2026 Roland Garros betting preview - Odds, favourites & predictions (ATP & WTA)

By Klimentijs Konevs | Published: May 22, 2026, 10:00

The 2026 French Open begins on May 24 at Roland Garros in Paris, with the world's best players returning to clay for the second Grand Slam of the season. Jannik Sinner is the clear favourite in the men's draw after another dominant clay-court swing and a title in Rome.

With Carlos Alcaraz ruled out through injury, the Italian now has a huge chance to complete the Career Grand Slam. Novak Djokovic is also back chasing history, as the Serbian looks to win a record 25th major title.

The women's tournament looks far more balanced at the top. Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka lead the betting markets, but Elena Rybakina and Mirra Andreeva are also seen as realistic title contenders heading into Paris. Read our article to find the latest odds and our winner predictions for both the men's and women's tournaments.

Sinner is miles ahead of the field in the French Open men's odds. The Italian is trading as a dominant favourite at 1.28. Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic are the closest challengers, but they still sit far behind. With Alcaraz out, the outright market has become Sinner vs everyone else.

Favourites to win the men's 2026 French Open

The main favourites are easy to separate into two groups. Sinner stands alone as the obvious pick, while Zverev, Djokovic and Fils look like the strongest alternatives. Fils has home support, but fitness remains a major question before a best-of-five clay event.

Jannik Sinner

Sinner has already won six titles in 2026 and recently triumphed in Rome, beating Casper Ruud in straight sets in the final. His form has been almost untouchable, with only two losses all season and no defeats since February.

The biggest argument for Sinner is not just his results, but how complete his game looks right now. His return game, forehand and movement have all improved on clay, while his stamina in long rallies gives him a huge edge in best-of-five matches. With Alcaraz still recovering from an injury, Sinner's path in Paris looks far more open, although the Italian admitted it was disappointing news for the sport.

“That's very tough. It's sad for tennis, Carlos, defending champion, me being a competitor. It's sad news, so I wish him to recover as fast as possible, hopefully for Wimbledon”, Sinner said ahead of Roland Garros. Even at short odds, he still remains the most logical favourite to win the title and complete the Career Grand Slam.

Jannik Sinner can do it all. 6 consecutive titles, a career Golden Masters, and a new record set on home soil. This isn't just history — it's his story in the making. pic.twitter.com/ccPdjJbbjL

— Nike (@Nike) May 17, 2026

Alexander Zverev

Zverev is the second seed and one of the safest names in the outright market. He has a strong Roland Garros record, including a previous final, and his game works well on slower clay. His serve gives him free points, but he is also one of the best players in long baseline exchanges.

His 2026 Masters form has been solid, with deep runs before a disappointing fourth-round exit in Rome. That result slightly hurts confidence, but it does not remove him from serious contention. The question with Zverev is always the same: can he beat the very best players when the pressure is at its highest?

Novak Djokovic

Djokovic may no longer be the week-to-week force he once was, but writing him off at a Grand Slam is always dangerous. He is chasing a record 25th major title and would also complete another Career Grand Slam milestone if he wins in Paris.

His 2026 form has been mixed, including an early Rome defeat, but he still showed at the Australian Open that he can beat elite players over five sets. Roland Garros has also been a successful tournament for him, with three titles and years of deep runs. At 38, the concern is recovery across two weeks, especially on clay.

Arthur Fils

Fils is the big home hope for French fans. He won his first ATP clay title in Barcelona this season and also reached the Miami and Madrid semi-finals, which shows that his progress is not limited to one surface. At 21, he is already developing into a dangerous all-around player.

However, Fils retired in Rome with a hip injury, and that is a clear red flag before a Grand Slam tournament. If he is fully healthy, the crowd in Paris can give him a real boost, especially in tight matches. He has the power, athleticism and confidence to reach the second week, but winning the title still feels too much unless the draw opens up massively.

Rafael Jodar

The 19-year-old Spaniard has quickly become one of the breakout players of the season after winning his first ATP title in Marrakech and reaching the quarter-finals in Madrid. He has already collected more than 30 wins this year, which is extremely impressive for a player still adapting to the ATP Tour.

Clay is clearly his best surface. Jodar moves comfortably in long rallies, defends well and already shows the patience needed for five-set tennis at Roland Garros. This will be his first French Open as a seeded player. With Alcaraz out, there is even more attention on the next generation of Spanish clay-court talent. Jodar may not be ready to win the title yet, but he has enough quality to become one of the surprise stories of the tournament.

