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Lyon vs Rennes prediction 03.05.2026 | Ligue 1

Lyon

Lyon

Kick off:

Date:

Rennes

Rennes

1

2.28

X

3.80

2

3.19

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 3rd May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

On Sunday evening, two teams trying to secure a top-three finish and a Champions League appearance next season, Lyon and Rennes, will face off. Both teams are coming into the game on a great run, as Lyon won three in a row and Rennes four before this duel.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie. 

Lyon vs Rennes Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Rennes

    3 : 1

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  2. Lyon

    4 : 1

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

  3. Rennes

    3 : 0

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  4. Lyon

    2 : 3

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

  5. Rennes

    0 : 1

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  6. Lyon

    3 : 1

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

In the previous H2H game in September 2025, Rennes won 3:1. It was a super-exciting game in which Lyon led for almost the entire game. However, a red card by Tyler Morton in the 75th minute changed the momentum, and Rennes managed to score three goals after. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Lyon won four times, while Rennes have won six times. 

When it comes to the number of goals, eight of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in seven of those.

Lyon

Lyon team overview

Lyon had a turbulent offseason, during which they almost got relegated due to financial problems. However, Les Gones have been excellent for almost the entire season. Their only bad period was between late February and early April, when they went on a nine-game winless streak. During that time, they were eliminated from the Coupe de France Quarter-Finals and the Europa League 1/8 Finals, and dropped a lot of points in Ligue 1. However, they responded well by winning three in a row in Ligue 1, including a 2:1 win over PSG in Paris. Right now, Les Gones are in 3rd place with 57 points from 31 rounds. Still, 4th-placed Lille are on level with points, and Rennes are just one point behind. So, they have to continue winning points in order to secure that 3rd spot. 

Orel Mangala suffered an injury in the previous game against Auxerre and had to leave the field after 34 minutes. He is set to miss around two weeks with that injury. Additionally, Malick Fofana, Remi Himbert, and Ernest Nuamah should remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of Lyon

  1. Lyon

    3 : 2

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  2. PSG

    1 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  3. Lyon

    2 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  4. Angers

    0 : 0

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  5. Lyon

    1 : 2

    Monaco

    Ligue 1

Lyon lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dominik Greif

Defenders

  • 98

    Ainsley Maitland-Niles

  • 22

    Clinton Mata

  • 19

    Moussa Niakhaté

  • 16

    Abner

Midfielders

  • 44

    Khalis Merah

  • 23

    Tyler Morton

  • 8

    Corentin Tolisso

Forwards

  • 9

    Endrick

  • 77

    Roman Yaremchuk

  • 10

    Pavel Sulc

Rennes

Rennes team overview

Rennes came into this season after two underwhelming seasons, finishing 10th and 12th. This year, the popular Red and Blacks did OK throughout the season. However, four straight losses in late January and early February led to a coaching change. After Habib Beye left and Franck Haise arrived, they were incredible. Looking only at the past ten games, the Red and Blacks are the best team in the league! With only three rounds to go, they are just one point away from 3rd spot and the Champions League appearance next season. So, this game against Lyon could very much decide the fate of their entire season.

For the upcoming match, coach Frank Hasie should have no new absences, but Jeremy Jacquet, Arnaud Nordin, and Przemyslaw Frankowski should remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of Rennes

  1. Rennes

    2 : 1

    Nantes

    Ligue 1

  2. Strasbourg

    0 : 3

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

  3. Rennes

    2 : 1

    Angers

    Ligue 1

  4. Brest

    3 : 4

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

  5. Rennes

    0 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

Rennes lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Brice Samba

Defenders

  • 36

    Alidu Seidu

  • 48

    Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal

  • 3

    Lilian Brassier

  • 26

    Quentin Merlin

Midfielders

  • 10

    Ludovic Blas

  • 45

    Mahdi Camara

  • 21

    Valentin Rongier

  • 11

    Mousa Tamari

Forwards

  • 9

    Estéban Lepaul

  • 7

    Breel Embolo

Prediction

Lyon went over 2.5 goals in back-to-back games against Auxerre and PSG. Les Gones are in a really good momentum, scoring two or more goals in three consecutive games, and there is no reason to believe they will stop with such performances. 

Rennes are in excellent form as well, winning four in a row and scoring 11 goals - 2.75 per game. Looking further back, they really did well offensively since coach Franck Haise arrived. Mainly due to great offensive performances during nine games under coach Haise, Rennes went over 2.5 goals on seven occasions.

Moreover, eight of the past nine H2H games ended with three or more goals. Considering the trend in the previous H2H games, both teams' offensive performances lately, and all the above, an over 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Ligue 1 tie. 

5 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Lyon went over 2.5 goals in back-to-back games vs PSG and Auxerre
  2. Lyon scored two or more goals in the past three games
  3. Rennes went over 2.5 goals in the past four games
  4. Rennes scored 2+ goals in the past four games
  5. Eight of the past nine H2H games ended with three or more goals

Main prediction Lyon - Rennes

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.73

Bet here

Lyon vs Rennes standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 30 22 3 5 68 - 25 +43 69
2 Lens 30 20 3 7 60 - 32 +28 63
3 LOSC Lille 31 17 6 8 50 - 34 +16 57
4 Olympique Lyonnais 31 17 6 8 48 - 32 +16 57
5 Rennes 31 16 8 7 54 - 42 +12 56
6 Olympique Marseille 31 16 5 10 59 - 41 +18 53
7 Monaco 31 15 6 10 54 - 47 +7 51
8 Strasbourg 30 13 7 10 49 - 39 +10 46
9 Lorient 31 10 11 10 42 - 47 -5 41
10 Toulouse 31 10 8 13 43 - 44 -1 38
11 Brest 30 10 8 12 41 - 47 -6 38
12 Paris 31 9 11 11 40 - 47 -7 38
13 Angers SCO 31 9 7 15 26 - 43 -17 34
14 Le Havre 31 6 13 12 29 - 42 -13 31
15 Nice 31 7 9 15 35 - 57 -22 30
16 Auxerre 31 5 10 16 27 - 42 -15 25
17 Nantes 31 4 8 19 26 - 51 -25 20
18 Metz 31 3 7 21 31 - 70 -39 16

Lyon vs Rennes – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Lyon this season?

The average xG for Lyon in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.39.

? How much is the average xG for Rennes this season?

The average xG for Rennes in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.60.