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VPS Vaasa vs SJK prediction 10.07.2026 | Veikkausliiga

Kick off:

Date:

1

2.02

X

3.55

2

3.20

  • Competition: Veikkausliiga
  • Date: Friday, 10th July, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CEST
  • Venue: Lemonsoft Stadion (Vaasa)

After both teams secured wins in the previous rounds of the Finnish Veikkausliiga, VPS and SJK will face off against each other in the 15th round. VPS are hoping to extend their unbeaten league streak to eight, while the visitors are hoping to continue their unbeaten streak to four.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Veikkausliiga tie.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. SJK

    1 : 2

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  2. SJK

    0 : 6

    VPS Vaasa

    League Cup

  3. SJK

    2 : 3

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  4. SJK

    0 : 1

    VPS Vaasa

    League Cup

  5. SJK

    1 : 4

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  6. SJK

    3 : 1

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

These teams met only around a month ago, with VPS winning 2:1. It was a really close game in which VPS eventually secured all three points with a goal in the 88th minute. Looking further back, these teams met in this calendar year once again, in February, when VPS absolutely dominated 6:0. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, VPS won five times, while SJK secured two wins. 

When it comes to the number of goals, eight of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (8).

VPS Vaasa team overview

VPS are playing a very good season thus far, especially considering they were a team that struggled to achieve the Championship Group the previous year. This year, they look much better and sit in 4th place with 24 points from 14 rounds. They even had a very good run in the Cup, reaching the semi-finals, but eventually lost 3:2 to a very good Inter Turku team. 

After a big 4:0 win over Mariehamn, coach Jussi Nuorela spoke to the media. He said they got off to a good start with a goal in an unusual situation. The coach was satisfied with a win but said they did not play particularly well, adding that they were still a better team. One of the things he emphasized they need to improve was how to deal with pressing. 

Last matches of

  1. VPS Vaasa

    4 : 0

    IFK Mariehamn

    Veikkausliiga

  2. VPS Vaasa

    2 : 3

    Inter Turku

    Finland Cup

  3. Gnistan

    1 : 1

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  4. VPS Vaasa

    5 : 1

    AC Oulu

    Veikkausliiga

  5. SJK

    1 : 2

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 41

    Mamadou Jalloh

Defenders

  • 19

    Martti Haukioja

  • 3

    Razak Simpson

  • 6

    Emmanuel Okereke

Midfielders

  • 13

    Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi

  • 8

    Paulo Lima

  • 2

    Lassana Mané

  • 7

    Jayden Turfkruier

  • 27

    Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan

Forwards

  • 11

    Jonathan Muzinga

  • 15

    Luka Smyth

SJK team overview

Unlike VPS, which have a very good season, SJK are playing a terrible one. After five years as a Championship Group team, they weren't even remotely close to this level this season. After 14 rounds, they sit in 10th place with 14 points from 14 rounds and are five points away from the Championship Group. However, there are some signs of life for this team, as they have won 5 points in the past 3 games (1.7 ppg), which is well above their season average. 

After a 3:1 win over TPS in the previous game, coach Jarkko Wiss spoke to the media. He said it was a good win and was especially satisfied with how they responded to a high-press, something they struggled with in the Inter Turku game. The coach added that their formation worked well as they stopped TPS from creating good chances despite having possession. 

Last matches of

  1. SJK

    3 : 1

    TPS

    Veikkausliiga

  2. FC Ilves

    2 : 2

    SJK

    Veikkausliiga

  3. Inter Turku

    1 : 1

    SJK

    Veikkausliiga

  4. SJK

    1 : 2

    VPS Vaasa

    Veikkausliiga

  5. FC Lahti

    2 : 3

    SJK

    Veikkausliiga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Roope Paunio

Defenders

  • 26

    Jaakko Moisio

  • 32

    Sayibu Yakubu

  • 5

    Oskari Väistö

  • 23

    Armaan Wilson

Midfielders

  • 31

    Eze Onuoha

  • 10

    Kasper Paananen

  • 18

    Markus Arsalo

  • 17

    Vertti Hänninen

Forwards

  • 7

    Kelwin

  • 9

    Jeremiah Streng

Prediction

VPS went over 2.5 goals in back-to-back games and in four of the past five games. Even in the game we haven't seen three goals (1:1 vs Gnistan), there was a lot of chances. The game eventually finished with 3.7xG! So, with a little luck, they would go over 2.5 goals in five consecutive games. 

Meanwhile, SJK went over 3.5 goals in the last two games. They are generally a team that often plays high-scoring games. That was particularly the case recently, as their offense has looked much better.

Moreover, eight of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals.

Considering the trend in the previous H2H games and all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, very likely with both teams scoring.

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. VPS went over 2.5 goals in four of the past five games
  2. SJK went over 2.5 goals in the last seven games
  3. Eight of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals

Main prediction -

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.66

Bet here

vs standings in Veikkausliiga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 KuPS 15 8 6 1 27 - 15 +12 30
2 Inter Turku 15 8 6 1 23 - 12 +11 30
3 Oulu 14 8 2 4 20 - 15 +5 26
4 VPS 14 6 6 2 21 - 11 +10 24
5 HJK 14 6 4 4 25 - 17 +8 22
6 Gnistan 14 5 4 5 19 - 18 +1 19
7 TPS 14 5 4 5 16 - 16 0 19
8 Lahti 14 4 4 6 16 - 15 +1 16
9 Ilves 15 4 4 7 25 - 29 -4 16
10 SJK 14 3 5 6 18 - 22 -4 14
11 Jaro 15 2 5 8 15 - 32 -17 11
12 Mariehamn 14 0 4 10 6 - 29 -23 4

VPS Vaasa vs SJK – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on Onefootball.

? How much is the average xG for VPS this season?

The average xG for VPS in the Veikkausliiga this season is 1.48.

? How much is the average xG for SJK this season?

The average xG for SJK in the Veikkausliiga this season is 1.64.