ATP French Open Winner prediction

Sinner is still the most likely winner of the 2026 French Open, but taking him at such a short price does not offer much value. Sometimes the smarter option is simply to enjoy the tournament rather than force a bet on a heavy favourite.

If you are looking for a potential value pick, Fils stands out as an interesting dark horse. The Frenchman has already shown he can compete with top players on clay, and the home support in Paris could push him even further. If healthy, Fils has the talent to make a deep run and possibly challenge Sinner in the final.

Swiatek, priced at 3.40, is still widely considered the queen of clay after winning four French Open titles. However, Sabalenka continues to dominate the WTA Tour with her aggressive power game and consistency across all surfaces.

There are several dangerous challengers behind them. Elena Rybakina has developed into a much stronger clay-court player, Mirra Andreeva continues her rapid rise, and defending champion Coco Gauff returns to Paris with confidence after another strong clay swing.

Favourites to win women's 2026 French Open

Despite Swiatek entering the tournament as the favourite once again, there is a strong group of players capable of reaching the final and competing for the trophy.

Iga Swiatek

Even after a slightly inconsistent clay season by her standards, Swiatek still is the player to beat at Roland Garros. The Pole has already won the French Open four times and remains the best natural clay-court player in women's tennis. Her movement, topspin-heavy forehand and ability to control long rallies make her extremely difficult to beat on this surface.

Even though her 2026 season has not looked as overwhelming as in previous years, there were clear signs of improvement in Rome, where she reached the semi-finals and looked far more comfortable physically and mentally on the surface. Swiatek's movement, defence and ability to control long rallies remain unmatched on clay when she reaches top form.

Iga Świątek has dominated Roland Garros in recent years… but will we get a new winner in 2026? 🤔⬇️ pic.twitter.com/p7dxHMS0VV

— TNT Sports (@tntsports) May 20, 2026

Aryna Sabalenka

Sabalenka is one of the strongest players on the WTA Tour this season. She has improved massively on clay over the last two years, turning what used to be her weakest surface into one where she can now dominate matches with pure power and aggressive baseline tennis.

There have been a few concerns recently after earlier-than-expected exits in Madrid and Rome, but her overall level in 2026 has still been excellent. Sabalenka's serve remains one of the best weapons in women's tennis. When she controls rallies with her forehand, very few players can keep up physically. The question is whether she can maintain composure in long clay-court battles against elite defenders like Swiatek or Gauff.

Elena Rybakina

Rybakina arrives at Roland Garros as one of the most in-form players on the WTA Tour this season. The Kazakh has already won 30 of her 37 matches in 2026 and added a Stuttgart clay-court title after beginning the year with a triumph at the Australian Open.

She also impressed in Rome, dropping very few games on her way to the quarter-finals before eventually losing to an in-form Elina Svitolina. While Rybakina has never gone beyond the quarter-final stage at the French Open, she has consistently looked dangerous in Paris and came close to beating Swiatek last year after leading by a set and a break.

Mirra Andreeva

Andreeva continues to develop into one of the most dangerous players on the WTA Tour, and her results on clay this season have been outstanding. The 18-year-old has collected more ranking points on clay in 2026 than any other woman, helped by a title run in Linz, a Madrid final, a Stuttgart semi-final and a quarter-final appearance in Rome. Overall, she arrives in Paris with an impressive 15-3 record on clay this year.

Roland Garros already feels like the Grand Slam that suits her best. After reaching the semi-finals in 2024 and the quarter-finals last season, Andreeva has proven she can handle the physical and tactical demands of clay-court tennis over two weeks.

Coco Gauff

Gauff returns to Paris with strong momentum once again after another deep run in Rome, where she reached the final before Roland Garros. That has become a familiar pattern for the American, as both of her Grand Slam titles came after impressive performances during the lead-up tournaments.

Clay remains the surface where Gauff looks most comfortable. Her movement, defensive ability and athleticism allow her to extend rallies and wear opponents down. Improved variety makes her far more dangerous offensively than in previous years. Gauff has also reached at least the quarter-finals in each of her last five appearances in Paris.

Even though the women's draw looks extremely competitive, it is still difficult to go against Iga Swiatek at Roland Garros. The Polish star has already built one of the greatest clay-court resumes, winning four French Open titles and dominating Paris for much of the last five years.

On clay, Swiatek's movement, defensive skills and ability to dictate rallies remain unmatched when she finds rhythm. Over two weeks in Paris, that experience becomes a massive advantage.

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