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Bournemouth vs Manchester City prediction 19.05.2026 | Premier League

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

Kick off:

Date:

Manchester City

Manchester City

1

4.58

X

4.40

2

1.76

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: 19th May 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CEST
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth face one of the biggest nights in the club’s modern story when City arrive come to town on Tuesday. The Cherries are somehow chasing a Champions League place, while Pep Guardiola’s side remain deep in another tense title race. That contrast alone makes this fascinating.

Bookmakers understandably favour City because of the squad depth and recent form. Still, Bournemouth have unsettled elite sides more than once lately. Arsenal FC and Liverpool FC already learned that the difficult way.

AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester City

    3 : 1

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  2. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 2

    Manchester City

    FA Cup

  3. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  4. AFC Bournemouth

    0 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  5. Manchester City

    6 : 1

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  6. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 4

    Manchester City

    Premier League

Manchester City FC have dominated this fixture since 2020, winning nine of the last 10 meetings with AFC Bournemouth. The Cherries’ only victory came at the Vitality Stadium, which probably keeps a bit of belief alive among home supporters. Goals usually follow this matchup too, averaging almost four per game.

AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth team overview

Bournemouth are drifting closer to something that sounded unrealistic not so long ago, European football and perhaps even the Champions League. The Cherries sit sixth right now, and a few favourable results elsewhere could still open that door wider.

Andoni Iraola’s side are unbeaten in 17 matches across all competitions, which feels genuinely impressive when you consider the financial gap between Bournemouth and the clubs around them. Wins against Arsenal and Liverpool during that stretch proved this run is not built on weaker opponents alone.

Recent victories over Palace and Fulham kept momentum strong. Oddly enough, though, home form has been slightly frustrating. Bournemouth won only one of the last six league games at the Vitality, drawing five.

Ryan Christie is available again despite the recent red card, while Matai Akinmboni remains out with a muscle injury.

Last matches of AFC Bournemouth

  1. Fulham

    0 : 1

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  2. AFC Bournemouth

    3 : 0

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  3. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    1 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  5. Arsenal

    1 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

AFC Bournemouth lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Djordje Petrovic

Defenders

  • 3

    Adrien Truffert

  • 5

    Marcos Senesi

  • 23

    James Hill

  • 15

    Adam Smith

Midfielders

  • 22

    Eli Junior Kroupi

  • 12

    Tyler Adams

  • 8

    Alex Scott

Forwards

  • 16

    Marcus Tavernier

  • 9

    Evanilson

  • 37

    Rayan

Manchester City

Manchester City team overview

City added another trophy on Saturday after beating Chelsea 1-0 in the FA Cup final. After already winning the League Cup earlier this season, Pep Guardiola’s side still have a slim chance of completing a domestic treble.

The Citizens need six points from the final two league games and probably a favour or two elsewhere. Pressure affects teams differently. Some tighten up. Pep’s side, more often than not, seem to become sharper.

City travel to Bournemouth unbeaten in 10 matches across all competitions, winning nine of them. The defensive record stands out too. Manchester City kept clean sheets in the last three games and won four of the previous five away fixtures.

Antoine Semenyo scored the winner in the FA Cup final and should keep his place against his former club. Guardiola also has the rare advantage of a fully fit squad with no new suspensions or injuries.

Last matches of Manchester City

  1. Chelsea

    0 : 1

    Manchester City

    FA Cup

  2. Manchester City

    3 : 0

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  3. Manchester City

    3 : 0

    Brentford

    Premier League

  4. Everton

    3 : 3

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  5. Manchester City

    2 : 1

    Southampton

    FA Cup

Manchester City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    James Trafford

Defenders

  • 33

    Nico O'Reilly

  • 15

    Marc Guéhi

  • 45

    Abdukodir Khusanov

  • 27

    Matheus Nunes

Midfielders

  • 20

    Bernardo Silva

  • 10

    Rayan Cherki

  • 8

    Mateo Kovačić

Forwards

  • 11

    Jérémy Doku

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 42

    Antoine Semenyo

Prediction

Manchester City probably still deserve favouritism here, although Bournemouth have become awkward opponents for almost everyone lately. Pep Guardiola’s side won nine of the last 10 meetings between these clubs and arrive unbeaten in 10 matches across all competitions. The Cherries should create opportunities at home  but City’s experience in tense title races may end up making the difference again. I am going for a tight 2-1 away victory for Haaland and Co.

Four reasons we expect over 2.5 goals

  1. Bournemouth shipped 2+ goals in five of their last nine home encounters.
  2. Four of the last five games of Manchester City produced over 2.5 goals.
  3. Bets on over 2.5 goals won in five of the last six games of Bournemouth.
  4. 10 of the last 11 meetings between Bournemouth and City finished with 3+ goals.

Main prediction AFC Bournemouth - Manchester City

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.50

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AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 36 24 7 5 68 - 26 +42 79
2 Manchester City 36 23 8 5 75 - 32 +43 77
3 Manchester United 37 19 11 7 66 - 50 +16 68
4 Aston Villa 37 18 8 11 54 - 48 +6 62
5 Liverpool 37 17 8 12 62 - 52 +10 59
6 AFC Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 56 - 52 +4 55
7 Brighton & Hove Albion 37 14 11 12 52 - 43 +9 53
8 Brentford 37 14 10 13 54 - 51 +3 52
9 Sunderland 37 13 12 12 40 - 47 -7 51
10 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 55 - 49 +6 49
11 Newcastle United 37 14 7 16 53 - 53 0 49
12 Everton 37 13 10 14 47 - 49 -2 49
13 Fulham 37 14 7 16 45 - 51 -6 49
14 Leeds United 37 11 14 12 49 - 53 -4 47
15 Crystal Palace 37 11 12 14 40 - 49 -9 45
16 Nottingham Forest 37 11 10 16 47 - 50 -3 43
17 Tottenham Hotspur 36 9 11 16 46 - 55 -9 38
18 West Ham United 37 9 9 19 43 - 65 -22 36
19 Burnley 36 4 9 23 37 - 73 -36 21
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 37 3 10 24 26 - 67 -41 19

Bournemouth vs Manchester City – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Tuesday’s Premier League game.

? How many corners do Manchester City usually win on the road this season?

Around 5.72 per Premier League away match, which feels huge. 

? What about bookings for Andoni Iraola’s men at home?

About 2.06 yellow cards on average in their Premier League home games.