Home Bookmakers Tips Bonuses

Italy vs Belgium prediction 25.09.2026 | UEFA Nations League

Italy

Italy

Kick off:

Date:

Belgium

Belgium

1

2.26

X

3.60

2

3.22

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League
  • Date: 25/09/2026
  • KO: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico

Two European heavyweights begin new eras on Friday evening as Italy take on Belgium in Rome.

Roberto Mancini returns for his second spell in charge of the Azzurri, while Mark van Bommel takes control of Belgium following their run to the World Cup quarter-finals.

Both teams possess plenty of quality in the final third. With three of their last four meetings seeing goals at both ends, an entertaining contest should be in the cards at the Stadio Olimpico.

Italy vs Belgium Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Belgium

    0 : 1

    Italy

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Italy

    2 : 2

    Belgium

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Belgium

    1 : 2

    Italy

    European Championship

  4. Belgium

    0 : 2

    Italy

    European Championship

  5. Belgium

    3 : 1

    Italy

    Friendly International

  6. Italy

    3 : 1

    Belgium

    Friendly International

Italy and Belgium have met on four occasions in competitive fixtures since 2020. Italy won three games, while one match finished level.

Italy

Italy team overview

Italy return to the Stadio Olimpico after a turbulent summer that ended with Roberto Mancini returning for a second spell as head coach.

The Azzurri failed to qualify for a third successive World Cup after losing their playoff final against Bosnia and Herzegovina on penalties. They responded with low-key 1:0 friendly victories against Luxembourg and Greece in June.

Despite their failure to reach the finals, Italy have been in good form over the last year, outside of their defeat against Bosnia. The Italians won nine of their last 11 internationals, while they scored at least one goal in each of those fixtures.

Mancini has made significant changes for the opening Nations League fixtures, naming nine uncapped players in an expanded 34-man squad. Michael Kayode, Samuele Inacio and Mohamed Ali Zoma are among the newcomers hoping to earn their first senior appearances.

Mateo Retegui has been omitted despite his strong club form, while Manuel Locatelli and Andrea Cambiaso are unavailable through injury.

Last matches of Italy

  1. Greece

    0 : 1

    Italy

    Friendly International

  2. Luxembourg

    0 : 1

    Italy

    Friendly International

  3. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    4 : 1

    Italy

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Italy

    2 : 0

    Northern Ireland

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Italy

    1 : 4

    Norway

    WC Qualification Europe

Italy lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 31

    Michael Kayode

  • 23

    Gianluca Mancini

  • 21

    Alessandro Bastoni

  • 13

    Riccardo Calafiori

Midfielders

  • 18

    Nicolo Barella

  • 16

    Samuele Ricci

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

Forwards

  • 25

    Nicolo Zaniolo

  • 15

    Francesco Pio Esposito

  • 10

    Giacomo Raspadori

Belgium

Belgium team overview

Belgium begin a new era after appointing Mark van Bommel as their head coach following an encouraging World Cup campaign.

The Red Devils reached the quarter-finals before suffering a painful 2:1 defeat against eventual champions Spain. Charles De Ketelaere cancelled out Fabian Ruiz's opener, but Mikel Merino struck late to end Belgium's 18-match unbeaten run.

Belgium also proved an entertaining outfit to watch at the World Cup. Five of their six games finished with both teams on the scoresheet. 

Thibaut Courtois will sit out the Nations League campaign after agreeing to take a break from international duty. Senne Lammens will compete with Mike Penders and Maarten Vandevoordt for the goalkeeper jersey.

Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku and Leandro Trossard are included in Van Bommel's first squad, while Mika Godts has earned a recall after missing the World Cup.

Last matches of Belgium

  1. Spain

    2 : 1

    Belgium

    World Cup

  2. United States

    1 : 4

    Belgium

    World Cup

  3. Belgium

    1 : 0

    Senegal

    World Cup

  4. New Zealand

    1 : 5

    Belgium

    World Cup

  5. Belgium

    0 : 0

    Iran

    World Cup

Belgium lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Senne Lammens

Defenders

  • 21

    Timothy Castagne

  • 16

    Koni De Winter

  • 2

    Zeno Debast

  • 5

    Maxim De Cuyper

Midfielders

  • 8

    Youri Tielemans

  • 28

    Romeo Lavia

  • 14

    Dodi Lukebakio

  • 7

    Kevin De Bruyne

  • 27

    Mika Godts

Forwards

  • 17

    Charles De Ketelaere

Prediction

Italy have won three of their four encounters with Belgium since 2020, but the visitors have been in strong form over the past year. 

With both teams keen to make a positive impression under new management, I expect a competitive and potentially entertaining encounter.

BTTS is my best bet on Friday.

Three Reasons Why We Expect BTTS

  1. Italy have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 4 matches against Belgium
  2. Belgium have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 6 matches
  3. Italy scored at least 1 goal in their last 11 matches

Main prediction Italy - Belgium

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.62

Bet here

Italy vs Belgium standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 1 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 France 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Italy 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Türkiye 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Belgium 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0

Italy vs Belgium – FAQ

? Italy Player to Watch

Sandro Tonali – The midfielder scored the winner in Italy's most recent encounter with Belgium.

? Belgium Player to Watch

Charles De Ketelaere – The versatile attacker scored against Spain in the World Cup quarter-finals.