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Lecce vs Fiorentina prediction 20.04.2026 | Serie A

Lecce

Lecce

Kick off:

Date:

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

3.60

X

3.48

2

2.22

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Monday, 20th April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)

On Monday evening, Lecce will host Fiorentina in the last match of the 33rd round of the Italian Serie A. Lecce are in terrible form, coming to this game on a four-game losing streak. Meanwhile, Fiorentina have won their last game against Crystal Palace (2:1) in the Conference League but got eliminated on a 4:2 aggregate. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie.

Lecce vs Fiorentina Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Fiorentina

    0 : 1

    Lecce

    Serie A

  2. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  3. Lecce

    0 : 6

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  4. Lecce

    3 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  5. Fiorentina

    2 : 2

    Lecce

    Serie A

  6. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

In the first H2H game this season, Lecce won 1:0 on the road in Florence. However, it was a close match in which Fiorentina deserved at least one point, if not all three. Looking further back, over the previous ten H2H games, Lecce won three times, while Fiorentina won five times.

When it comes to the number of goals, four of the past five ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (four). 

Lecce

Lecce team overview

Lecce have been a relegation candidate for the past three seasons since their return to Serie A. Still, they managed to survive somehow in each of those seasons. This year, the "Giallorossi" found themselves in an OK position around the middle of the season. However, since mid-February, they have been atrocious, losing six of the following seven games and dropping to 18th place. Right now, they are on level with points with Cremonese, and we expect a battle for survival between these two to the very last game of the season. 

After a 2:0 loss to Bologna in the previous game, coach Eusebio Di Francesco spoke to the media. He said Bologna were a better team and pointed out that they really struggled offensively, creating only a couple of chances. The coach added that they need to improve for the remaining matches.

The team should have no new injuries, but the players who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - Medon Berisha, Francesco Camarda, Kialonda Gaspar, and Riccardo Sottil.

Last matches of Lecce

  1. Bologna

    2 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  2. Lecce

    0 : 3

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  3. AS Roma

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  4. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Lecce

    Serie A

  5. Lecce

    2 : 1

    Cremonese

    Serie A

Lecce lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Wladimiro Falcone

Defenders

  • 17

    Danilo Veiga

  • 44

    Tiago Gabriel

  • 5

    Jamil Siebert

  • 3

    Corrie Ndaba

Midfielders

  • 79

    Oumar Ngom

  • 20

    Ylber Ramadani

  • 29

    Lassana Coulibaly

Forwards

  • 50

    Santiago Pierotti

  • 9

    Nikola Stulic

  • 19

    Lameck Banda

Fiorentina

Fiorentina team overview

Fiorentina had one of the worst starts to the season in a very, very long time. Viola spent most of the season in the danger zone due to their terrible start, but as the season progressed, they looked better and better. It was evident they do not belong at the bottom of the league table. Right now, they are one of the hottest teams in Serie A, and we can safely say those struggling days are well behind them. Still, because of that terrible start, Viola are in 15th place with 35 points and are nowhere near the European spots. However, at least they created some breathing space between them and the bottom three teams.

Two important players, Albert Gudmundsson and Nicolo Fagioli, served their suspensions in the previous Serie A game against Lazio and will be available. Meanwhile, Marco Brescianini, Niccolo Fortini, Moise Kean, and Tariq Lamptey should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Fiorentina

  1. Fiorentina

    2 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Europa Conference League

  2. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  3. Crystal Palace

    3 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  4. Hellas Verona

    0 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  5. Fiorentina

    1 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

Fiorentina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    David de Gea

Defenders

  • 15

    Pietro Comuzzo

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

  • 5

    Marin Pongracic

Midfielders

  • 8

    Rolando Mandragora

  • 44

    Nicolò Fagioli

  • 21

    Robin Gosens

  • 17

    Jack Harrison

Forwards

  • 10

    Albert Gudmundsson

  • 19

    Manor Solomon

  • 91

    Roberto Piccoli

Prediction

Lecce are in atrocious form, having lost four in a row and six of the past seven. To be fair, they had a pretty challenging schedule, but it's still a terrible record regardless. Giallorossi have had massive offensive problems, failing to score in three consecutive games against Bologna, Atalanta, and AS Roma. While Fiorentina aren't on their level defensively, we still think Lecce will struggle to create chances. 

On the other hand, Fiorentina won back-to-back games and also lost only to Crystal Palace in the past nine games across competitions. During that time, Viola recorded some really good wins vs Crystal Palace and Lazio, and even more impressively drew 1:1 with Inter. 

Simply, the difference in form but in overall quality as well is pretty big, and we believe that Fiorentina should secure a win over Lecce at Stadio Via del Mare.

3 Reasons why Fiorentina should win

  1. Lecce lost four in a row
  2. Lecce failed to score in the past three matches
  3. Fiorentina lost once in the past nine matches across competitions

Main prediction Lecce - Fiorentina

Fiorentina to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.22

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Lecce vs Fiorentina standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 33 25 3 5 78 - 29 +49 78
2 Napoli 33 20 6 7 48 - 33 +15 66
3 AC Milan 32 18 9 5 47 - 27 +20 63
4 Juventus 32 17 9 6 55 - 29 +26 60
5 Como 33 16 10 7 57 - 28 +29 58
6 Roma 33 18 4 11 46 - 29 +17 58
7 Atalanta 33 14 12 7 45 - 29 +16 54
8 Bologna 32 14 6 12 42 - 37 +5 48
9 Lazio 33 12 11 10 34 - 30 +4 47
10 Sassuolo 33 13 6 14 41 - 44 -3 45
11 Udinese 33 12 7 14 38 - 43 -5 43
12 Torino 32 11 6 15 37 - 54 -17 39
13 Parma 33 9 12 12 24 - 40 -16 39
14 Genoa 32 9 9 14 38 - 45 -7 36
15 Fiorentina 32 8 11 13 37 - 44 -7 35
16 Cagliari 33 8 9 16 33 - 47 -14 33
17 Cremonese 32 6 9 17 26 - 47 -21 27
18 Lecce 32 7 6 19 21 - 45 -24 27
19 Hellas Verona 32 3 9 20 23 - 55 -32 18
20 Pisa 32 2 12 18 23 - 58 -35 18

Lecce vs Fiorentina – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Lecce this season?

The average xG for Lecce in the Serie A this season is 1.06.

? How much is the average xG for Fiorentina this season?

The average xG for Fiorentina in the Serie A this season is 1.37.