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Sudtirol vs Bari prediction 22.05.2026 | Serie B

Südtirol

Südtirol

Kick off:

Date:

Bari 1908

Bari 1908

1

1.96

X

3.40

2

3.79

  • Competition: Serie B play-offs
  • Date: 22nd May 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Druso

Friday night in Bolzano will probably feel tense long before kick-off. This is not promotion drama or a glamorous playoff chase. It is survival. Sudtirol and Bari finished 16th and 17th in Serie B, so now everything comes down to this relegation playoff battle. The first leg ended 0-0, which, honestly, suited neither side completely. One mistake could decide the season here. That usually changes how teams approach a game, especially in Italy where caution often arrives before ambition.

Südtirol vs Bari 1908 Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Bari 1908

    0 : 0

    Südtirol

    Serie B

  2. Bari 1908

    1 : 2

    Südtirol

    Serie B

  3. Südtirol

    0 : 0

    Bari 1908

    Serie B

  4. Südtirol

    0 : 0

    Bari 1908

    Serie B

  5. Bari 1908

    0 : 1

    Südtirol

    Serie B

  6. Südtirol

    1 : 0

    Bari 1908

    Serie B

These clubs have met 12 times previously and the numbers lean slightly toward Sudtirol. The Tyroleans picked up five wins, while Bari managed three victories. Four matches ended level. Goals have been fairly scarce too, with the average sitting at only 1.5 per game, which says quite a lot about how these fixtures usually unfold.

Südtirol

Sudtirol team overview

The Tyroleans have struggled to reach last season’s standards. A year ago, finishing 10th suggested the club was moving steadily forward. Now, Fabrizio Castori’s side are fighting simply to remain in Serie B after collecting only 41 points from 38 matches. Football can turn quickly like that, particularly in this division where momentum rarely lasts long.

Oddly enough, recent form has not been terrible. Sudtirol are unbeaten in 11 matches after the goalless first leg against Bari, although draws have crept into that run a little too often.

Home form remains a concern as well. The hosts are winless in eight matches at Stadio Druso, yet they lost only three times during that stretch, so games have stayed competitive.

Emanuele Pecorino should continue leading the attack after scoring nine league goals this season. Silvio Merkaj is expected to partner him despite enduring a frustrating campaign in front of goal. Alessio Cragno remains sidelined with a tendon injury, while Filipe Bordon is unavailable because of a metatarsal fracture.

Last matches of Südtirol

  1. Bari 1908

    0 : 0

    Südtirol

    Serie B

  2. Südtirol

    1 : 1

    Juve Stabia

    Serie B

  3. Sampdoria

    1 : 0

    Südtirol

    Serie B

  4. Südtirol

    0 : 3

    Mantova

    Serie B

  5. Spezia

    6 : 1

    Südtirol

    Serie B

Südtirol lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Marius Adamonis

Defenders

  • 24

    Simone Davi

  • 94

    Hamza El Kaouakibi

  • 19

    Nicola Pietrangeli

  • 34

    Frédéric Veseli

Midfielders

  • 26

    Marco Frigerio

  • 18

    Simone Tronchin

  • 17

    Daniele Casiraghi

  • 79

    Salvatore Molina

Forwards

  • 9

    Emanuele Pecorino

  • 33

    Silvio Merkaj

Bari 1908

Bari team overview

The Cockerels are another side left wondering where the previous season’s momentum disappeared. Bari finished ninth in the 2024-25 campaign and probably expected to push closer toward the playoff places this year, not drift into a relegation fight. Still, the ending to the regular season gave supporters a little hope after back-to-back victories by an aggregate score of 5-2.

The frustration from the first leg likely still lingers, though. Moreno Longo’s men had home advantage and could not break through against a cautious Sudtirol side. Away form also raises doubts ahead of this trip to Bolzano. The visitors lost four of their last five matches on the road, which is hardly ideal preparation for such a high-pressure game.

Gabriele Moncini remains Bari’s biggest attacking threat with 11 Serie B goals this season. Emanuele Rao should support him again after contributing six goals of his own. Unlike Sudtirol, Longo arrives with the luxury of a fully available squad and no reported suspensions or injury concerns.

Last matches of Bari 1908

  1. Bari 1908

    0 : 0

    Südtirol

    Serie B

  2. Catanzaro

    2 : 3

    Bari 1908

    Serie B

  3. Bari 1908

    2 : 0

    Virtus Entella

    Serie B

  4. Avellino

    2 : 0

    Bari 1908

    Serie B

  5. Bari 1908

    0 : 3

    Venezia FC

    Serie B

Bari 1908 lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Michele Cerofolini

Defenders

  • 13

    Valerio Mantovani

  • 26

    Cas Odenthal

  • 43

    Dimitris Nikolaou

Midfielders

  • 28

    Kevin Piscopo

  • 19

    Tomás Esteves

  • 18

    Giulio Maggiore

  • 8

    Riccardo Pagano

  • 93

    Mehdi Dorval

Forwards

  • 11

    Gabriele Moncini

  • 17

    Emanuele Rao

Prediction

Another tense and cautious match feels quite likely here. Honestly, a 0-0 draw would surprise very few people. The first leg already ended without goals, and neither side arrives looking especially sharp in attack. Moreover, five of the last six meetings between Sudtirol and Bari have produced one goal or fewer. That trend usually says something. This playoff tie has the feel of a game where avoiding one careless mistake matters far more than taking risks going forward.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Five of the last six meetings between Sudtirol and Bari finished goalless or with just one goal.
  2. Bari failed to find the back of the net in four of their last six matches.
  3. Five of the last seven games of Sudtirol ended with under 2.5 goals.

Main prediction Südtirol - Bari 1908

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

59% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.71

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Südtirol vs Bari 1908 standings in Serie B

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77 - 31 +46 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76 - 34 +42 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61 - 32 +29 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61 - 33 +28 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62 - 51 +11 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49 - 36 +13 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44 - 45 -1 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43 - 55 -12 49
9 Calcio Padova 38 12 10 16 39 - 49 -10 46
10 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45 - 56 -11 46
11 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45 - 57 -12 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47 - 52 -5 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35 - 48 -13 44
14 Virtus Entella 38 10 12 16 36 - 51 -15 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47 - 54 -7 41
16 Südtirol 38 8 17 13 38 - 48 -10 41
17 Bari 1908 38 10 10 18 38 - 60 -22 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36 - 56 -20 37
19 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51 - 66 -15 35
20 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43 - 59 -16 35

Sudtirol vs Bari – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Friday’s Serie B game.

? How many corners do Bari usually win on the road this season?

Around 6.66 per Serie B away match, which feels huge. 

? What about bookings for Fabrizio Castori’s men at home?

About 1.60 yellow cards on average in their Serie B home games.