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Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction 21.04.2026 | La Liga

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Kick off:

Date:

Alaves

Alaves

1

1.35

X

5.79

2

9.75

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Tuesday, 21st April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:30 UK / 21:30 CEST
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

After being eliminated from the Champions League Quarter-Finals by Bayern Munich, Real Madrid turns their attention to La Liga. Los Blancos are coming into this game after undoubtedly their worst stretch, and trying to close the gap with Barcelona. Meanwhile, Alaves are trying to extend their unbeaten run to five and hope to stay out of the danger zone.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.

Real Madrid vs Alaves Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Alaves

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Alaves

    0 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    3 : 2

    Alaves

    La Liga

  4. Real Madrid

    5 : 0

    Alaves

    La Liga

  5. Alaves

    0 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  6. Real Madrid

    3 : 0

    Alaves

    La Liga

In the first H2H game this season, Real Madrid won 2:1 in a pretty close duel. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Los Blancos dominated, winning nine times, while Alaves won once. 

Regarding the number of goals, seven of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in five of them.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team overview

Real Madrid have been pretty inconsistent this year by their standards. However, they totally collapsed in April, winning just one point in four games across the competitions. During that time, Los Blancos were eliminated from the Champions League and fell nine points behind Barcelona in La Liga. With earlier elimination from the Copa del Rey, there is a big chance they will finish the season trophyless. The fact that bookies give odds of up to 34 for them winning the La Liga title says a lot about their chances. 

After a 4:3 loss against Bayern Munich, coach Álvaro Arbeloa spoke to the media. He said the result was difficult to take, especially given how the game unfolded. The coach heavily criticized Camavinga's red card, saying it had undone everything they've accomplished. However, he praised the players, saying they created enough chances and approached the game the right way. 

Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo should remain sidelined with their injuries. Meanwhile, Raul Asencio will miss the game due to a severe illness.

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Bayern Munich

    4 : 3

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

  2. Real Madrid

    1 : 1

    Girona

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    1 : 2

    Bayern Munich

    Champions League

  4. Mallorca

    2 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Real Madrid

    3 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Andriy Lunin

Defenders

  • 12

    Trent Alexander-Arnold

  • 3

    Éder Militão

  • 22

    Antonio Rüdiger

  • 18

    Álvaro Carreras

Midfielders

  • 21

    Brahim Díaz

  • 8

    Federico Valverde

  • 5

    Jude Bellingham

  • 15

    Arda Güler

Forwards

  • 7

    Vinicius Junior

  • 10

    Kylian Mbappé

Alaves

Alaves team overview

Alaves barely avoided relegation last season, finishing just two points away from the danger zone. This year, they are around the same points-per-game average and are again floating around the relegation zone. After 31 rounds, they are in 17th place, just one point away from dropping into the relegation zone. However, it seems they are playing better under coach Quique Sánchez Flores, who arrived in early March. Still, looking at their remaining schedule, survival definitely won't be easy.

Abderrahmane Rebbach collected his fifth yellow card and will serve his one-game suspension. Meanwhile, Facundo Garces will remain sidelined due to his suspension for a forged document related to his Malaysian citizenship, while Carlos Protesoni should also remain sidelined with an injury.

Last matches of Alaves

  1. Real Sociedad

    3 : 3

    Alaves

    La Liga

  2. Alaves

    2 : 2

    Osasuna

    La Liga

  3. Celta Vigo

    3 : 4

    Alaves

    La Liga

  4. Alaves

    1 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  5. Valencia

    3 : 2

    Alaves

    La Liga

Alaves lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Antonio Sivera

Defenders

  • 14

    Nahuel Tenaglia

  • 24

    Victor Parada

  • 17

    Jonny Otto

Midfielders

  • 7

    Ángel Pérez

  • 19

    Pablo Ibáñez

  • 8

    Antonio Blanco

  • 18

    Jon Guridi

  • 10

    Carles Aleñá

Forwards

  • 15

    Lucas Boyé

  • 11

    Toni Martínez

Prediction

Real Madrid have scored at least one goal in 92% of their games (45 out of 49). But considering their offensive talent, that is hardly a surprise. However, a good thing for this bet is the fact that they had massive problems on the defensive end and failed to keep a clean sheet in seven consecutive games across competitions.

Alaves have been amazing offensively in the past five matches after Quique Sánchez Flores arrival. They scored an incredible 12 goals in the last five games - 2.4 per game. That is well above their season average of 1.13 gpg! Therefore, we believe they will score in this match as well. 

Also, we saw both teams scoring in the first H2H game this season. Considering all the above, but especially both teams' recent offensive performances, we believe that each team will score at least once in this La Liga tie.

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Real Madrid scored at least one goal in 92% of their games
  2. Real Madrid failed to keep a clean sheet in the past seven games
  3. Alaves scored 12 goals in the previous five games - 2.4 per game
  4. We saw both teams scoring in Alaves' last five games

Main prediction Real Madrid - Alaves

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.87

Bet here

Real Madrid vs Alaves standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 31 26 1 4 84 - 30 +54 79
2 Real Madrid 31 22 4 5 65 - 29 +36 70
3 Villarreal 31 19 4 8 56 - 36 +20 61
4 Atlético Madrid 31 17 6 8 51 - 32 +19 57
5 Real Betis 31 11 13 7 45 - 38 +7 46
6 Celta de Vigo 31 11 11 9 44 - 40 +4 44
7 Real Sociedad 31 11 9 11 49 - 48 +1 42
8 Getafe 31 12 5 14 27 - 32 -5 41
9 Osasuna 31 10 9 12 37 - 38 -1 39
10 Espanyol 31 10 8 13 37 - 48 -11 38
11 Athletic Club 31 11 5 15 33 - 45 -12 38
12 Girona 31 9 11 11 33 - 45 -12 38
13 Rayo Vallecano 31 8 11 12 29 - 38 -9 35
14 Valencia 31 9 8 14 34 - 46 -12 35
15 Mallorca 31 9 7 15 39 - 48 -9 34
16 Sevilla 31 9 7 15 39 - 51 -12 34
17 Deportivo Alavés 31 8 9 14 35 - 46 -11 33
18 Elche 31 7 11 13 39 - 47 -8 32
19 Levante 31 7 8 16 35 - 50 -15 29
20 Real Oviedo 31 6 9 16 24 - 48 -24 27

Real Madrid vs Alaves – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Real Madrid this season?

The average xG for Real Madrid in La Liga this season is 2.1.

? How much is the average xG for Alaves this season?

The average xG for Alaves in La Liga this season is 1.35.