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AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction 04.05.2026 | Serie A

AS Roma

AS Roma

Kick off:

Date:

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

1.66

X

4.39

2

5.42

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Monday, 4th May 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

On Monday night, AS Roma will welcome Fiorentina in another intriguing Serie A tie. With only four league rounds left in the season, every game could be crucial. Can AS Roma win and get closer to the Champions League? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

AS Roma vs Fiorentina Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Fiorentina

    1 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  2. Fiorentina

    5 : 1

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  3. Fiorentina

    2 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  4. AS Roma

    1 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  5. Fiorentina

    2 : 1

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  6. AS Roma

    2 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

There is no dominant side in the recent H2H matches between AS Roma and Fiorentina, as both teams won twice, with two draws in the previous six meetings. In the only meeting this season, AS Roma won 2-1. Also, it is worth noting that three of the last four H2H games ended with at least three goals. 

AS Roma

AS Roma team overview

After eight years, AS Roma could return to the Champions League. They are three points behind the desired positions and need the best possible form in the coming weeks. AS Roma picked up an encouraging seven points in the last three matches. In the previous game, they won 2-0 on the road against Bologna. The guests ended with an impressive xG of 2.13, compared to the hosts' 0.50, so anything other than AS Roma's victory would feel pretty unfair. Now, Gian Piero Gasperini's team will focus on Fiorentina in another must-win tie.

AS Roma's head coach, Gian Piero Gasperini, was optimistic about his team's chances for the Champions League appearance. He said, "We have to believe we can win every match. We're getting important players back, and in this way, we can produce first halves like the one today. In the second half, we struggled a little again, and we need to improve." 

Neil El Aynaoui received his fifth yellow card in the previous round and will serve a suspension on Monday. AS Roma will also be without injured Artem Dovbyk, Evan Ferguson, and Lorenzo Pellegrini.

Last matches of AS Roma

  1. Bologna

    0 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  2. AS Roma

    1 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  3. AS Roma

    3 : 0

    Pisa

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    5 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  5. AS Roma

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

AS Roma lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Mile Svilar

Defenders

  • 5

    Evan Ndicka

  • 23

    Gianluca Mancini

  • 22

    Mario Hermoso

Midfielders

  • 19

    Zeki Celik

  • 17

    Manu Kone

  • 4

    Bryan Cristante

  • 43

    Wesley

Forwards

  • 18

    Matias Soule

  • 14

    Donyell Malen

  • 61

    Niccolo Pisilli

Fiorentina

Fiorentina team overview

Although Fiorentina spent a large portion of the season in the relegation zone, the team from Florence will soon secure another year in Serie A. They are nine points ahead of the drop zone, and with only four games left, Paolo Vanoli's team shouldn't have any concerns. Also, Fiorentina's form was impressive for almost two months, as they lost only once in the last 11 matches. In the previous match, they played 0-0 at home against Sassuolo. The hosts dominated and had numerous good chances to score, but their inefficiency cost them two points that time.

Although Fiorentina didn't win, Fiorentina's head coach, Paolo Vanoli, was satisfied with his team's performance against Sassuolo. He said, "It was a lack of determination and sharpness in front of the goal. It has nothing to do with us lacking a striker today. (Albert) Gudmundsson executed the role he was assigned very well. We didn't capitalize on the chances we got, but we still put in a very good performance against a team that is playing very well."

Niccolo Fortini, Robin Gosens, Moise Kean, Tariq Lamptey, and Fabiano Parisi are unavailable for the trip to Rome, while Luis Balbo is questionable.

Last matches of Fiorentina

  1. Fiorentina

    0 : 0

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  2. Lecce

    1 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  3. Fiorentina

    2 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Europa Conference League

  4. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  5. Crystal Palace

    3 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

Fiorentina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    David de Gea

Defenders

  • 2

    Dodo

  • 3

    Daniele Rugani

  • 15

    Pietro Comuzzo

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

Midfielders

  • 8

    Rolando Mandragora

  • 44

    Nicolo Fagioli

  • 27

    Cher Ndour

Forwards

  • 17

    Jack Harrison

  • 10

    Albert Gudmundsson

  • 19

    Manor Solomon

Prediction

AS Roma conceded one goal in the last three matches. On the other hand, allowed two goals in the previous four games. With both teams showing excellent defense, we shouldn't expect more than two goals in the upcoming clash. 

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. AS Roma conceded only one goal in the last two matches
  2. Both previous AS Roma games have gone under 2.5 goals
  3. Fiorentina allowed two goals in the last four matches
  4. Three of the previous four Fiorentina games ended with two or fewer goals

Main prediction AS Roma - Fiorentina

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.01

Bet here

AS Roma vs Fiorentina standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 34 25 4 5 80 - 31 +49 79
2 Napoli 35 21 7 7 52 - 33 +19 70
3 AC Milan 34 19 10 5 48 - 27 +21 67
4 Juventus 34 18 10 6 57 - 29 +28 64
5 Como 35 17 11 7 59 - 28 +31 62
6 Roma 34 19 4 11 48 - 29 +19 61
7 Atalanta 35 14 13 8 47 - 32 +15 55
8 Lazio 34 12 12 10 37 - 33 +4 48
9 Bologna 34 14 6 14 42 - 41 +1 48
10 Udinese 35 13 8 14 43 - 46 -3 47
11 Sassuolo 34 13 7 14 41 - 44 -3 46
12 Parma 34 10 12 12 25 - 40 -15 42
13 Torino 35 11 8 16 39 - 58 -19 41
14 Genoa 35 10 10 15 40 - 48 -8 40
15 Fiorentina 34 8 13 13 38 - 45 -7 37
16 Cagliari 34 9 9 16 36 - 49 -13 36
17 Lecce 35 8 8 19 24 - 47 -23 32
18 Cremonese 34 6 10 18 26 - 51 -25 28
19 Hellas Verona 34 3 10 21 23 - 56 -33 19
20 Pisa 35 2 12 21 25 - 63 -38 18

AS Roma vs Fiorentina – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Fiorentina this season?

The average xG for Fiorentina in Serie A this season is 1.51.

? How much is the average xG for Fiorentina this season?

The average xG for Fiorentina in Serie A this season is 1.38.