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Troyes vs Le Mans prediction 31.10.2026 | Ligue 1

Troyes

Troyes

Kick off:

Date:

Le Mans

Le Mans

1

2.39

X

3.60

2

3.13

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: 31st October 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stade de l'Aube

Ligue 1 action returns this Saturday as Troyes host rivals Le Mans in a fascinating clash highlighting bottom-tier teams fighting for a relegation lifeline. Remember Le Mans’s dramatic 2-0 league victory in their last encounter here back in January? Erwan Colas and Harold Voyer got on the scoresheet before the break to turn the home crowd completely silent. The Estac will be desperate for a vastly improved result this week to kickstart a proper escape from the drop zone. Whether they can actually dismantle Le Mans's resilient away setup or completely overwhelm their low defensive block remains to be seen. Let's look at the best betting angles.

Troyes vs Le Mans Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Troyes

    0 : 2

    Le Mans

    Ligue 2

  2. Le Mans

    2 : 2

    Troyes

    Ligue 2

  3. Troyes

    2 : 1

    Le Mans

    Ligue 2

  4. Troyes

    2 : 1

    Le Mans

    Ligue 2

  5. Le Mans

    1 : 1

    Troyes

    Ligue 2

  6. Troyes

    0 : 1

    Le Mans

    Ligue 2

Historically, Le Mans owns this fixture with seven wins to Troyes's two. Three games finished level. However, all the previous two meetings at this ground were draws. The average number of goals per game in this fixture stands at 2.5.

Troyes

Troyes team overview

Troyes enters this one on the back of a hard-fought 0-0 away draw against Toulouse. ESTAC looks visually weary right now.

Stéphane Dumont’s men are finding life incredibly tough back in the top tier after storming to the Ligue 2 title last season. They have been abysmal, picking up just 5 points from their opening 8 league games.

Their home record at the Stade de l'Aube is catastrophic, remaining winless on a miserable four-game streak consisting of three losses and a solitary draw. Antoine Mille remains a rare bright spark, having registered one goal and an assist so far this season.

Defensively, they look vulnerable after shipping two or goals in five of their last six outings, but thankfully the squad has mostly avoided catastrophic new injuries ahead of this vital clash.

Last matches of Troyes

  1. Toulouse

    0 : 0

    Troyes

    Ligue 1

  2. Troyes

    1 : 3

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  3. Troyes

    0 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  4. Dijon

    2 : 2

    Troyes

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Angers

    2 : 0

    Troyes

    Ligue 1

Troyes lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 40

    Hillel Konaté

Defenders

  • 2

    Lucas Maronnier

  • 6

    Adrien Monfray

  • 4

    Junior Diaz

  • 5

    Paolo Gozzi

Midfielders

  • 17

    Antoine Mille

  • 29

    Dermane Karim

  • 8

    Mouhamed Diop

Forwards

  • 10

    Merwan Ifnaoui

  • 20

    Renaud Ripart

  • 28

    Timothé Nkada

Le Mans

Le Mans team overview

Le Mans prepares for this one on the back of a respectable 1-1 away draw against Auxerre. Les Sang et Or are definitely riding an emotional wave.

Patrick Videira’s men have pulled off a minor miracle by achieving two successive promotions from the third tier straight into Ligue 1. Despite their fairy-tale rise, life in the top flight has predictably exposed some cracks, leaving them 15th with 7 points from their first 8 league games.

Their away form is a bit worrying, though. They are yet to win on the road in the league this season, losing two and drawing two of their four games so far.

Louis Mafouta remains their undisputed talisman up front, netting four goals recently to spearhead the attack. Fortunately, Videira's squad has no major new injury concerns, though they must manage squad rotation to maintain consistency.

Last matches of Le Mans

  1. Auxerre

    1 : 1

    Le Mans

    Ligue 1

  2. Le Mans

    0 : 3

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  3. PSG

    3 : 1

    Le Mans

    Ligue 1

  4. Guingamp

    2 : 1

    Le Mans

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Le Mans

    2 : 1

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

Le Mans lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 98

    Nicolas Kocik

Defenders

  • 16

    Raul Torrente

  • 17

    Samuel Yohou

  • 19

    Djibril Sidibé

  • 18

    Lucas Buadés

Midfielders

  • 9

    Antoine Rabillard

  • 29

    Lucas Bretelle

  • 8

    Alexandre Lauray

Forwards

  • 22

    Lucas Calodat

  • 13

    Habib Diallo

  • 14

    Louis Mafouta

Prediction

Both teams are absolutely leaking goals. Troyes can't defend their own shadow right now, while Le Mans hasn't kept a single clean sheet all season. It's chaotic. However, with Mafouta in fine scoring form and Mille pulling the strings for the hosts, a high-scoring stalemate looks highly likely. A 2-2 draw feels completely right.

Four reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Le Mans have not kept a clean sheet this season.
  2. Troyes finished only one of their last seven Ligue 1 games.
  3. Six of the last eight league games of Le Mans finished with three or more goals.
  4. Three of the last four meetings between Troyes and Le Mans finished with over 2.5 goals.

Main prediction Troyes - Le Mans

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

59% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.89

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Troyes vs Le Mans standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 8 5 2 1 16 - 9 +7 17
2 Rennes 8 5 1 2 18 - 14 +4 16
3 LOSC Lille 8 4 3 1 11 - 6 +5 15
4 Monaco 8 4 3 1 11 - 7 +4 15
5 Olympique Lyonnais 8 4 2 2 13 - 7 +6 14
6 Paris 8 4 2 2 13 - 9 +4 14
7 Lens 8 4 1 3 16 - 12 +4 13
8 Olympique Marseille 8 4 0 4 18 - 13 +5 12
9 Lorient 8 3 3 2 7 - 6 +1 12
10 Nice 8 3 2 3 8 - 10 -2 11
11 Toulouse 8 2 4 2 12 - 11 +1 10
12 Auxerre 8 3 1 4 12 - 18 -6 10
13 Brest 8 2 3 3 14 - 12 +2 9
14 Angers SCO 8 2 2 4 9 - 15 -6 8
15 Le Mans 8 1 4 3 11 - 16 -5 7
16 Strasbourg 8 2 1 5 12 - 18 -6 7
17 Troyes 8 1 2 5 5 - 16 -11 5
18 Le Havre 8 0 2 6 8 - 15 -7 2

Troyes vs Le Mans – FAQ

? Where can I actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Saturday’s Ligue 1 encounter between Troyes and Le Mans.

? How many corners do Troyes win on average per game in this season?

Around 6.50 per match, which is surprisingly high and shows they focus heavily on wide attacking play and keeping opponents under constant pressure.

? What about bookings for Le Mans on the road this season?

Around 2.33 yellow cards on average, as the visitors have struggled to maintain a highly disciplined defensive setup away from home.