AEK Athens vs Real Madrid prediction 04.11.2026 | UEFA Champions League
AEK Athens
Kick off:
Date:
Real Madrid
1
11.00
X
7.00
2
1.22
Contents
- Competition: UEFA Champions League
- Date: 4th November, 2026
- Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
- Venue: Allwyn Arena
AEK Athens welcome Real Madrid on Wednesday, in Matchday 4 of the 2026/27 UEFA Champions League league phase. The visitors arrive in outstanding European form, having won all three of their matches so far and scoring nine goals in the process. AEK, meanwhile, have three points from their opening three fixtures and desperately need a positive result after consecutive heavy defeats.
Their most recent meetings came more than two decades ago in the 2002/03 Champions League group stage, when the sides drew 3-3 in Athens and 2-2 in Madrid. AEK are therefore unbeaten in their two previous home games against Los Blancos.
Real Madrid's overall record in Greece is less impressive, however. They have won only one of eight previous UEFA away matches against Greek opposition, although that victory came as recently as last season, when they defeated Olympiacos 4-3.
AEK Athens team overview
AEK began their Champions League campaign with a 1-0 home victory over LASK, but the competition has become considerably more difficult since then. Marko Nikolic's side lost 3-1 away to Shakhtar Donetsk before suffering a heavy 5-1 defeat at Manchester City.
Their recent domestic form has also deteriorated. AEK have lost their last two matches against PAOK and Panathinaikos, although their home performances earlier in October were much stronger, including 3-0 and 5-0 victories over OFI and Panetolikos respectively.
There are some concerns over availability. Thomas Strakosha is out with a hand injury, while Joao Mario and Lazaros Rota are doubts due to illness. Former Real Madrid striker Luka Jovic has been in good scoring form with seven goals in 15 appearances, while Barnabas Varga has nine goals in 13 matches this season.
Last matches of AEK Athens
-
Panathinaikos
2 : 0
AEK Athens
Super League
-
PAOK
3 : 1
AEK Athens
Greek Cup
-
AEK Athens
5 : 0
Panaitolikos
Super League
-
Manchester City
5 : 1
AEK Athens
Champions League
-
FC Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 1
AEK Athens
Champions League
AEK Athens lineup
Goalkeeper
-
91
Alberto Brignoli
Defenders
-
12
Lazaros Rota
-
2
Harold Moukoudi
-
44
Filipe Relvas
-
3
Stavros Pilios
Midfielders
-
18
Răzvan Marin
-
10
Oleksandr Zubkov
-
16
Kervin Arriaga
-
14
Lovro Majer
Forwards
-
9
Luka Jović
-
19
Barnabás Varga
Real Madrid team overview
Real Madrid have made a perfect start to their Champions League campaign, beating Inter 2-1, Roma 4-3 and RB Leipzig 4-1. Their six most recent Champions League matches have produced 28 goals, while Kylian Mbappe has scored in each of his last five appearances in the competition.
Their domestic form is equally impressive. Madrid have won their last six matches in all competitions, including a 2-1 victory over Barcelona and Sunday's 3-0 triumph at Racing Santander. They have scored 15 goals across their last five matches, highlighting the attacking threat AEK will have to contain.
Vinicius Junior is available after serving his domestic suspension and is expected to return to the starting XI. Federico Valverde has also returned to training following a hamstring problem. However, Rodrygo and Raul Asencio remain sidelined.
Last matches of Real Madrid
-
Racing Santander
0 : 3
Real Madrid
La Liga
-
FC Barcelona
1 : 2
Real Madrid
La Liga
-
Real Madrid
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
Champions League
-
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Sevilla
La Liga
-
AS Roma
3 : 4
Real Madrid
Champions League
Real Madrid lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Thibaut Courtois
Defenders
-
24
Denzel Dumfries
-
4
Dean Huijsen
-
22
Antonio Rüdiger
-
18
Álvaro Carreras
Midfielders
-
15
Arda Güler
-
14
Aurélien Tchouaméni
-
5
Jude Bellingham
Forwards
-
25
Yan Diomande
-
10
Kylian Mbappé
-
7
Vinícius Júnior
Prediction
AEK should make the atmosphere count and could cause problems, but Real Madrid possess too much quality in the final third.
Nevertheless, Greek teams are renowned for raising their game when playing European fixtures at home, and AEK have found the net in all three of their Champions League matches so far. Real Madrid, meanwhile, despite their impressive attacking record, have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in each of their Champions League fixtures to date.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Three reasons we expect BTTS
- AEK have scored in all three of their Champions League fixtures so far.
- Real Madrid have conceded in each of their three Champions League matches to date.
- Real Madrid have conceded in six of their last eight away matches against Greek opposition, shipping 10 goals in total.
Main prediction AEK Athens - Real Madrid
Both Teams to Score
Best Odds:
Melbet
1.66
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid standings in Champions League
| League Stage | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 - 5 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 - 3 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 - 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 - 5 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 - 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 - 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 - 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 | FC Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 - 6 | +5 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 - 5 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 - 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 - 6 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 - 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 - 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | FC Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 - 5 | +5 | 5 |
| 15 | Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 - 5 | +3 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlético de Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 - 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 - 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 - 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 - 8 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 - 6 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 - 6 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 - 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 - 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 | LASK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 - 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 - 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 - 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 - 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodø / Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 - 9 | -5 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 - 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 - 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 - 9 | -6 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 - 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 - 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 | Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 - 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | LOSC Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 - 10 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 - 13 | -12 | 0 |