Amadora

    4 : 0

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  5. Estoril

    0 : 0

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

Casa Pia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Patrick Sequeira

Defenders

  • 43

    David Sousa

  • 18

    André Geraldes

  • 4

    João Goulart

Midfielders

  • 75

    Pedro Rosas

  • 8

    Rafael Brito

  • 24

    Iyad Mohamed

  • 72

    Gaizka Larrazabal

Forwards

  • 11

    João Marques

  • 90

    Cassiano

  • 29

    Jérémy Livolant

Braga

Braga team overview

SC Braga head into Matchday 30 riding a wave of confidence and momentum after their sensational 4-2 second-leg victory over Real Betis, a result that secured a 5-3 aggregate triumph and booked their place in the UEFA Europa League semi-finals for the first time in over a decade.

Os Arsenalistas have managed to balance their European exploits with domestic consistency throughout the campaign, currently sitting in 4th place with 53 points, although their most recent 2-2 draw with Famalicao served as a timely reminder that continental commitments can take their toll both physically and mentally.

Carlos Vicens’ side have also established themselves as genuine road warriors during the 2025-26 season, boasting the fourth-best away record in the league with seven victories on their travels, while maintaining an impressive attacking output of 26 goals scored across 14 away fixtures.

However, Braga will be forced into changes for this Thursday league encounter, as defensive duo Sikou Niakaté and Adrián León Barisic are both sidelined through injury, alongside young midfielder Diego Rodrigues, who also remains unavailable due to fitness issues.

Last matches of Braga

  1. Braga

    2 : 2

    Famalicao

    Liga Portugal

  2. Real Betis

    2 : 4

    Braga

    Europa League

  3. Braga

    1 : 0

    Arouca

    Liga Portugal

  4. Braga

    1 : 1

    Real Betis

    Europa League

  5. Moreirense

    0 : 1

    Braga

    Liga Portugal

Braga lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lukas Hornicek

Defenders

  • 17

    Gabriel Moscardo

  • 6

    Vítor Carvalho

  • 14

    Gustaf Lagerbielke

Midfielders

  • 5

    Leonardo Lelo

  • 27

    Florian Grillitsch

  • 8

    João Moutinho

  • 2

    Víctor Gómez

Forwards

  • 21

    Ricardo Horta

  • 18

    Pau Víctor

  • 39

    Fran Navarro

Prediction

While Carlos Vicens may be tempted to shuffle his pack with one eye on the looming Europa League semi-final against Freiburg, the sheer gulf in class and momentum between these two sides makes a home upset appear highly improbable. Braga have evolved into clinical "road warriors" this term, and even a rotated Arsenalistas lineup should possess enough technical guile to dismantle a Casa Pia side that has looked tragically toothless in the final third.

The hosts are currently mired in a debilitating scoring drought, and their fragility at the Municipal de Rio Maior—where they have claimed just two victories all season—offers little hope of a domestic "giant-killing." Shorn of defensive stability and lacking a clinical focal point, the Gansos are likely to be picked apart by the visitors' superior transitional play. We expect Braga to navigate this potentially tricky "European hangover" fixture with professional ease, securing a comfortable clean-sheet victory that cements their top-four standing while leaving a reeling Casa Pia staring into the relegation abyss.

Four Reasons we expect Braga to Win

  1. Casa Pia have not tasted victory in their last seven league matches (4D 3L).
  2. Casa Pia have scored only two goals in over 450 minutes of Primeira Liga football.
  3. Braga have come out on top in the scoreline in three of their last four outings across all competitions.
  4. Braga have beaten Casa Pia away from home in all but one of their last four meetings.

Main prediction Casa Pia - Braga

Braga to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

Casa Pia vs Braga standings in Liga Portugal

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Porto 32 27 4 1 64 - 15 +49 85
2 Sporting CP 32 23 7 2 82 - 23 +59 76
3 Benfica 32 22 10 0 69 - 22 +47 76
4 Sporting Braga 32 16 9 7 60 - 32 +28 57
5 Famalicão 32 14 10 8 41 - 29 +12 52
6 Gil Vicente 32 13 11 8 46 - 32 +14 50
7 Vitória Guimarães 32 12 6 14 39 - 48 -9 42
8 Moreirense 32 12 6 14 37 - 47 -10 42
9 Estoril 32 10 8 14 52 - 53 -1 38
10 Alverca 32 10 8 14 34 - 50 -16 38
11 Arouca 32 10 6 16 41 - 62 -21 36
12 Rio Ave 32 8 11 13 33 - 52 -19 35
13 Santa Clara 32 8 9 15 30 - 40 -10 33
14 Nacional 32 8 7 17 35 - 43 -8 31
15 Estrela Amadora 32 6 10 16 36 - 54 -18 28
16 Casa Pia 32 5 11 16 29 - 56 -27 26
17 Tondela 32 5 10 17 24 - 52 -28 25
18 AVS 32 2 11 19 24 - 66 -42 17

Casa Pia vs Braga – FAQ

? Who is Casa Pia's player to watch?

With only five goals scored, Cassiano holds the position of Casa Pia’s top scorer.

? Who is Braga's player to watch?

Rodrigo Zalazar Martinez is Braga’s top scorer in the current Primeira Liga season, scoring 15 goals and providing four assists.