Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid prediction 24.05.2026 | La Liga
Villarreal
Kick off:
Date:
Atletico Madrid
1
2.53
X
3.84
2
2.78
Contents
- Competition: La Liga
- Date: Sunday, 24th May, 2026
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
- Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)
The Spanish La Liga has come to an end. In the last, 38th, round of the season, we will be focused on the duel between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid in their battle for 3rd place. Objectively, doesn't have a huge impact since both teams have already secured Champions League spots. Villarreal comes into the game after back-to-back losses to Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla, while Atletico won b2b games against relegation candidates, Osasuna and Girona.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Atletico Madrid
2 : 0
Villarreal
La Liga
-
Atletico Madrid
1 : 1
Villarreal
La Liga
-
Villarreal
2 : 2
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
-
Villarreal
1 : 2
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
-
Atletico Madrid
3 : 1
Villarreal
La Liga
-
Villarreal
2 : 2
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
In the first H2H game this season, Atletico Madrid won 2:0 at Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Atletico were much more successful, winning four times, while Villarreal secured one win.
When it comes to the number of goals, six out of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in seven of those ten H2H games.
Villarreal team overview
Villarreal have had their best season in almost two decades, at least in La Liga. The Yellow Submarine were set to secure 3rd place, but after losing two in a row, they can now drop to 4th if they lose this game against Atletico Madrid. Still, being 3rd or 4th doesn't have a significant difference since both teams qualify for the Champions League. Meanwhile, the Yellow Submarine were atrocious in the Cup competitions. In the Champions League, they finished the group stage in 35th place out of 36 teams, and in the domestic cup, they were eliminated in the 1/16 Finals by Racing Santander.
Renato Veiga served his one-game suspension in the previous match against Rayo Vallecano and will be available. Meanwhile, Juan Foyth should remain sidelined with his ACL injury.
Last matches of Villarreal
-
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 0
Villarreal
La Liga
-
Villarreal
2 : 3
Sevilla
La Liga
-
Mallorca
1 : 1
Villarreal
La Liga
-
Villarreal
5 : 1
Levante
La Liga
-
Villarreal
2 : 1
Celta Vigo
La Liga
Villarreal lineup
Goalkeeper
-
25
Arnau Tenas
Defenders
-
15
Santiago Mouriño
-
4
Rafa Marín
-
12
Renato Veiga
-
23
Sergi Cardona
Midfielders
-
17
Tajon Buchanan
-
18
Pape Gueye
-
14
Santi Comesaña
-
20
Alberto Moleiro
Forwards
-
21
Tani Oluwaseyi
-
22
Ayoze Pérez
Atletico Madrid team overview
After winning the title in the 2021/22 season, Atletico Madrid have finished 3rd (3 times) and 4th (1 time) in La Liga. This year, they are once again in the same placement, considering they will finish 3rd or 4th. However, they missed the opportunity to have a historic season, as they were close to reaching the Champions League Finals, losing 2:1 on aggregate to Arsenal in a close duel. Another missed opportunity was in the Copa del Rey, where they lost to Real Sociedad in the Finals after a penalty shootout.
For the last game of the season, the team will miss up to eight players. Julian Alvarez, Pablo Barrios, Johnny Cardoso, Jose Maria Gimenez, Nicolas Gonzalez, Rodrigo Mendoza, and Nahuel Molina should remain sidelined with injuries. At the same time, Robin Le Normand will serve his one-game suspension due to yellow card accumulation.
Last matches of Atletico Madrid
-
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0
Girona
La Liga
-
Osasuna
1 : 2
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
-
Atletico Madrid
0 : 1
Celta Vigo
La Liga
-
Arsenal
1 : 0
Atletico Madrid
Champions League
-
Valencia
0 : 2
Atletico Madrid
La Liga
Atletico Madrid lineup
Goalkeeper
-
13
Jan Oblak
Defenders
-
18
Marc Pubill
-
15
Clément Lenglet
-
17
Dávid Hancko
-
3
Matteo Ruggeri
Midfielders
-
20
Giuliano Simeone
-
21
Obed Vargas
-
6
Koke
-
10
Álex Baena
Forwards
-
7
Antoine Griezmann
-
22
Ademola Lookman
Prediction
Villarreal are in poor form, having won one point in the past three games. They also had really poor offensive performances, scoring only three goals in that period, which is about 0.8 goals per game below their season average. So, expecting a great offensive display against one of La Liga's best defenses seems unreal.
Atletico Madrid went under 3.5 goals in the past six games across competitions. In fact, they have gone under 2.5 goals in five of those six games! Moreover, after watching the stats, Colchoneros were among the teams that scored far more at home than on the road. In La Liga, they average 2.05 gpg at home, while only 1.22 on the road.
In the first H2H game this season, we saw two goals (2:0 for Atletico Madrid) in a game without too many chances. Considering all the above, an under 3.5 goals seems like the safest option for this La Liga tie.
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than four goals
- Villarreal have scored three goals in the past three games
- Atletico Madrid have gone under 3.5 goals in the past six games across competitions
- We saw two goals in the first H2H game
Main prediction Villarreal - Atletico Madrid
Under 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.74
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid standings in La Liga
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 37 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 94 - 33 | +61 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 73 - 33 | +40 | 83 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 67 - 45 | +22 | 69 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 61 - 39 | +22 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 57 - 47 | +10 | 57 |
| 6 | Celta de Vigo | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 52 - 48 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 | Getafe | 37 | 14 | 6 | 17 | 31 - 38 | -7 | 48 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 39 - 43 | -4 | 47 |
| 9 | Valencia | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 43 - 54 | -11 | 46 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 58 - 60 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 42 - 54 | -12 | 45 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 41 - 54 | -13 | 45 |
| 13 | Deportivo Alavés | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 43 - 54 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 46 - 59 | -13 | 43 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 44 - 49 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 | Elche | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 48 - 56 | -8 | 42 |
| 17 | Levante | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 46 - 59 | -13 | 42 |
| 18 | Girona | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 38 - 54 | -16 | 40 |
| 19 | Mallorca | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 44 - 57 | -13 | 39 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 37 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 26 - 57 | -31 | 29 |