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Serbia vs Greece Prediction 24.09.2026 | UEFA Nations League

Serbia

Serbia

Kick off:

Date:

Greece

Greece

1

2.69

X

3.34

2

2.78

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League - Matchday 1
  • Date: Thursday, 24th, September 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20.45 CEST
  • Venue: Stadium Rajko Mitic (Belgrade)

A fresh chapter, familiar weight of expectation, and an opponent thoroughly well-versed in the nuances of Serbian football will define this Thursday night in Belgrade, as Serbia host Greece at the Stadion Rajko Mitić for the opening round of UEFA Nations League League A.

In a daunting group that features heavyweight contenders Germany and the Netherlands, the margin for error is razor-thin. Consequently, this opening step on the September stage carries far more tactical weight than a typical autumn curtain-raiser.

Serbia vs Greece Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Greece

    0 : 2

    Serbia

    Friendly International

  2. Serbia

    0 : 1

    Greece

    Friendly International

This encounter marks only the third meeting between the two nations and their first-ever clash in a competitive framework. Historically, the scales are perfectly balanced, with each side claiming a single victory from their previous friendly encounters in 2010 and 2014.

Serbia

Serbia team overview

The dawn of this Nations League cycle arrives at a crossroads where the Serbian national team desperately needs a cultural reset. Having missed out on the World Cup entirely this past summer, their subsequent outings have done little to soothe the collective disappointment of the fans.

During the March international window, the Orlovi predictably succumbed 3-0 to a majestic Spain side before bouncing back with a narrow 2-1 victory over Saudi Arabia. However, June delivered two devastating psychological blows; the Eagles were first soundly beaten 3-0 by Cape Verde, before being utterly torn apart in a bruising 5-1 demolition by Mexico.

Shippping eight goals across just 180 minutes of football highlights exactly where the tactical fault lines lie ahead of this tournament. In response, manager Veljko Paunović has not merely shuffled the deck; he has actively re-injected invaluable veteran leadership back into the squad.

The legendary Dušan Tadić returns to pull the creative strings, flanked by Sergej Milinković-Savić, who is poised to make his first competitive international appearance following a two-year hiatus. Upfront, Dušan Vlahović will spearhead the frontline alongside Luka Jović in the absence of Aleksandar Mitrović.

Paunović’s primary mission is to restore structural rigidity to a side that lost its composure far too easily in June. Under the glaring lights of the capital, there is no better stage to demand an immediate response.

Last matches of Serbia

  1. Mexico

    5 : 1

    Serbia

    Friendly International

  2. Cape Verde Islands

    3 : 0

    Serbia

    Friendly International

  3. Serbia

    2 : 1

    Saudi Arabia

    Friendly International

  4. Spain

    3 : 0

    Serbia

    Friendly International

  5. Serbia

    2 : 1

    Latvia

    WC Qualification Europe

Serbia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Vanja Milinković-Savić

Defenders

  • 11

    Filip Kostic

  • 3

    Strahinja Pavlović

  • 6

    Srdjan Babic

  • 2

    Strahinja Erakovic

Midfielders

  • 8

    Aleksandar Stanković

  • 10

    Saša Lukić

  • 7

    Dusan Tadic

  • 20

    Lazar Samardžić

  • 14

    Andrija Zivkovic

Forwards

  • 9

    Dušan Vlahović

Greece

Greece team overview

While Serbia enter this cycle searching for stability, Greece arrive in Belgrade as a unit whose recent metrics lack glitz but possess an ironclad defensive identity. They are a side that is exceptionally difficult to break down, let alone defeat.

Led by Serbian tactician Ivan Jovanović, the Galanolefki are currently enduring a five-match winless drought across all competitions. Their main Achilles' heel lies in the final third, having failed to hit the back of the net in four of their last five outings.

Despite the goalscoring drought, Jovanović is molding an intriguing generation where seasoned veterans are seamlessly mentoring a wave of elite young talent. Arsenal’s electric left-winger Christos Tzolis poses a constant threat to Serbia's backline, while 19-year-old Christos Mouzakitis and 18-year-old prodigy Konstantinos Karetsas inject immense technical quality and creative flair into the midfield.

The attacking department boasts fierce internal competition, with Vangelis Pavlidis, Fotis Ioannidis, and Tasos Douvikas offering diverse profiles for the Serbian coach to exploit. Furthermore, Brighton’s 19-year-old sensation Charalampos Kostoulas enters camp in scorching form, having found the net in each of his last three club appearances.

Backed by a passionate home crowd, Serbia will undoubtedly feel the tactical obligation to dictate the tempo and attack, allowing the Greeks to comfortably absorb pressure and exploit the spaces that inevitably open up between the lines for Tzolis and Karetsas.

Last matches of Greece

  1. Greece

    0 : 1

    Italy

    Friendly International

  2. Sweden

    2 : 2

    Greece

    Friendly International

  3. Hungary

    0 : 0

    Greece

    Friendly International

  4. Greece

    0 : 1

    Paraguay

    Friendly International

  5. Belarus

    0 : 0

    Greece

    WC Qualification Europe

Greece lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Konstantinos Tzolakis

Defenders

  • 21

    Konstantinos Tsimikas

  • 24

    Konstantinos Mavropanos

  • 3

    Konstantinos Koulierakis

  • 2

    Georgios Vagiannidis

Midfielders

  • 8

    Christos Mouzakitis

  • 20

    Christos Zafeiris

  • 10

    Christos Tzolis

  • 16

    Anastasios Douvikas

  • 19

    Konstantinos Karetsas

Forwards

  • 26

    Vangelis Pavlidis

Prediction

With Germany and the Netherlands looming on the horizon, both Serbia and Greece understand that dropping points here could fatally compromise their group-stage ambitions.

The Orlovi undeniably possess home-court advantage, an elite spearhead in Vlahović, and a revitalized engine room featuring Tadić and Milinković-Savić. However, the ghost of their recent defensive collapses cannot be easily masked by individual star power.

Ivan Jovanović’s tactical blueprint will likely focus on frustrating the hosts, slowing the game down to a crawl, and ruthlessly punishing a defensive lapse. Therefore, the opening goal will dictate the entire psychological complexion of the evening.

An early breakthrough for Serbia could lift the crushing weight of pressure from their shoulders, opening the floodgates for a fluid, confident performance. Conversely, if the Piratiko successfully weather the initial storm, home-crowd anxiety could become Greece's most potent ally. We expect a cagey, high-stakes war of attrition where tactical patience triumphs over expansive football.

Four Reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals

  1. Greece have drawn a blank upfront in four of their last five matches across all competitions.
  2. Under 2.5 goals has landed in four of Greece's last five international outings.
  3. Serbia's frontline has been contained, failing to score more than a single goal in three of their last four friendly fixtures.
  4. Defensive history repeats itself, as both previous head-to-head encounters between these nations produced under 2.5 goals.

Main prediction Serbia - Greece

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

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1.75

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Serbia vs Greece standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 2 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Greece 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
2 Germany 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
3 Netherlands 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
4 Serbia 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0

Serbia vs Greece – FAQ

? Who is Serbia's player to watch?

Dušan Vlahović has taken Turkish football by storm since his move to Besiktas, arriving in red-hot form after plundering five goals in his last four club appearances.

? Who is Greece's player to watch?

Vangelis Pavlidis has been operating at an elite level for Benfica this season, with the 27-year-old already racking up an incredible 14 goals and three assists across all competitions.