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Spain vs Croatia prediction 29.09.2026 | Nations League

Spain

Spain

Kick off:

Date:

Croatia

Croatia

1

1.33

X

5.10

2

8.50

  • Competition: Nations League
  • Date: 29th September 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Seville is absolutely buzzing. Spain welcomes Croatia in a colossal rematch, and history demands revenge. The hosts usually dominate with their relentless possession. I still get nightmares thinking about that brutal 6-0 thrashing back in 2018. Pure agony. Spain brings fluid, mesmerizing passing and elite youngsters who can kill a game in seconds. They will definitely try to frustrate the away side by starving them of the ball. The Vatreni must rely on veteran grit to survive. Expect absolute chaos. Let’s look at the best bets.

Spain vs Croatia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Spain

    3 : 0

    Croatia

    European Championship

  2. Croatia

    0 : 0

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Croatia

    3 : 5

    Spain

    European Championship

  4. Croatia

    3 : 2

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Spain

    6 : 0

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

  6. Croatia

    2 : 1

    Spain

    European Championship

Spain completely bosses this fixture. Six wins from eleven matches. Croatia trails with just three victories, though they always fight. It's usually absolute chaos. Honestly, that 5-3 thriller at Euro 2020 left me entirely breathless. Pure footballing madness. These historic clashes average a massive 3.18 goals per game.

Spain

Spain team overview

Spain enters this one on the back of a thrilling 3-2 away win against England. La Roja looks completely unstoppable lately, especially after conquered the globe by defeating Argentina 1-0 in the 2026 World Cup final this past July.

Luis de la Fuente’s men also boast a formidable record at home, remaining on an active multi-year unbeaten streak on home soil. Their last defeat in front of their fans was against Switzerland in September 2022.

Teenage sensation Lamine Yamal continues to be the main focal point, recently hitting the back of the net against England to extend his incredible international form.

Defensively, there are minor concerns as defender Pedro Porro completely missed the squad due to injury, while Eric García pulled out during the pre-match warm-up. Honestly, watching this team pass opponents into oblivion is pure poetry.

Last matches of Spain

  1. England

    2 : 3

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Spain

    1 : 0

    Argentina

    World Cup

  3. France

    0 : 2

    Spain

    World Cup

  4. Spain

    2 : 1

    Belgium

    World Cup

  5. Portugal

    0 : 1

    Spain

    World Cup

Spain lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Unai Simón

Defenders

  • 12

    Marc Pubill

  • 5

    Pau Cubarsí

  • 14

    Aymeric Laporte

  • 22

    Marc Cucurella

Midfielders

  • 16

    Rodri

  • 8

    Fabián Ruiz

  • 10

    Dani Olmo

Forwards

  • 19

    Lamine Yamal

  • 21

    Mikel Oyarzabal

  • 17

    Nico Williams

Croatia

Croatia team overview

Croatia prepares for this one on the back of a hard-fought 2-1 away victory against Czechia. The Vatreni looked incredibly sharp during that opening fixture.

Slaven Bilić’s men are desperate to build momentum after their mixed 2026 World Cup run, where they exited in the round of 32 following a tight 2-1 defeat to Portugal. On the road, the Croats are currently enjoying a five match unbeaten streak with four wins in competitive games. It's clear their traveling support gives them a massive lift.

Marco Pašalić remains their main spark after scoring the crucial winning goal last time out, while young defensive starlet Luka Vušković has transformed their backline.

However, severe defensive absences will test them deeply, as right-back Josip Juranović is sidelined with illness and center-back Martin Erlić is completely out with a muscle injury.

Last matches of Croatia

  1. Czech Republic

    1 : 2

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Croatia

    2 : 1

    Ghana

    World Cup

  3. England

    4 : 2

    Croatia

    World Cup

  4. Croatia

    2 : 1

    Slovenia

    Friendly International

  5. Croatia

    0 : 2

    Belgium

    Friendly International

Croatia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dominik Livaković

Defenders

  • 2

    Josip Stanišić

  • 6

    Josip Šutalo

  • 4

    Joško Gvardiol

  • 3

    Ivan Smolčić

Midfielders

  • 17

    Petar Sučić

  • 8

    Mateo Kovačić

  • 10

    Luka Modrić

Forwards

  • 19

    Marco Pašalić

  • 14

    Ivan Perišić

  • 11

    Ante Budimir

Prediction

Spain will likely take this 3-1. La Roja's lethal attacking trio will completely shred Croatia’s injury-depleted defense, especially with Lamine Yamal currently playing out of his mind. The Vatreni always fight tooth and nail on the road and will definitely snatch a consolation goal, but they just can't keep up with Spain's relentless, suffocating pressure. I’m confidently betting my lunch money on a dominant 3-1 home win.

Four reasons we expect over 1.5 goals in the second half

  1. Five of the last six meetings between Spain and Croatia produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. Croatia finished only one of their last six competitive games without conceding.
  3. Spain scored 2+ goals in three of their last four outings.
  4. Croatia have failed to score in only one of their last 13 matches.

Main prediction Spain - Croatia

Over 1.5 goals 2nd half

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.73

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Spain vs Croatia standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 3 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Spain 1 1 0 0 3 - 2 +1 3
2 Croatia 1 1 0 0 2 - 1 +1 3
3 England 1 0 0 1 2 - 3 -1 0
4 Czech Republic 1 0 0 1 1 - 2 -1 0

Spain vs Croatia – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Tuesday’s Nations League encounter.

? How many corners do Spain win on average per game at home?

Around 7.50 per away match, which remains a strong attacking indicator for the hosts.

? What about bookings for Slaven Bilić’s side on the road?

About 2.00 yellow cards on average in their away games.