Bahia vs Fortaleza prediction 20.11.2025 | Brazil Serie A

Under Rogério Ceni, Bahia have been one of the league’s more consistent sides this season. Their record of 15 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses reflects steady progress, and they average roughly 1.5 goals scored per game. Recent form has been mixed - two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five - but they remain strong enough at home to be considered favourites, having won five consecutive matches at the Arena Fonte Nova. Their home form has been exceptional overall: they have suffered only one defeat there since March 30, winning an impressive 12 league matches in that period.

Bahia have also recorded four clean sheets in their last five home fixtures while maintaining a healthy goals-per-game output. Key attacking contributors such as Willian José (10 league goals) have been central to their top-half push, and strong squad depth has helped them navigate fixture congestion following a deep run in regional competition.

Fortaleza’s season has been poor by their usual standards. Their league record of 7 wins, 10 draws and 16 losses leaves them dangerously close to the relegation zone, and their away form has been especially weak, with just one win in 16 matches on the road. Defensively, they have conceded frequently - averaging 1.8 goals per game in away fixtures - while their attacking efficiency has also been a concern. Despite generating an away xG of 1.18 per match, they score only 0.88 goals on average.

Even so, Fortaleza remain capable of finding the net, having scored in three consecutive away league games, but their overall away fragility continues to undermine their survival hopes.