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Inter vs Cagliari prediction 17.04.2026 | Serie A

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

Kick off:

Date:

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

1.27

X

7.19

2

10.80

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Friday, 17th April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

The 33rd Serie A round kicks off with two matches scheduled for Friday. One of those matches will see Inter host Cagliari, and we will focus on that match to deliver the best betting option. Inter are coming to the match after two exciting wins over AS Roma (5:2) and Como (4:3). Meanwhile, Cagliari stopped their four-game losing streak by winning 1:0 against Cremonese in the previous game. 

Inter Milan vs Cagliari Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Cagliari

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Inter Milan

    3 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  3. Cagliari

    0 : 3

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    2 : 2

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  5. Cagliari

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  6. Cagliari

    1 : 3

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

In the first H2H game, Inter won 2:0 on the road. Nerazzurri dominated the game throughout and probably deserved to win by a bigger margin. Looking further back, in the past ten H2H games, Inter won eight times, while the remaining two matches ended as draws.

Regarding the number of goals, six of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored on five occasions. 

Inter Milan

Inter team overview

Inter are on a path to win another Scudetto as they have a nine-point advantage over the second-placed Napoli. With only six rounds left, it would take a miracle for them not to win their 21st Scudetto. Besides their dominant Serie A campaign, the Nerazzurri did well in the Coppa Italia. After the Cagliari game, they will have a very important second-leg Coppa Italia game at home against Como, following a goalless draw in Como. However, their good season was completely spoiled by a surprising 5:2 loss to Bodo/Glimt in the Champions League 1/16 Finals!

Petar Sucic will serve his one-game suspension due to the accumulation of yellow cards. Besides the suspended Sucic, only Yan Bissek will miss the match due to an injury. More importantly for the Nerazzurri, Lautaro Martinez did not play in the previous game even though he was on the bench. It seems the Argentinian is dealing with left calf issues and will most likely be on the bench to try to recover for the Cup game.

Last matches of Inter Milan

  1. Como

    3 : 4

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Inter Milan

    5 : 2

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  3. Fiorentina

    1 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    1 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

Inter Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Yann Sommer

Defenders

  • 15

    Francesco Acerbi

  • 25

    Manuel Akanji

  • 95

    Alessandro Bastoni

Midfielders

  • 2

    Denzel Dumfries

  • 7

    Piotr Zieliński

  • 23

    Nicolò Barella

  • 20

    Hakan Çalhanoğlu

  • 32

    Federico Dimarco

Forwards

  • 9

    Marcus Thuram

  • 94

    Pio Esposito

Cagliari

Cagliari team overview

In the previous two seasons, Cagliari barely secured survival in Serie A, winning only 36 points. This year, it seemed they would secure survival much more easily, but the Islanders had a terrible two-month period from February to early April, during which they won just two points in eight games! However, they are still five points away from the danger zone. Nevertheless, they still face a very challenging schedule ahead, so they are far from safe yet.

Midfielder Luca Mazzitelli suffered an injury in the previous game against Cremonese and had to leave the field after 31 minutes. He will most likely miss the Inter game, along with Mattia Felici, Riyad Idrissi, and Leonardo Pavoletti, who should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Cagliari

  1. Cagliari

    1 : 0

    Cremonese

    Serie A

  2. Sassuolo

    2 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  3. Cagliari

    0 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  4. Pisa

    3 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  5. Cagliari

    1 : 2

    Como

    Serie A

Cagliari lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Elia Caprile

Defenders

  • 4

    Luca Mazzitelli

  • 15

    Juan Rodríguez

  • 26

    Yerry Mina

  • 33

    Adam Obert

Midfielders

  • 2

    Marco Palestra

  • 14

    Alessandro Deiola

  • 90

    Michael Folorunsho

  • 10

    Gianluca Gaetano

Forwards

  • 94

    Sebastiano Esposito

  • 29

    Gennaro Borrelli

Prediction

Inter had a pretty bad March, recording three draws and one loss in four matches. However, good wins over AS Roma and Como are definitely a positive sign. Also, against the bottom five teams in Serie A, Inter dominated, winning all eight matches with a combined goal difference of 21:4. So, there is no reason to doubt they can win another match against a team from the lower part of the league table. 

Meanwhile, Cagilari really struggled recently. Yes, they won the last match against Cremonese, but before that, they had only secured two points in eight consecutive matches!

Also, Inter won the past three H2H games, each time by a 2+ goal difference. Considering the trend in the previous H2H games and all the above, we expect Nerazzurri to secure another comfortable win and take another step towards winning the Scudetto. 

4 Reasons why Inter should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

  1. Inter won back-to-back games against AS Roma and Como
  2. Inter won all eight games against the bottom five teams from Serie A
  3. Cagliari lost four of the past five games
  4. Inter have won the past three H2H games, each time by 2+ goal difference

Main prediction Inter Milan - Cagliari

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.75

Bet here

Inter Milan vs Cagliari standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 32 24 3 5 75 - 29 +46 75
2 Napoli 32 20 6 6 48 - 31 +17 66
3 AC Milan 32 18 9 5 47 - 27 +20 63
4 Juventus 32 17 9 6 55 - 29 +26 60
5 Como 32 16 10 6 56 - 26 +30 58
6 Roma 32 18 3 11 45 - 28 +17 57
7 Atalanta 32 14 11 7 44 - 28 +16 53
8 Bologna 32 14 6 12 42 - 37 +5 48
9 Lazio 32 11 11 10 32 - 30 +2 44
10 Udinese 32 12 7 13 38 - 42 -4 43
11 Sassuolo 32 12 6 14 39 - 43 -4 42
12 Torino 32 11 6 15 37 - 54 -17 39
13 Genoa 32 9 9 14 38 - 45 -7 36
14 Parma 32 8 12 12 23 - 40 -17 36
15 Fiorentina 32 8 11 13 37 - 44 -7 35
16 Cagliari 32 8 9 15 33 - 44 -11 33
17 Cremonese 32 6 9 17 26 - 47 -21 27
18 Lecce 32 7 6 19 21 - 45 -24 27
19 Hellas Verona 32 3 9 20 23 - 55 -32 18
20 Pisa 32 2 12 18 23 - 58 -35 18

Inter vs Cagliari – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Inter this season?

The average xG for Inter in the Serie A this season is 1.97.

? How much is the average xG for Cagliari this season?

The average xG for Cagliari in the Serie A this season is 1.10.