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Tunisia vs Uganda prediction 24.09.2026 | Africa Cup of Nations Qualification

Tunisia

Tunisia

Kick off:

Date:

Uganda

Uganda

1

1.45

X

4.05

2

7.00

  • Competition: Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
  • Date: 24th September 2026
  • Kick-off: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stade Hammadi Agrebi

Tunisia faces Uganda. I still remember Elias Achouri tearing the Cranes apart in their last meeting. His clinical brace was absolute poetry in motion. Pure magic. Uganda traditionally struggles against the Carthage Eagles, having never beaten them. It’s a brutal psychological hurdle. However, underdogs love a revenge narrative, and Paul Put’s men will surely fight tooth and nail to break the curse. Can the Cranes finally script history on North African soil, or will Tunisia's technical superiority prevail? Let’s check the data.

Tunisia vs Uganda Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Tunisia

    3 : 1

    Uganda

    Africa Cup of Nations

  2. Tunisia

    2 : 0

    Uganda

    Friendly International

  3. Tunisia

    2 : 0

    Uganda

    Friendly International

Tunisia has completely dominated this fixture with a perfect 6-0 record against Uganda. They average a solid 2.83 goals whenever they meet. It’s insane. Their last clash at AFCON 2025 ended in a comfortable 3-1 win for the Eagles. History heavily favors the hosts. It's a mental mountain for Uganda.

Tunisia

Tunisia team overview

Tunisia enters this one on the back of a tough summer. The Carthage Eagles crashed out of the 2026 World Cup group stage, losing 5-1 to Sweden, 4-0 to Japan, and 3-1 to the Netherlands.

Moine Chaâbani’s men are now rebuilding for the AFCON Qualifiers. Their form on home soil is reassuringly elite. They boast three wins from their last four competitive games, including a resounding 3-0 victory over Namibia.

Honestly, seeing them dominate in Radès is always spectacular. Young forward Hazem Mastouri has been massive, recently spearheading the attack and netting Tunisia's lone goal against the Dutch.

However, tactical adjustments are still underway. With Chaâbani shaking up the roster, the returns of Aïssa Laïdouni, Ferjani Sassi, and Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane provide a massive boost to the engine room.

It's a key transition phase, but home turf advantage should heavily carry them through.

Last matches of Tunisia

  1. Tunisia

    0 : 4

    Japan

    World Cup

  2. Sweden

    5 : 1

    Tunisia

    World Cup

  3. Belgium

    5 : 0

    Tunisia

    Friendly International

  4. Austria

    1 : 0

    Tunisia

    Friendly International

  5. Canada

    0 : 0

    Tunisia

    Friendly International

Tunisia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Aymen Dahmen

Defenders

  • 20

    Yan Valery

  • 6

    Dylan Bronn

  • 3

    Montassar Talbi

  • 2

    Ali Abdi

Midfielders

  • 24

    Aïssa Laïdouni

  • 13

    Ferjani Sassi

  • 5

    Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane

Forwards

  • 7

    Elias Achouri

  • 8

    Elias Saad

  • 9

    Hazem Mastouri

Uganda

Uganda team overview

Uganda prepares for this one on the back of a turbulent continental run. The Cranes exited the AFCON 2025 tournament during the group stage, capping their campaign with a 3-1 defeat against Nigeria.

Paul Put’s men are now entirely focused on redeeming themselves as the new 2027 qualification cycle takes center stage. Their record on foreign territory is completely dismal.

They are trapped in a three match losing run on away soil, notably dropping key defensive results like their recent 4-0 routing by Morocco. Frankly, watching them collapse structurally outside Kampala is painful.

Dangerous forward Denis Omedi remains their bright spark, having consistently spearheaded the frontline and recently found the net against Tunisia.

However, the roster faces selection issues. Bobosi Byaruhanga is a noticeable absentee after failing to make the final cut, while Salim Jamal Magoola is ruled out due to a suspension.

Last matches of Uganda

  1. Uganda

    1 : 3

    Nigeria

    Africa Cup of Nations

  2. Uganda

    1 : 1

    Tanzania

    Africa Cup of Nations

  3. Tunisia

    3 : 1

    Uganda

    Africa Cup of Nations

  4. Morocco

    4 : 0

    Uganda

    Friendly International

  5. Uganda

    2 : 1

    Chad

    Friendly International

Uganda lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    David Lukwago

Defenders

  • 4

    Kenneth Semakula

  • 2

    Rogers Torach

  • 5

    Toby Sibbick

  • 23

    Aziz Kayondo

Midfielders

  • 8

    Khalid Aucho

  • 12

    Baba Alhassan

  • 10

    Travis Mutyaba

Forwards

  • 21

    Allan Okello

  • 7

    Rogers Mato

  • 14

    Denis Omedi

Prediction

Tunisia's defense is currently leaking goals like a sieve. They just can't stop conceding. Uganda's fragile backline isn't any better, especially with Magoola suspended, meaning the clinical Carthage Eagles will undoubtedly feast on home turf. I'm confidently backing a 2-1 Tunisia victory here. It just makes sense. Don't expect a clean sheet for either side, but Tunisia's raw technical superiority and Radès dominance will ultimately edge it.

Three reasons we expect Over 2.5 goals

  1. Tunisia shipped three or more goals in each of their last four encounters.
  2. Uganda conceded 13 goals across their last five games alone.
  3. The last meeting between Tunisia and Uganda produced four goals.

Main prediction Tunisia - Uganda

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

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2.10

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Tunisia vs Uganda – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Thursday’s Africa Cup of Nations Qualification encounter.

? How many corners do Tunisia win on average per game at home?

Around 5.00 per home match, which remains a strong attacking indicator for the hosts.

? What about bookings for Paul Put’s side on the road?

About 1.50 yellow cards on average in their away games.