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Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace prediction 16.04.2026 | Conference League

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Kick off:

Date:

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

1

2.64

X

3.32

2

2.84

  • Competition: Conference League, Quarter-Finals, 2nd Leg
  • Date: Thursday, 16th April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

After a massive 3:0 win for Crystal Palace over Fiorentina in the first leg of the Conference League Quarter-Finals, Viola will try to turn things around in the second leg in Italy. After their Conference League match, both teams achieved great wins in the domestic leagues: Fiorentina beat Lazio 1:0, while Crystal Palace beat Newcastle 2:1. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Europa Conference League tie.

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Crystal Palace

    3 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

The first leg of the Quarter-Finals is their only H2H game in history. It was a pretty one-sided match where Crystal Palace deservedly won 3:0. The Eagles had seven "Big chances" whilst Fiorentina had zero! The difference in xG (3.05 vs 0.45) sums just how much better the English team was.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina team overview

Fiorentina have been atrocious this season in Serie A, spending almost the entire season in the danger zone. However, they started playing better from around early February and moved upwards on the league table. At the moment, Viola are in 15th place with 35 points, a comfortable eight points away from the relegation zone. 

It was a truly embarrassing first part of the season, and their only way of securing Europe next season is through the Conference League. Unfortunately, after losing 3:0 in the first leg, Viola will need a miracle to achieve it. 

The team's starting right full-back, Dodo, is unavailable due to the accumulation of yellow cards. The 27-year-old has been one of their best players this season, and his absence is a massive problem for Viola. Moreover, Niccolo Fortini, Moise Kean, and Tariq Lamptey should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Fiorentina

  1. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  2. Crystal Palace

    3 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  3. Hellas Verona

    0 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  4. Fiorentina

    1 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  5. Raków Częstochowa

    1 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

Fiorentina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    David de Gea

Defenders

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

  • 3

    Daniele Rugani

  • 5

    Marin Pongracic

  • 21

    Robin Gosens

Midfielders

  • 27

    Cher Ndour

  • 8

    Rolando Mandragora

  • 44

    Nicolo Fagioli

Forwards

  • 17

    Jack Harrison

  • 91

    Roberto Piccoli

  • 10

    Albert Gudmundsson

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace team overview

Crystal Palace have had a historic last season, winning the FA Cup and securing their first-ever major trophy. However, in the Premier League, they have been a mid-table team for over a decade, and that hasn't changed this year either. The popular Eagles are in 13th place with 42 points from 31 matches - 12 points away from the danger zone and only five away from seventh place, which could mean Europe next season. 

So, the Eagles could secure it via league finish, but they are also among the primary candidates for the Conference League title and could clinch it by winning the competition. At the moment, the bookies are offering odds around 2.25 for them to win the title!

Evann Guessand suffered an injury in the previous game against Fiorentina and will most likely miss three or four weeks. Moreover, Eddie Nketiah and Cheick Doucoure should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Crystal Palace

  1. Crystal Palace

    2 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Crystal Palace

    3 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  3. AEK Larnaca

    0 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Europa Conference League

  4. Crystal Palace

    0 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Crystal Palace

    0 : 0

    AEK Larnaca

    Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dean Henderson

Defenders

  • 23

    Jaydee Canvot

  • 26

    Chris Richards

  • 5

    Maxence Lacroix

Midfielders

  • 2

    Daniel Muñoz

  • 18

    Daichi Kamada

  • 20

    Adam Wharton

  • 3

    Tyrick Mitchell

Forwards

  • 7

    Ismaila Sarr

  • 14

    Jean-Philippe Mateta

  • 10

    Yeremy Pino

Prediction

Fiorentina totally crumbled in their match against Crystal Palace in England, but they have had some nice performances lately. In the past seven games across competitions, they have only failed to score against Crystal Palace, but have scored against teams like Lazio and even Inter! Also, Viola have scored at least one goal in 20 out of 23 games across competitions - 87%.

Crystal Palace aren't among the best offensive teams, but have scored five goals in back-to-back games against Fiorentina and Newcastle, and can definitely be satisfied with their offensive output. Moreover, on the road, we saw both teams scoring in seven of the past eight games across competition - 87%.

Considering all the above, we believe that both teams will score at least once in this Conference League tie. 

3 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Fiorentina scored at least once in six of the past seven games
  2. Fiorentina scored in 20 out of 23 home games this season
  3. Crystal Palace scored five goals in the previous two games

Main prediction Fiorentina - Crystal Palace

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.80

Bet here

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace standings in Europa Conference League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 11 - 5 +6 16
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 9 - 2 +7 14
3 AEK Athens 6 4 1 1 14 - 7 +7 13
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 10 - 3 +7 13
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 13 - 7 +6 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 10 - 5 +5 13
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 7 - 3 +4 13
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 7 - 1 +6 12
9 Lausanne Sport 6 3 2 1 6 - 3 +3 11
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 11 - 6 +5 10
11 Lech Poznań 6 3 1 2 12 - 8 +4 10
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 10 - 6 +4 10
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 8 - 7 +1 10
14 AZ 6 3 1 2 7 - 7 0 10
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 8 - 5 +3 9
16 Rijeka 6 2 3 1 5 - 2 +3 9
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6 2 3 1 5 - 4 +1 9
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 5 - 4 +1 8
19 Noah 6 2 2 2 6 - 7 -1 8
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 4 - 8 -4 8
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 6 - 5 +1 7
22 Skendija 79 6 2 1 3 4 - 5 -1 7
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 8 - 10 -2 7
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 7 - 9 -2 7
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 6 - 8 -2 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6 2 1 3 7 - 15 -8 7
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 9 - 9 0 6
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 8 - 8 0 6
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 5 - 9 -4 6
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 6 - 11 -5 5
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 7 - 13 -6 4
32 Häcken 6 0 3 3 5 - 8 -3 3
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 4 - 11 -7 3
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 0 - 7 -7 2
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 3 - 14 -11 2
36 SK Rapid 6 0 1 5 3 - 14 -11 1

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Fiorentina?

The average xG for Fiorentina in the Conference League this season is 1.60.

? How much is the average xG for Crystal Palace?

The average xG for Crystal Palace in the Conference League this season is 1.88.