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Marseille vs Nice prediction 26.04.2026 | Ligue 1

Marseille

Marseille

Kick off:

Date:

OGC Nice

OGC Nice

1

1.54

X

5.03

2

6.05

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 26th April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

On Sunday evening, two Ligue 1 teams with very different season goals, Marseille and Nice, will face off in the 31st round. Marseille are trying to move upwards to 3rd place and secure Champions League, which is two points away. Meanwhile, Nice needs points to create some room between them and the danger zone.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.

Marseille vs OGC Nice Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. OGC Nice

    1 : 5

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. OGC Nice

    2 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Marseille

    2 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  4. Marseille

    2 : 2

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  5. OGC Nice

    1 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  6. Marseille

    1 : 3

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

In the first H2H game, Marseille dominated and won 5:1. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, each team won four times.

When it comes to the number of goals, six of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (six). 

Marseille

Marseille team overview

Marseille have been really inconsistent this season. However, it seems they played their best football under de Zerbi, despite failing to reach the Champions League knockout phase. After he left, and Habib Beye joined, it seems they took a step backward. After losing three of the past four games, Marseille dropped to 6th place and has 52 points in 30 rounds. Yes, the desired 3rd spot is only two points away, but their recent form is definitely worrisome. Still, their remaining schedule is pretty weak, and they definitely have a good chance to climb to 3rd spot.

Central defender Facundo Medina served his one-game suspension against Lorient and will be ready. Meanwhile, Nayef Aguerd, CJ Egan-Riley, and Geoffrey Kondogbia should remain sidelined with their injuries. On the other hand, Quinten Timber is questionable with his muscle injury.

Last matches of Marseille

  1. Lorient

    2 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. Marseille

    3 : 1

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  3. Monaco

    2 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  4. Marseille

    1 : 2

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    1 : 0

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

Marseille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gerónimo Rulli

Defenders

  • 32

    Facundo Medina

  • 5

    Leonardo Balerdi

  • 33

    Emerson

Midfielders

  • 28

    Benjamin Pavard

  • 8

    Himad Abdelli

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

  • 14

    Igor Paixão

Forwards

  • 17

    Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

  • 9

    Amine Gouiri

  • 10

    Mason Greenwood

OGC Nice

Nice team overview

If Marseille had an underwhelming season, what can one say for Nice? The popular Eaglets finished 4th last season, and most people expected them to continue with good performances. However, that couldn't be further from the truth. They finished 33rd in the Europa League while losing seven of eight games. In Ligue 1, they were atrocious as well, sitting in 15th place with 29 points from 30 rounds. At the moment, they are just four points away from the relegation playout. 

The Eaglets' only bright spot of the season is in the Cup, where they just secured the Finals after beating Strasbourg 2:0. So, pretty much their goal is to survive in the Ligue 1 and win the Cup, and secure Europe that way.

When it comes to injuries, they should have no new ones, but the players who missed the previous matches should remain sidelined - Mohamed Abdelmonem, Moise Bombito, Dante, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, and Everton Pereira. 

Last matches of OGC Nice

  1. Strasbourg

    0 : 2

    OGC Nice

    Coupe de France

  2. Lille

    0 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  3. OGC Nice

    1 : 1

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  4. Strasbourg

    3 : 1

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  5. OGC Nice

    0 : 4

    PSG

    Ligue 1

OGC Nice lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Maxime Dupé

Defenders

  • 92

    Jonathan Clauss

  • 33

    Antoine Mendy

  • 28

    Juma Bah

  • 37

    Kojo Peprah Oppong

  • 26

    Melvin Bard

Midfielders

  • 8

    Morgan Sanson

  • 6

    Hicham Boudaoui

  • 24

    Charles Vanhoutte

  • 10

    Sofiane Diop

Forwards

  • 11

    Elye Wahi

Prediction

Marseille have been in a pretty bad form lately. However, at home, they are scoring goals on a regular basis and have done so in eight consecutive matches. They have scored against teams much better than Nice - Lille, Lyon, and Lens. So, we are pretty convinced they would score here as well. 

Nice have been very good for this type of bet. 57% of their Ligue 1 games ended with both teams scoring, and the Eaglets are the fourth-best team in the league for this bet. Also, despite being in a pretty bad form, they managed to score in three of the past four matches - 75%. 

Additionally, both teams scored in the first H2H game this season (5:1 for Marseille). Considering all the above, both teams to score seems like the best option for this Ligue 1 tie.

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Both teams scored in five of the past six of Marseille's home games
  2. Marseille scored in eight consecutive home games
  3. Nice scored in three of the past four games
  4. Both teams scored in the first h2h game (5:1 for Marsille)

Main prediction Marseille - OGC Nice

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.57

Bet here

Marseille vs OGC Nice standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 29 21 3 5 65 - 25 +40 66
2 Lens 30 20 3 7 60 - 32 +28 63
3 LOSC Lille 30 16 6 8 49 - 34 +15 54
4 Olympique Lyonnais 30 16 6 8 45 - 30 +15 54
5 Rennes 30 15 8 7 52 - 41 +11 53
6 Olympique Marseille 30 16 4 10 58 - 40 +18 52
7 Monaco 30 15 5 10 52 - 45 +7 50
8 Strasbourg 29 12 7 10 46 - 37 +9 43
9 Lorient 30 10 11 9 40 - 44 -4 41
10 Brest 30 10 8 12 41 - 47 -6 38
11 Paris 30 9 11 10 40 - 46 -6 38
12 Toulouse 30 10 7 13 41 - 42 -1 37
13 Angers SCO 30 9 7 14 26 - 40 -14 34
14 Le Havre 30 6 12 12 25 - 38 -13 30
15 Nice 30 7 8 15 34 - 56 -22 29
16 Auxerre 30 5 10 15 25 - 39 -14 25
17 Nantes 30 4 8 18 25 - 49 -24 20
18 Metz 30 3 6 21 27 - 66 -39 15

Marseille vs Nice – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Marseille this season?

 The average xG for Marseille in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.67.

? How much is the average xG for Nice this season?

The average xG for Nice in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.26.