Contents
- Competition: Champions League, Semi-Finals, 2nd Leg
- Date: Tuesday, 5th May, 2026
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
- Venue: Emirates Stadium (London)
After a 1:1 draw in Spain, Arsenal and Atletico Madrid will face off in the second leg of the Champions League semi-finals at the Emirates Stadium in London. Following their draw, both teams secured wins in their domestic leagues - Arsenal 3:0 over Fulham and Atletico Madrid 2:0 over Valencia.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Champions League tie.
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Atletico Madrid
1 : 1
Arsenal
Champions League
-
Arsenal
4 : 0
Atletico Madrid
Champions League
-
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0
Arsenal
Europa League
-
Arsenal
1 : 1
Atletico Madrid
Europa League
In the previous H2H game, a week ago, we saw a 1:1 draw, with both teams scoring from the penalty spot. However, the impression was that the Spanish team was slightly better and probably deserved a win more. In total, these teams have met six times. Atletico Madrid have won once, while Arsenal have secured two victories.
When it comes to the number of goals, we saw three or more goals in two of them, at least in regular time. Meanwhile, both teams scored in four of those eight.
Arsenal team overview
Arsenal have been good throughout the season. However, a one-month bad period between mid-March and mid-April completely ruined their season. During that time, the Gunners suffered an EFL Cup final defeat, were eliminated from the FA Cup quarter-finals, and dropped points in the Premier League, massively complicating their title chances. Still, with a win over Fulham in the previous game, they put pressure on Manchester City, which are six points behind, and have played two games fewer.
So, the Gunners' season could be their best ever if they win the Premier League and their first-ever Champions League title. Still, that, of course, won't be an easy task.
For the upcoming game, Arsenal will be without Jurrien Timber and Mikel Merino, who are ruled out definitively. Meanwhile, Kai Havertz and Martin Odegaard are listed as questionable. According to credible sources, Havertz has a better chance of recovering on time for the Atletico Madrid game.
Last matches of Arsenal
-
Arsenal
3 : 0
Fulham
Premier League
-
Atletico Madrid
1 : 1
Arsenal
Champions League
-
Arsenal
1 : 0
Newcastle United
Premier League
-
Manchester City
2 : 1
Arsenal
Premier League
-
Arsenal
0 : 0
Sporting CP
Champions League
Arsenal lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
David Raya
Defenders
-
4
Ben White
-
2
William Saliba
-
6
Gabriel
-
5
Piero Hincapié
Midfielders
-
36
Martín Zubimendi
-
41
Declan Rice
-
49
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Forwards
-
7
Bukayo Saka
-
14
Viktor Gyökeres
-
11
Gabriel Martinelli
Atletico Madrid team overview
After winning the La Liga title in the 2020/21 season, Atletico Madrid has been the 3rd or 4th-best team in Spain. This year, the Colchoneros are once again around their usual place, currently sitting in 4th place and are without any danger of dropping out of the top four and Champions League spots. Colchoneros have had a similar problem as Arsenal, collapsing for around a month period between mid-March and mid-April. They lost seven of eight games during that period, including the Copa del Rey Finals to Real Sociedad. But like their next opponent, Colchoneros bounced back lately and started playing well.
Coach Diego Simeone had eight important players out for the previous game(s). However, Julian Alvarez, Giuliano Simeone, Alexander Sorloth, and David Hancko will most likely return on time for the Arsenal game. Meanwhile, Pablo Barrios, Jose Gimenez, Nico Gonzalez, and Marcos Llorente will likely remain sidelined with their injuries.
Last matches of Atletico Madrid
-
Valencia
0 : 2
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
-
Atletico Madrid
1 : 1
Arsenal
Champions League
-
Atletico Madrid
3 : 2
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga
-
Elche
3 : 2
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
-
Atletico Madrid
3 : 4
Real Sociedad
Copa Del Rey
Atletico Madrid lineup
Goalkeeper
-
13
Jan Oblak
Defenders
-
16
Nahuel Molina
-
18
Marc Pubill
-
17
Dávid Hancko
-
3
Matteo Ruggeri
Midfielders
-
22
Ademola Lookman
-
6
Koke
-
5
Johnny Cardoso
-
20
Giuliano Simeone
Forwards
-
19
Julián Alvarez
-
7
Antoine Griezmann
Prediction
In the previous leg, we saw a 1:1 draw, but both teams scored from the penalty spots. While both teams had their chances, we cannot really say they created too many clear-cut ones.
Also, the Gunners exclusively played low-scoring games in the Champions League knockout phase, going under 2.5 goals in all five games, while allowing only two goals. In recent games, they really impressed defensively, especially at home, keeping a clean sheet in three consecutive games. On the other hand, Atletico Madrid weren't as good for this bet lately, but that is mainly due to an uncharacteristic bad defense. However, they improved on that end, allowing one goal in back-to-back games.
Considering all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Champions League semi-finals tie.
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- The first H2H game ended as a 1:1 draw
- Arsenal kept a clean sheet in the last three home games
- Arsenal went under 2.5 goals in all five Champions League knockout phase games
Main prediction Arsenal - Atletico Madrid
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid standings in Champions League
| League Stage | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 - 4 | +19 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 - 8 | +14 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 - 8 | +12 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 - 7 | +10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 - 14 | +8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 - 10 | +7 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 - 11 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 - 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 - 12 | +9 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 - 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 - 11 | +10 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 - 7 | +10 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 - 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 - 15 | +2 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 - 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 - 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 - 17 | +2 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos F.C. | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 - 14 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 - 17 | -2 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 - 11 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 - 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 - 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodø / Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 - 15 | -1 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 - 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 - 14 | -3 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 - 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 27 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 - 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 - 16 | 0 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 - 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 - 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 - 21 | -9 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 - 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 - 21 | -11 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Praha | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 - 19 | -14 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 - 18 | -13 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 - 22 | -15 | 1 |