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Lahti vs VPS prediction 18.05.2026 | Veikkausliiga

FC Lahti

FC Lahti

Kick off:

Date:

VPS Vaasa

VPS Vaasa

1

2.35

X

3.20

2

3.03

  • Competition: Veikkausliiga
  • Date: Monday, 18th May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 16:00 UK / 17:00 CEST
  • Venue: Lahden Stadion (Lahti)

While most European football leagues are slowly coming to an end, the Finnish Veikkausliiga is still in its early stages. In the seventh round, one of the more interesting duels will be between Lahti and VPS. Both teams come to the game after big wins in the Suomen Cup - Lahti 3:1 over Mikkeli, while VPS dominated Abo 7:0. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Veikkausliiga tie. 

FC Lahti vs VPS Vaasa Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. FC Lahti

    0 : 0

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  2. VPS Vaasa

    3 : 0

    FC Lahti

    Veikkausliiga

  3. FC Lahti

    0 : 2

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  4. VPS Vaasa

    0 : 0

    FC Lahti

    Veikkausliiga

  5. FC Lahti

    0 : 2

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  6. VPS Vaasa

    2 : 3

    FC Lahti

    Veikkausliiga

These teams last met in the 2024 season, when VPS won 3:0 at home, and the other H2H game ended in a goalless draw. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Lahti have won twice, while VPS have won four times. 

Regarding the number of goals, four of the previous ten H2H games ended with three or more goals. Moreover, both teams scored in four of those ten H2H games as well. 

FC Lahti

Lahti team overview

Lahti were relegated in the 2024 season and returned instantly by winning the Ykkösliiga last year. This season, the popular "Black Drones" had a mediocre start but are still in 7th place with seven points from six rounds - three points away from the Championship Group. They can probably be satisfied with how things have gone thus far, especially if we add that they secured the Suomen Cup 1/8 Finals pretty easily. 

Central defender Nicolas Gianini Dantas suffered an injury in the previous game against Mikkeli and had to leave the field after only 33 minutes. The 28-year-old Brazilian has started in all six league games and are among the team's best players. Therefore, a possible absence could be really significant. On the other hand, striker Neemias served his one-game suspension and will be available. 

Last matches of FC Lahti

  1. FC Lahti

    3 : 1

    MP

    Finland Cup

  2. FC Lahti

    1 : 1

    IFK Mariehamn

    Veikkausliiga

  3. HJK Helsinki

    1 : 0

    FC Lahti

    Veikkausliiga

  4. Union Plaani

    2 : 4

    FC Lahti

    Finland Cup

  5. FC Lahti

    2 : 1

    AC Oulu

    Veikkausliiga

FC Lahti lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Osku Maukonen

Defenders

  • 27

    Romaric Yapi

  • 4

    José Müller

  • 6

    Väinö Vehkonen

  • 3

    Romain Sans

Midfielders

  • 8

    Tòfol Montiel

  • 18

    Yohan Cassubie

  • 14

    Erik Andersson

Forwards

  • 77

    Momodou Sarr

  • 19

    Neemias

  • 11

    Martim Ferreira

VPS Vaasa

VPS team overview

VPS missed the Championship Group last year after two consecutive seasons (2023 and 2024). However, they did not come too close to the relegation zone last year, despite ending up in the Relegation Group. This year, they had a good start, and it seems they are only getting better as the season progresses. At the moment, they are in 6th place with nine points from six rounds. With a potential win here, they could jump to 3rd spot! Also, like Lahti, VPS also did well in the Suomen Cup, reaching the 1/8 Finals. However, unlike Lahti, VPS had a very easy route, beating only lower-league teams. 

After a massive 7:0 win over Abo in the Suomen Cup, coach Jussi Nuorela spoke to the media. He was pleased with the professionalism and focus from the opening minutes. The coach said they treated the Cup seriously and respected the opponent. 

Last matches of VPS Vaasa

  1. VPS Vaasa

    7 : 0

    ÅIFK

    Finland Cup

  2. VPS Vaasa

    1 : 1

    Gnistan

    Veikkausliiga

  3. IFK Mariehamn

    0 : 1

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  4. Leki

    1 : 9

    VPS Vaasa

    Finland Cup

  5. VPS Vaasa

    3 : 2

    FC Ilves

    Veikkausliiga

VPS Vaasa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 41

    Mamadou Jalloh

Defenders

  • 2

    Lassana Mané

  • 6

    Emmanuel Okereke

  • 19

    Martti Haukioja

Midfielders

  • 27

    Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan

  • 14

    Simon Lindholm

  • 34

    Antti-Ville Räisänen

  • 8

    Paulo Lima

  • 7

    Jayden Turfkruier

Forwards

  • 11

    Jonathan Muzinga

  • 15

    Luka Smyth

Prediction

Even though these teams had some good offensive displays, which led to high-scoring matches, those games were in the Cup. In the Veikkausliiga, these teams went under 2.5 goals in back-to-back games. Both Lahti and VPS have been far from impressive offensively in the league, averaging 0.83 goals per game.

Also, VPS have been amazing for this type of bet on the road, going under 2.5 goals in all three league games with a 1:1 goal difference. That alone says a lot about their mentality and approach. 

Moreover, four of the past five H2H games ended with fewer than three goals. Considering the trend in the previous games, both teams' subpar offensive performances, and all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Veikkausliiga tie.

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Both teams went under 2.5 goals in back-to-back league games
  2. Both teams average 0.83 goals per game in the league
  3. Four of the past five H2H games ended with fewer than three goals

Main prediction FC Lahti - VPS Vaasa

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.65

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FC Lahti vs VPS Vaasa standings in Veikkausliiga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter Turku 8 5 2 1 11 - 5 +6 17
2 Oulu 8 5 0 3 13 - 7 +6 15
3 KuPS 8 3 4 1 10 - 8 +2 13
4 HJK 8 3 3 2 11 - 6 +5 12
5 TPS 7 3 3 1 9 - 6 +3 12
6 VPS 6 2 3 1 5 - 4 +1 9
7 Gnistan 7 2 2 3 10 - 11 -1 8
8 Lahti 6 2 1 3 5 - 7 -2 7
9 Ilves 7 1 3 3 10 - 13 -3 6
10 SJK 7 1 3 3 6 - 10 -4 6
11 Mariehamn 7 0 4 3 5 - 10 -5 4
12 Jaro 7 0 4 3 4 - 12 -8 4

Lahti vs VPS – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on Onefootball.

? How much is the average xG for Lahti this season?

The average xG for Lahti in the Veikkausliiga this season is 1.31.

? How much is the average xG for VPS this season?

The average xG for VPS in the Veikkausliiga this season is 1.37.