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Lens vs Toulouse prediction 21.04.2026 | French Cup

RC Lens

RC Lens

Kick off:

Date:

Toulouse

Toulouse

1

1.63

X

4.19

2

6.18

  • Competition: French Cup
  • Date: 21st April 2026
  • Kick-off: 20:10 UK / 21:10 CEST
  • Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis

A cup semi final spot is on the line here, which already adds a bit of tension. Lens come into this with momentum after that dramatic league win over Toulouse just days ago. Still, quick rematches can be tricky. You might expect a similar pattern, but revenge games have a way of shifting the mood, even slightly.

RC Lens vs Toulouse Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. RC Lens

    3 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Toulouse

    0 : 3

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  3. Toulouse

    1 : 1

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  4. RC Lens

    0 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  5. Toulouse

    0 : 2

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  6. RC Lens

    2 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

The recent record leans quite clearly towards Lens. Seven wins from the last ten meetings tells you that much, and the last two have also gone their way. Toulouse did manage an away win in that run, which is interesting. Goals are not always guaranteed though, with the average just above two.

RC Lens

Lens team overview

Les Sang et Or are quietly putting together something impressive this season. Sitting second and keeping pressure on the top spot is not something many predicted back in August.

What stands out more, though, is the response to setbacks. That 3-0 loss to Lille could have derailed things a bit. Instead, Pierre Sage’s side turned around and beat Toulouse 3-2, coming from behind in a way that felt quite telling.

At home, the numbers almost speak for themselves. Thirteen wins from the last fourteen games at Bollaert is not just good form, it is dominance.

Rayan Fofana is expected to lead the line again, even if his cup record is modest. Injuries to Gradit, Gurtner and Antonio do limit depth, but the core of the side still looks strong enough.

Last matches of RC Lens

  1. RC Lens

    3 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Lille

    3 : 0

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  3. RC Lens

    5 : 1

    Angers

    Ligue 1

  4. Lorient

    2 : 1

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  5. RC Lens

    3 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

RC Lens lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 40

    Robin Risser

Defenders

  • 25

    Ismaëlo Ganiou

  • 20

    Malang Sarr

  • 14

    Matthieu Udol

Midfielders

  • 23

    Saud Abdulhamid

  • 8

    Mamadou Sangaré

  • 28

    Adrien Thomasson

  • 27

    Arthur Masuaku

Forwards

  • 7

    Florian Sotoca

  • 38

    Rayan Fofana

  • 22

    Wesley Saïd

Toulouse

Toulouse team overview

Les Violets are in a tougher place right now, and it shows in the results. Conceding three against Lens, after shipping seven in the two games before that, suggests defensive issues that are not going away quickly.

Form overall is worrying too, just two wins in eleven games across all competitions. Away from home, it becomes even harder to make a case.

Seven matches without a win on the road, five of those ending in defeat, is not encouraging ahead of a cup tie like this. Carles Martínez Novell also has selection problems.

Yann Gboho is suspended after that red card, while Francis, Domínguez and Messali remain out injured. It leaves Toulouse a bit short, especially in key areas.

Last matches of Toulouse

  1. RC Lens

    3 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Toulouse

    0 : 4

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  3. PSG

    3 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  4. Toulouse

    1 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  5. Metz

    3 : 4

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

Toulouse lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Guillaume Restes

Defenders

  • 2

    Rasmus Nicolaisen

  • 35

    Seny Koumbassa

  • 4

    Charlie Cresswell

Midfielders

  • 15

    Aron Dønnum

  • 45

    Alexis Vossah

  • 23

    Cristian Cásseres Jr.

  • 12

    Warren Kamanzi

Forwards

  • 11

    Santiago Hidalgo

  • 20

    Emersonn

  • 18

    Pape Demba Diop

Prediction

It feels like Lens have the edge again, maybe even more comfortably this time. Thirteen wins from their last fourteen home games is hard to argue with, and scoring at least twice in five straight there adds weight. Toulouse’s defensive issues linger. You can picture another open game, but one Lens control, finishing 3-1.

Three reasons we expect Lens to win

  1. Lens have scored 2+ goals in each of their last five home matches.
  2. Toulouse managed just one win in their last seven away games.
  3. Lens won each of their last four home meetings with Toulouse.

Main prediction RC Lens - Toulouse

RC Lens to win

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.63

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Lens vs Toulouse – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Tuesday’s game.

? How many corners do Toulouse usually win on the road?

Around 4.14 per away match, which feels modest.

? What about bookings for Pierre Sage’s side at home?

About 1.50 yellow cards on average in their league away games.