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Chelsea vs Newcastle prediction 14.03.2026 | Premier League

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Newcastle United

Newcastle United

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  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Saturday, 14th March 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge (London)

In one of the derbies in the Premier League this weekend, Chelsea and Newcastle will meet. Both teams probably expected a better 2025/26 season, but there is still plenty of time to improve the impression. Will we have a high-scoring affair on Saturday night? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Newcastle United

    2 : 2

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    2 : 0

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  3. Newcastle United

    2 : 0

    Chelsea

    Carabao Cup

  4. Chelsea

    2 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    3 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  6. Newcastle United

    4 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

Both Chelsea and Newcastle have won two of the last five H2H matches. The only draw was a few months ago, when it was 2-2 at St. James' Park. Also, it is worth noting that Newcastle has rarely had success at Chelsea's home stadium, having not won there since 2012. 

Chelsea

Chelsea team overview

After finishing in fourth position in the Premier League last season, Chelsea expected another step forward in dominance in English football. Instead, the Blues are currently fifth, so another Champions League appearance is the only thing they can hope for. The last few weeks were tough for Chelsea, as they won only two of the last five matches. In the most recent outing, the Blues lost 5-2 on the road against PSG. The hosts created xG of only 0.90, but Chelsea's extremely poor defense ultimately cost them the game.

Chelsea's head coach, Liam Rosenior, was expectedly disappointed after a defeat against PSG. He said, "It's a very disappointing result on an evening where, for much of the game, I was pretty happy with our performance. The last 15 to 20 minutes were crazy. At the top level, it's fine margins."

Chelsea have almost a full squad available for Saturday. Levi Colwill, Estevao, and, of course, Mykhailo Mudryk are out, while Jamie Bynoe-Gittens has a thigh injury, but he could return on time for the upcoming round.

Last matches of Chelsea

  1. PSG

    5 : 2

    Chelsea

    Champions League

  2. Wrexham

    0 : 2

    Chelsea

    FA Cup

  3. Aston Villa

    1 : 4

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  4. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    1 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

Chelsea lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Filip Jorgensen

Defenders

  • 27

    Malo Gusto

  • 29

    Wesley Fofana

  • 23

    Trevoh Chalobah

  • 3

    Marc Cucurella

Midfielders

  • 24

    Reece James

  • 8

    Enzo Fernandez

  • 25

    Moises Caicedo

Forwards

  • 10

    Cole Palmer

  • 20

    Joao Pedro

  • 7

    Pedro Neto

Newcastle United

Newcastle team overview

Newcastle have the worst season since the takeover from Saudi Arabians. They are only a mid-table team and will need a significant effort to change that in the rest of the season. Newcastle struggled recently with only two wins in the last six matches. In the previous game, Eddie Howe's team played 1-1 at home against Barcelona. The teams were pretty even for most of the game, and a draw seemed the most realistic outcome.

Newcastle didn't beat Barcelona, but the performance was encouraging, according to the manager, Eddie Howe. He commented, "There's hope, of course, there is. We believe in ourselves, we believe in our capabilities. I think we've shown that today. I thought we were outstanding, a really good performance. We kept the intensity up, which is very difficult to do against them for so long."

Emil Krafth, Bruno Guimaraes, Fabian Schar, and Lewis Miley are unavailable for Saturday's game at Stamford Bridge.

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Newcastle United

    1 : 1

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

  2. Newcastle United

    1 : 3

    Manchester City

    FA Cup

  3. Newcastle United

    2 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    2 : 3

    Everton

    Premier League

  5. Newcastle United

    3 : 2

    Qarabag FK

    Champions League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Aaron Ramsdale

Defenders

  • 2

    Kieran Trippier

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 33

    Dan Burn

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 7

    Joelinton

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 41

    Jacob Ramsey

Forwards

  • 20

    Anthony Elanga

  • 18

    William Osula

  • 11

    Harvey Barnes

Prediction

Both teams are doing great offensively lately. Chelsea scored eight goals in the last three matches. On the other hand, Newcastle scored nine goals in the previous five games. Also, in the only meeting this season between these two sides, it was 2-2. We should expect at least four goals in the upcoming clash again. 

4 Reasons why we should expect four or more goals in this match

  1. Chelsea scored eight goals in the last three matches
  2. There were four or more goals in each of the previous three Chelsea games
  3. Newcastle scored nine goals in the last five matches
  4. Chelsea and Newcastle played 2-2 in the only meeting this season

Main prediction Chelsea - Newcastle United

Over 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Chelsea vs Newcastle United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71 - 27 +44 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77 - 35 +42 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69 - 50 +19 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56 - 49 +7 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63 - 53 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58 - 54 +4 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42 - 48 -6 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 52 - 46 +6 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55 - 52 +3 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58 - 52 +6 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47 - 51 -4 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 53 - 55 -2 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47 - 50 -3 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 49 - 56 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41 - 51 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 48 - 51 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 48 - 57 -9 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 46 - 65 -19 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38 - 75 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 27 - 68 -41 20

Chelsea vs Newcastle – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Chelsea this season?

The average xG for Chelsea in the Premier League this season is 1.59.

? How much is the average xG for Newcastle this season?

The average xG for Newcastle in the Premier League this season is 1.59.