Nottingham Forest vs FC Porto prediction 16.04.2026 | UEFA Europa League

Nottingham Forest come into this fixture in solid form, unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions, although three of those fixtures ended in draws (W3, D2). This includes an impressive 3-0 away victory over Tottenham and progression through the Europa League knockout rounds after eliminating Midtjylland.

Their European campaign has been characterized by resilience. Forest overturned deficits in previous rounds and have shown the ability to manage high-pressure knockout situations effectively.

Offensively, Igor Jesus has been a key figure, contributing heavily in Europe, while the return of Chris Wood from long-term injury adds further attacking depth. However, Wood is still regaining match fitness and may not start.

In terms of availability, several players remain sidelined, including Willy Boly, Nicolò Savona, and John Victor, which could impact defensive rotation.

FC Porto arrive in good form, winning three of their last five matches (W3, D2) across all competitions. Their recent results include a 3-1 win over Estoril and a 2-1 victory against Braga, highlighting strong domestic momentum.

Statistically, Porto were the superior side in the first leg. Their attacking structure created numerous opportunities, with 16 total shots and sustained pressure throughout the game. 

However, their inability to convert chances proved costly (they generated an xG value of 2.16, but scored only one goal in the end), and improving finishing will be crucial in the second leg.

Porto also face injury concerns. Key absentees include Martim Fernandes, Nehuén Pérez, and striker Luuk de Jong, potentially limiting both defensive stability and attacking options.