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CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag FK prediction 30.07.2026 | Europa League

CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

Kick off:

Date:

Qarabag FK

Qarabag FK

1

2.65

X

3.20

2

2.55

  • Competition: Europa League
  • Date: 30th July 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CEST
  • Venue: Balgarska Armia Stadium

This Thursday, Sofia welcomes Qarabağ to the Bulgarian capital for a game that really could go either way. After a tight first leg that finished 0–0 in Baku, everything’s still on the line. CSKA hopes the energy from their fans will finally push them past Qarabağ, while the Azerbaijani champions lean on their know-how in European matches. In this preview, we analyze the key tactical dynamics. We also break down squad form. Finally, we highlight the best betting value for this decisive European clash.

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag FK Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Qarabag FK

    0 : 0

    CSKA Sofia

    Europa League

  2. Qarabag FK

    1 : 0

    CSKA Sofia

    Club Friendlies 3

  3. CSKA Sofia

    0 : 1

    Qarabag FK

    Club Friendlies 1

  4. CSKA Sofia

    5 : 2

    Qarabag FK

    Club Friendlies 1

This is the second competitive meeting between the clubs, following their tense 0–0 first-leg draw in Baku. With neither side finding the net in the opening match, the historical fixture currently averages 0.0 goals per game heading into this decisive second-leg clash in Sofia.

CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia team overview

CSKA Sofia comes into this match fresh off a wild 3-2 win over Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgarian First League. The Army Men really woke up their attack in that game, shaking off a streak of dull, scoreless draws.

Now, Hristo Yanev and his squad are on a roll as they haven’t lost in five straight matches, whether it’s the league or the Europa League qualifiers.

They’ve been tough to faze at the Vasil Levski National Stadium, too. Five matches there without a loss, including three wins and two draws, and they keep making it hard for teams to grab a result on their turf.

Joël Zwarts is the man to watch right now. After his two big goals in the league, he’s leading the charge up front. Yanev might tweak his tactics to keep up with a fast opponent, but honestly, that’s a nice problem to have when your entire squad is fit and ready. Not a single injury concern for this one.

Last matches of CSKA Sofia

  1. CSKA Sofia

    3 : 2

    Botev Plovdiv

    First League

  2. Qarabag FK

    0 : 0

    CSKA Sofia

    Europa League

  3. Slavia Sofia

    0 : 0

    CSKA Sofia

    First League

  4. Derry City

    1 : 2

    CSKA Sofia

    Europa League

  5. CSKA Sofia

    3 : 2

    Derry City

    Europa League

CSKA Sofia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gustavo Busatto

Defenders

  • 19

    Ivan Turitsov

  • 6

    Liam Cooper

  • 5

    Lumbardh Dellova

  • 15

    Thibaut Vion

Midfielders

  • 26

    Marcelino Carreazo

  • 3

    James Eto'o

  • 11

    Matthias Phaëton

Forwards

  • 10

    Jonathan Lindseth

  • 14

    Tobias Heintz

  • 9

    Joël Zwarts

Qarabag FK

Qarabag FK team overview

Qarabag enters this one on the back of a competitive 0-0 draw against CSKA Sofia in the first leg of their European tie. The Horsemen are currently enjoying an impressive unbeaten run in official matches this season, having completely brushed aside Icelandic opponents Vestri with dominant 3-0 victories both home and away in the previous qualifying round.

Gurban Gurbanov’s men have translated this continental form onto their travels, losing only one of their last five away competitive games while scoring three or more goals in three of them.

Main man Kady Borges is in form after netting a brace against Sumqayıt last weekend. The 30-year-old is expected to lead the line alongside Zakaria Sawo and Abdellah Zoubir, who have combined for three goals in Europe this season.

Like their hosts, boss Gurban benefits from a fully fit squad and could retain the side that started the first leg less than a week ago.

Last matches of Qarabag FK

  1. Qarabag FK

    0 : 0

    CSKA Sofia

    Europa League

  2. Vestri

    0 : 3

    Qarabag FK

    Europa League

  3. Qarabag FK

    3 : 0

    Vestri

    Europa League

  4. Qarabag FK

    1 : 0

    Ferencvarosi TC

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Qarabag FK

    2 : 6

    Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

    Club Friendlies 3

Qarabag FK lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 97

    Fabijan Buntić

Defenders

  • 2

    Matheus Silva

  • 13

    Bahlul Mustafazada

  • 81

    Kevin Medina

  • 44

    Elvin Cafarguliyev

Midfielders

  • 6

    Júlio Romão

  • 8

    Marko Janković

  • 15

    Leandro Andrade

Forwards

  • 7

    Yassine Benzia

  • 10

    Abdellah Zoubir

  • 18

    Juninho

Prediction

The first-leg stalemate is bound to break here. Both sides boast incredible attacking form in their domestic leagues. CSKA Sofia has seen a flurry of goals at home lately. Meanwhile, Qarabağ FK regularly scores three or more on their travels. Zwarts and Kady will likely trade blows in an open encounter. Neither side will back down easily. We expect a thrilling, high-scoring 2-2 draw in Sofia.

Four reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Eight of the last ten competitive games of Qarabag produced three or more goals.
  2. Bets on over 2.5 goals won in seven of the last nine games of CSKA Sofia.
  3. Qarabag scored 3+ goals in four of their last five competitive matches.
  4. CSKA Sofia scored three or more goals in seven of their last nine matches.

Main prediction CSKA Sofia - Qarabag FK

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.13

Bet here

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag FK – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Thursday’s Europa League encounter.

? How many corners do Qarabag usually win in their away European encounters this season?

Around 3.40 per Europa League away match, which feels modest. 

? What about bookings for Hristo Yanev's side at home?

About 2.20 yellow cards on average in their home European games.