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Sassuolo vs AC Milan prediction 03.05.2026 | Serie A

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

Kick off:

Date:

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

4.70

X

3.85

2

1.70

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: 3rd May 2026
  • Kick-off: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
  • Venue: Reggio Emilia

At first glance, Milan should handle this. Third place, 21 points ahead, bigger squad, bigger expectations. But it is not that straightforward, is it? I Rossoneri have looked uneven lately, especially away from home. Sassuolo, sitting mid-table, seem more relaxed and oddly dangerous at home. So yes, Milan are favourites, though you would not call it comfortable.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AC Milan

    2 : 2

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  2. AC Milan

    6 : 1

    Sassuolo

    Coppa Italia

  3. Sassuolo

    3 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    2 : 5

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  6. Sassuolo

    0 : 0

    AC Milan

    Serie A

Since 2020, these sides have met 11 times. I Rossoneri lead with five wins and three clean sheets. The Black and Greens have three victories, with three draws as well, including the last meeting. Goals tend to come easily here, averaging 3.73 per game.

Sassuolo

Sassuolo team overview

The Black and Greens have quietly put together a decent run. Just one defeat in the last five matches, along with two wins and two draws, suggests a team that is hard to put away.

Grosso’s side are not fighting relegation anymore, sitting 18 points clear, but there is still pride in how they finish the season.

Defensively, though, things are less convincing. That goalless draw against Fiorentina last weekend was their first clean sheet in eight games, which tells you how open matches have been.

At home, however, it is a different story. Four wins from the last five at Reggio Emilia, and often scoring multiple goals. You can picture it, a lively crowd, Sassuolo pushing forward with little hesitation.

Domenico Berardi returns after suspension, which is significant. He adds creativity and, frankly, a bit of unpredictability.

Fali Candé remains out with a long-term knee injury, while Daniel Boloca and Darryl Bakola are also unavailable. So the squad is not perfect, but the attacking pieces are mostly there.

Last matches of Sassuolo

  1. Fiorentina

    0 : 0

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  2. Sassuolo

    2 : 1

    Como

    Serie A

  3. Genoa

    2 : 1

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  4. Sassuolo

    2 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  5. Juventus

    1 : 1

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

Sassuolo lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Stefano Turati

Defenders

  • 23

    Ulisses Garcia

  • 80

    Tarik Muharemović

  • 21

    Jay Idzes

  • 6

    Sebastian Walukiewicz

Midfielders

  • 42

    Kristian Thorstvedt

  • 18

    Nemanja Matić

  • 90

    Ismaël Koné

Forwards

  • 45

    Armand Laurienté

  • 99

    Andrea Pinamonti

  • 7

    Cristian Volpato

AC Milan

AC Milan team overview

I Rossoneri have drifted a little, and it shows. Not long ago, there was talk of a title push. Now, it feels more like damage control to secure a top-three finish.

One win in the last four games, two defeats, and no goals scored in three of those matches, which is concerning.

Allegri’s side have also struggled away from San Siro. Two losses in the last three away games, both 1-0, point to narrow margins but also a lack of cutting edge.

Trips to Reggio Emilia have not been smooth either, with the last two visits ending in draws. You could see this becoming tense again.

There are still quality players, of course. Christian Pulisic has eight goals and three assists, and Rafael Leão remains a constant threat with his pace.

However, Luka Modrić is out after a facial injury and will undergo surgery, which removes some experience from midfield.

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. AC Milan

    0 : 0

    Juventus

    Serie A

  2. Hellas Verona

    0 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    0 : 3

    Udinese

    Serie A

  4. Napoli

    1 : 0

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    3 : 2

    Torino

    Serie A

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 23

    Fikayo Tomori

  • 46

    Matteo Gabbia

  • 31

    Strahinja Pavlović

Midfielders

  • 56

    Alexis Saelemaekers

  • 19

    Youssouf Fofana

  • 18

    Christopher Nkunku

  • 12

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 33

    Davide Bartesaghi

Forwards

  • 11

    Christian Pulisic

  • 10

    Rafael Leão

Prediction

This feels open, maybe more than Milan would like. The Black and Greens have scored at least twice in four of their last five at home, while I Rossoneri have managed just one clean sheet in six. Add recent high scoring meetings, and it points somewhere. A 2-2 draw looks quite realistic here, even if neither side fully controls it.

Four reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Sassuolo scored 2+ goals in four of their last five home games.
  2. Milan finished only one of their last six games without conceding.
  3. Bets on over 2.5 goals won in five of the last six games of AC Milan.
  4. Four of the last five meetings between Sassuolo and Milan produced 4+ goals.

Main prediction Sassuolo - AC Milan

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.78

Bet here

Sassuolo vs AC Milan standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 34 25 4 5 80 - 31 +49 79
2 Napoli 34 21 6 7 52 - 33 +19 69
3 AC Milan 34 19 10 5 48 - 27 +21 67
4 Juventus 34 18 10 6 57 - 29 +28 64
5 Como 34 17 10 7 59 - 28 +31 61
6 Roma 34 19 4 11 48 - 29 +19 61
7 Atalanta 34 14 12 8 47 - 32 +15 54
8 Lazio 34 12 12 10 37 - 33 +4 48
9 Bologna 34 14 6 14 42 - 41 +1 48
10 Sassuolo 34 13 7 14 41 - 44 -3 46
11 Udinese 34 12 8 14 41 - 46 -5 44
12 Parma 34 10 12 12 25 - 40 -15 42
13 Torino 34 11 8 15 39 - 56 -17 41
14 Genoa 34 10 9 15 40 - 48 -8 39
15 Fiorentina 34 8 13 13 38 - 45 -7 37
16 Cagliari 34 9 9 16 36 - 49 -13 36
17 Lecce 35 8 8 19 24 - 47 -23 32
18 Cremonese 34 6 10 18 26 - 51 -25 28
19 Hellas Verona 34 3 10 21 23 - 56 -33 19
20 Pisa 35 2 12 21 25 - 63 -38 18

Sassuolo vs AC Milan – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Sunday’s Serie A game.

? How many corners do Sassuolo usually win at home this season?

Around 4.94 per home Serie A match, which feels huge.

? What about bookings for Allegri’s men away?

About 1.24 yellow cards on average in their away Serie A games.