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Chelsea vs Newcastle prediction 14.03.2026 | Premier League

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Newcastle United

Newcastle United

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  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Saturday, 14th March 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge (London)

In one of the derbies in the Premier League this weekend, Chelsea and Newcastle will meet. Both teams probably expected a better 2025/26 season, but there is still plenty of time to improve the impression. Will we have a high-scoring affair on Saturday night? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Newcastle United

    2 : 2

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    2 : 0

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  3. Newcastle United

    2 : 0

    Chelsea

    Carabao Cup

  4. Chelsea

    2 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    3 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  6. Newcastle United

    4 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

Both Chelsea and Newcastle have won two of the last five H2H matches. The only draw was a few months ago, when it was 2-2 at St. James' Park. Also, it is worth noting that Newcastle has rarely had success at Chelsea's home stadium, having not won there since 2012. 

Chelsea

Chelsea team overview

After finishing in fourth position in the Premier League last season, Chelsea expected another step forward in dominance in English football. Instead, the Blues are currently fifth, so another Champions League appearance is the only thing they can hope for. The last few weeks were tough for Chelsea, as they won only two of the last five matches. In the most recent outing, the Blues lost 5-2 on the road against PSG. The hosts created xG of only 0.90, but Chelsea's extremely poor defense ultimately cost them the game.

Chelsea's head coach, Liam Rosenior, was expectedly disappointed after a defeat against PSG. He said, "It's a very disappointing result on an evening where, for much of the game, I was pretty happy with our performance. The last 15 to 20 minutes were crazy. At the top level, it's fine margins."

Chelsea have almost a full squad available for Saturday. Levi Colwill, Estevao, and, of course, Mykhailo Mudryk are out, while Jamie Bynoe-Gittens has a thigh injury, but he could return on time for the upcoming round.

Last matches of Chelsea

  1. PSG

    5 : 2

    Chelsea

    Champions League

  2. Wrexham

    0 : 2

    Chelsea

    FA Cup

  3. Aston Villa

    1 : 4

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  4. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    1 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

Chelsea lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Filip Jorgensen

Defenders

  • 27

    Malo Gusto

  • 29

    Wesley Fofana

  • 23

    Trevoh Chalobah

  • 3

    Marc Cucurella

Midfielders

  • 24

    Reece James

  • 8

    Enzo Fernandez

  • 25

    Moises Caicedo

Forwards

  • 10

    Cole Palmer

  • 20

    Joao Pedro

  • 7

    Pedro Neto

Newcastle United

Newcastle team overview

Newcastle have the worst season since the takeover from Saudi Arabians. They are only a mid-table team and will need a significant effort to change that in the rest of the season. Newcastle struggled recently with only two wins in the last six matches. In the previous game, Eddie Howe's team played 1-1 at home against Barcelona. The teams were pretty even for most of the game, and a draw seemed the most realistic outcome.

Newcastle didn't beat Barcelona, but the performance was encouraging, according to the manager, Eddie Howe. He commented, "There's hope, of course, there is. We believe in ourselves, we believe in our capabilities. I think we've shown that today. I thought we were outstanding, a really good performance. We kept the intensity up, which is very difficult to do against them for so long."

Emil Krafth, Bruno Guimaraes, Fabian Schar, and Lewis Miley are unavailable for Saturday's game at Stamford Bridge.

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Newcastle United

    1 : 1

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

  2. Newcastle United

    1 : 3

    Manchester City

    FA Cup

  3. Newcastle United

    2 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    2 : 3

    Everton

    Premier League

  5. Newcastle United

    3 : 2

    Qarabag FK

    Champions League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Aaron Ramsdale

Defenders

  • 2

    Kieran Trippier

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 33

    Dan Burn

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 7

    Joelinton

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 41

    Jacob Ramsey

Forwards

  • 20

    Anthony Elanga

  • 18

    William Osula

  • 11

    Harvey Barnes

Prediction

Both teams are doing great offensively lately. Chelsea scored eight goals in the last three matches. On the other hand, Newcastle scored nine goals in the previous five games. Also, in the only meeting this season between these two sides, it was 2-2. We should expect at least four goals in the upcoming clash again. 

4 Reasons why we should expect four or more goals in this match

  1. Chelsea scored eight goals in the last three matches
  2. There were four or more goals in each of the previous three Chelsea games
  3. Newcastle scored nine goals in the last five matches
  4. Chelsea and Newcastle played 2-2 in the only meeting this season

Main prediction Chelsea - Newcastle United

Over 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Chelsea vs Newcastle United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 33 21 7 5 63 - 26 +37 70
2 Manchester City 32 20 7 5 65 - 29 +36 67
3 Manchester United 33 16 10 7 58 - 45 +13 58
4 Aston Villa 33 17 7 9 47 - 41 +6 58
5 Liverpool 33 16 7 10 54 - 43 +11 55
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 34 13 11 10 48 - 39 +9 50
7 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 53 - 45 +8 48
8 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48 - 44 +4 48
9 AFC Bournemouth 33 11 15 7 50 - 50 0 48
10 Everton 33 13 8 12 40 - 39 +1 47
11 Sunderland 33 12 10 11 36 - 40 -4 46
12 Fulham 33 13 6 14 43 - 46 -3 45
13 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 35 - 36 -1 43
14 Newcastle United 33 12 6 15 46 - 49 -3 42
15 Leeds United 33 9 12 12 42 - 49 -7 39
16 Nottingham Forest 33 9 9 15 36 - 45 -9 36
17 West Ham United 33 8 9 16 40 - 57 -17 33
18 Tottenham Hotspur 33 7 10 16 42 - 53 -11 31
19 Burnley 33 4 8 21 34 - 67 -33 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 33 3 8 22 24 - 61 -37 17

Chelsea vs Newcastle – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Chelsea this season?

The average xG for Chelsea in the Premier League this season is 1.59.

? How much is the average xG for Newcastle this season?

The average xG for Newcastle in the Premier League this season is 1.59.