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UFC 320 takes place this weekend at T-Mobile Arena in Nevada, with the main and co-main events both being title fights. Merab Dvalishvili will defend his bantamweight championship belt against Cory Sandhagen. Alex Pereira has an immediate rematch with Magomed Ankalaev for the light heavyweight title after losing the belt in March.
MightyTips presents UFC 320 betting predictions and tips for the event in Paradise. We'll preview all fights of the main card and pick the most interesting preliminary bouts for betting purposes. The prelims feature many heavy favourites, such as Ateba Abega Gautier, but there's simply no value betting on paltry odds.
The UFC 320 card is stacked even without two title bouts. The featured fight is between ex-UFC light heavyweight champion Jiří Procházka and former title contender Khalil Rountree Jr. Other notable names include Josh Emmett, Joe Pyfer, the undefeated Farid Basharat, and former Bellator bantamweight champion Patchy Mix, who is eager to make amends after losing in his UFC debut. Here's the full schedule for the Nevada event:
We'll break down each fight of the main card below, while also providing a 2-leg parlay for the early preliminaries. It's professional sports, and we all know how unpredictable it can be at times, but while our UFC 320 betting tips will hit more often than not, you'll have plenty to think about in any case.
Some analysts argue that Pereira underestimated the first fight, spending too much time travelling and not preparing with full intensity. His Instagram suggests a far more focused approach this time. On the other hand, Ankalaev was affected by Ramadan during their March clash, meaning he should enter this bout in better condition, too. He dominated striking exchanges in their first meeting and rightfully secured the win, despite numerous unsuccessful takedowns. Ankalaev's speed gives him a clear edge, while Pereira's only realistic path remains his knockout power. It's worth noting that the UFC would likely prefer Pereira as champion, so if the fight goes somehow to a razor-thin decision, the scoring might not favour Ankalaev. Still, we expect the champion to retain his title here, most likely by decision.
Prediction: Magomed Ankalaev to win by decision, if no robbery is on the cards.
Dvalishvili is continuing to clear out the division, and he's already, arguably, the greatest UFC bantamweight of all time. The Machine is on a 13-fight winning streak, and you can't imagine that anyone in the near future will stop him. Merab's cardio is second to none, and while he doesn't have many finishes, grappling and control are two weapons that nobody knows how to deal with. To be honest, Sandhagen earned his title shot just because Dvalishvili has already defeated everyone else. The Sandman is a versatile fighter with decent takedown defence, but he would need to find a flying knee or something similar to get a sensational victory. A much more likely scenario is Sandhagen, who was finished just once previously, being ragdolled for five straight rounds.
Prediction: Merab Dvalishvili by decision, 50-45 or 49-46.
One of the most anticipated fights of the night has little chance of going the distance, as the odds of 3.10 suggest. Procházka is a very unpredictable athlete, using unorthodox movement, spinning attacks, and relentless pressure to overwhelm opponents. His willingness to take risks will always create chaos inside the octagon. Rountree Jr., meanwhile, is an explosive Muay Thai specialist with devastating body kicks, capable of finishing fights in a single moment. The key for Procházka is to keep Rountree guessing with constant angles and volume, preventing him from settling into a striking rhythm. For Rountree, patience and counter-striking are essential, as Procházka's aggressive style leaves defensive openings. If Rountree lands a clean power shot, there could be a highlight finish. Yet over the course of three rounds, Procházka's pressure and variety should give him the edge.
Prediction: Jiří Procházka wins by KO/TKO.
Power-puncher Emmett meets the dynamic Zalal, who is 11 years younger, in a featherweight matchup. Emmett offers sharp boxing, knockout power, and relentless grit, often relying on his right hand to change the course of a fight. Zalal, by contrast, excels in movement, cardio, and volume striking, going into grappling transitions when opportunities arise. Emmett is 40 years old, and it's critical for this weight division. He might find a knockout, yet Zalal should stay elusive, pepper Emmett with kicks and combinations, and use takedowns to wear him out. The Moroccan's youth, pace, and versatility are just too much for the veteran, but the odds are just not good enough. Pass any betting opportunities and simply enjoy the fight.
Prediction: Youssef Zalal by decision, but the best option here is a pass.
This middleweight matchup pits Magomedov’s versatile skillset against Pyfer’s power and momentum. Magomedov is an experienced striker with solid wrestling, using reach and movement to dictate distance. He’s dangerous early, but has shown inconsistencies in pacing over long fights and has clear cardio issues. Pyfer has explosive boxing, knockout power in both hands, and a developing grappling game. His recent performances highlight steady progress and confidence under pressure. Magomedov’s best route is to stay technical, mixing in takedowns and keeping Pyfer off balance with variety. Pyfer must weather the early storm, cut off the cage, and unleash combinations once Magomedov slows down. If the fight extends past the first round, we believe that Pyfer’s forward pressure and power will become decisive.
Prediction: Joe Pyfer will win by KO/TKO, likely in the second half of the fight.
This fight is for Chiasson to lose. She must use her height and reach effectively, keeping the opponent at bay with jabs and clinch control. On the other hand, she can easily win a round or two by simply holding Santos against the cage and wearing her down. Santos is close to the end of her UFC career, and she barely beat her last two opponents of a very low class. You can bet Chiasson by decision to add some meat to the bone, but we suggest opting for her victory by any method at 1.53. That will be the first leg of our featured parlay.
Prediction: Macy Chiasson wins by unanimous decision.
The second leg of our parlay is Patchy Mix winning at 1.36. Bellator's bantamweight champion meets Wikłacz, KSW's champ and another grappling standout. Mix is relentless on the ground, with elite submission skills and the ability to take the back quickly. Wikłacz is likewise dangerous in scrambles, thriving on positional grappling and transitions. However, there are levels to this game, and KSW is far from the best league on the planet, even compared to Bellator. Mix looked poor in his UFC debut, but he was beaten by a very good fighter in Mario Bautista. Wikłacz is no way near as good, and while he might survive until the decision, it won't go his way.
Prediction: Patchy Mix should win by decision or submission.