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Celta Vigo vs Freiburg prediction 16.04.2026 | Europa League

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Kick off:

Date:

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

1.98

X

3.74

2

4.12

  • Competition: Europa League
  • Date: Thursday, 16th April 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CEST
  • Venue: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

After a heavy 3-0 loss to Freiburg last week, Celta Vigo needs a miracle in the rematch to progress to the Europa League semifinals. The German team won over the weekend, too, so they will come to Estadio de Balaidos with a lot of confidence. Can Celta produce a miracle and shock Freiburg? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. SC Freiburg

    3 : 0

    Celta Vigo

    Europa League

The only H2H match between the two teams was last week, when Freiburg won 3-0. Celta created xG of only 0.53 and ended without a single shot on the target. On the other hand, Freiburg converted most of their chances and are very close to securing the semifinals. 

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo team overview

For most of the 2025/26 season, Celta played above expectations. With fifth place in La Liga potentially securing a Champions League spot, the Vigo side are likely to be in the mix with several other teams competing for that extra berth. However, Celta's form is far from encouraging, with three defeats in the last four matches across all competitions. In the previous game, they lost 3-0 at home against Oviedo. Although Claudio Giraldez's team had ball possession on their side, the guests played with significantly more determination and heavily beat the hosts.

After a defeat over the weekend against Oviedo, Celta's head coach, Claudio Giraldez, was, as expected, disappointed. He said, "We knew the opportunity we had today. You get the feeling you have a chance, and you're not able to seize it. The team, in the pre-match press conference, showed me they were fully focused on the game. We had good moments in the first half, but we lacked the finishing touch."

Celta Vigo have some problems with injuries. They will be without Mihailo Ristic, Miguel Roman, Carl Starfelt, and Hugo Alvarez on Thursday evening.

Last matches of Celta Vigo

  1. Celta Vigo

    0 : 3

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  2. SC Freiburg

    3 : 0

    Celta Vigo

    Europa League

  3. Valencia

    2 : 3

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  4. Celta Vigo

    3 : 4

    Alaves

    La Liga

  5. Lyon

    0 : 2

    Celta Vigo

    Europa League

Celta Vigo lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Ionut Radu

Defenders

  • 20

    Marcos Alonso

  • 4

    Joseph Aidoo

  • 32

    Javi Rodriguez

Midfielders

  • 3

    Oscar Mingueza

  • 22

    Hugo Sotelo

  • 6

    Ilaix Moriba

  • 5

    Sergio Carreira

Forwards

  • 9

    Ferran Jutgla

  • 7

    Borja Iglesias

  • 19

    Williot Swedberg

SC Freiburg

Freiburg team overview

Freiburg are only a mid-table Bundesliga this season and their only chance to play in the European competition next year is to win the Europa League. Freiburg have been excellent lately, with four wins in the last five matches. In the most recent outing, they won 1-0 on the road against Mainz. A draw always seemed the most realistic outcome, but the visitors' better efficiency was enough that time for all three points. 

The most encouraging thing about Freiburg lately is their offense. They scored 13 goals in the last five matches and with Celta having so many defensive issues lately, Julian Schuster's team could have another high-scoring game on Thursday evening. 

Daniel-Kofi Kyereh and Max Rosenfelder are unavailable for the upcoming tie, while Matthias Ginter and Patrick Osterhage are questionable. 

Last matches of SC Freiburg

  1. FSV Mainz

    0 : 1

    SC Freiburg

    Bundesliga

  2. SC Freiburg

    3 : 0

    Celta Vigo

    Europa League

  3. SC Freiburg

    2 : 3

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

  4. St Pauli

    1 : 2

    SC Freiburg

    Bundesliga

  5. SC Freiburg

    5 : 1

    Genk

    Europa League

SC Freiburg lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Noah Atubolu

Defenders

  • 29

    Philipp Treu

  • 43

    Bruno Ogbus

  • 3

    Philipp Lienhart

  • 33

    Jordy Makengo

Midfielders

  • 44

    Johan Manzambi

  • 14

    Yuito Suzuki

  • 8

    Maximilian Eggestein

Forwards

  • 19

    Niklas Beste

  • 31

    Igor Matanovic

  • 32

    Vincenzo Grifo

Prediction

Celta Vigo are heading to Thursday's game with terrible defensive form, as they have conceded 12 goals in their last four matches. On the other hand, Freiburg scored 13 goals in the previous five games. Also, Freiburg won 3-0 in the first leg last week. We should expect another high-scoring tie in the rematch. Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals. 

4 Reasons why we should expect at least three goals in this match

  1. Celta Vigo conceded 12 goals in the last four matches
  2. There were three or more goals in every of the previous four Celta games
  3. Freiburg scored 13 goals in the last five matches
  4. Four of the previous five Freiburg games have gone over 2.5 goals

Main prediction Celta Vigo - SC Freiburg

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.94

Bet here

Celta Vigo vs SC Freiburg standings in Europa League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8 7 0 1 18 - 5 +13 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14 - 6 +8 21
3 FC Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18 - 8 +10 19
4 Real Betis 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
5 Porto 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
6 Sporting Braga 8 5 2 1 11 - 5 +6 17
7 SC Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10 - 4 +6 17
8 Roma 8 5 1 2 13 - 6 +7 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11 - 7 +4 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14 - 7 +7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15 - 9 +6 15
12 Ferencvárosi 8 4 3 1 12 - 11 +1 15
13 Nottingham Forest 8 4 2 2 15 - 7 +8 14
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8 3 5 0 8 - 3 +5 14
15 Crvena Zvezda 8 4 2 2 7 - 6 +1 14
16 Celta de Vigo 8 4 1 3 15 - 11 +4 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17 - 14 +3 12
18 LOSC Lille 8 4 0 4 12 - 9 +3 12
19 Fenerbahçe 8 3 3 2 10 - 7 +3 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11 - 9 +2 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13 - 15 -2 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12 - 15 -3 10
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12 - 16 -4 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9 - 11 -2 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10 - 16 -6 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5 - 11 -6 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9 - 16 -7 7
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 6 - 14 -8 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11 - 15 -4 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9 - 13 -4 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10 - 15 -5 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5 - 14 -9 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7 - 15 -8 3
34 FC Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5 - 15 -10 1
35 Malmö FF 8 0 1 7 4 - 15 -11 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2 - 22 -20 1

Celta Vigo vs Freiburg – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the DAZN channel.

? How much is the average xG for Celta Vigo this season?

The average xG for Celta Vigo in the Europa League this season is 1.25.

? How much is the average xG for Freiburg this season?

The average xG for Freiburg in the Europa League this season is 1.58.