Belgium vs France prediction 28.09.2026 | UEFA Nations League
Belgium
Kick off:
Date:
France
1
3.70
X
4.00
2
1.90
Contents
- Competition: UEFA Nations League
- Date: Monday, 28th September, 2026
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
- Venue: King Baudouin Stadium (Brussels)
After winning their first UEFA Nations League games against Italy and Turkey, Belgium and France will face off in the second round. Both teams changed coaches after the World Cup, and it was really important for them to start new campaigns on a positive note.
Let's break down the game and find the possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.
Belgium vs France Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Belgium
1 : 2
France
UEFA Nations League
-
France
2 : 0
Belgium
UEFA Nations League
-
France
1 : 0
Belgium
European Championship
-
France
1 : 0
Belgium
World Cup
-
France
3 : 4
Belgium
Friendly International
-
Belgium
0 : 0
France
Friendly International
These teams met last time in 2024 in the UEFA Nations League. That time, France won both games, 2:1 on the road and 2- 1 at home. Generally speaking, France dominated this duel, winning the past five head-to-head matches.
When it comes to the number of goals, only two of those five h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (2).
Belgium team overview
Belgium had a pretty strange World Cup appearance. They started slowly in the Group, but then did very well in the latter part of the tournament when coach Rudi Garcia made some important changes in the squad. Eventually, they reached the quarter-finals, where they lost to the eventual champs, Spain, 2:1 in a pretty close duel.
After the World Cup, the FA decided not to renew Garcia's contract and appointed former Dutch star Mark van Bommel as the new head coach. And judging from the first game under van Bommel, it was the right call. The Belgians dominated Italy in the first game, winning 2:0 in Rome.
Several important players aren't with the squad. Thibaut Courtois made himself unavailable for the UEFA Nations League, Axel Witsel retired from international football, and Amadou Onana is dealing with an injury he sustained in the WC. Moreover, Jérémy Doku is also dealing with his injury, while Alexis Saelemaekers is not called up despite being fit.
Last matches of Belgium
-
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
UEFA Nations League
-
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
World Cup
-
United States
1 : 4
Belgium
World Cup
-
Belgium
1 : 0
Senegal
World Cup
-
New Zealand
1 : 5
Belgium
World Cup
Belgium lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Senne Lammens
Defenders
-
21
Timothy Castagne
-
15
Nathan Ngoy
-
4
Brandon Mechele
-
5
Maxim De Cuyper
Midfielders
-
23
Nicolas Raskin
-
7
Kevin De Bruyne
-
8
Youri Tielemans
Forwards
-
19
Diego Moreira
-
17
Charles De Ketelaere
-
10
Mika Godts
France team overview
France was the favorite to win the previous World Cup during the group phase and early knockout phase, with many football pundits considering them one of the all-time great teams. However, Spain completely dismantled them in the Semi-Finals, proving they are still not on that level despite unquestionably having a super-talented team.
After the World Cup, the FA decided to appoint one of the all-time best players as the new head coach, Zinedine Zidane. They opened the campaign under the new head coach with a very good 1:0 over Turkey on the road. After the game, Zidane was happy but said there were a lot of emotions. The coach said it is never easy to win on the road, especially in Turkey. " I am satisfied with what the players achieved, and I am happy that this debut went like this," the coach added.
However, during the Turkey game, France's star, Kylian Mbappe, suffered a tendon injury and will be unavailable for the Belgium game. According to credible sources, Mbappe has already left the team and went to Spain. Moreover, due to injuries, the team is missing William Saliba, Ibrahima Konaté, Theo Hernández, Khéphren Thuram, Jean-Philippe Mateta, and Hugo Ekitiké.
Last matches of France
-
Turkey
0 : 1
France
UEFA Nations League
-
France
4 : 6
England
World Cup
-
France
0 : 2
Spain
World Cup
-
France
2 : 0
Morocco
World Cup
-
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
World Cup
France lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Mike Maignan
Defenders
-
5
Jules Koundé
-
4
Dayot Upamecano
-
17
Maxence Lacroix
-
3
Adrien Truffert
Midfielders
-
14
Adrien Rabiot
-
8
Manu Koné
-
9
Rayan Cherki
Forwards
-
11
Michael Olise
-
7
Ousmane Dembélé
-
20
Désiré Doué
Prediction
Both teams went under 3.5 goals in their first UEFA Nations League games, as Belgium won 2:0 over Italy and France over Turkey.
Also, even though both teams have enough talent in their squads, especially on offense, they rarely play high-scoring games in H2H duels. In the past five h2h games, only one of those went over 3.5 goals. Moreover, France had only 1.17 xG against Turkey, and now, with Mbappe probably missing the game due to injury, it will surely not help.
Considering all the above, we believe that under 3.5 Goals is the safest option for this UEFA Nations League tie.
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than four goals
- Belgium won 2:0 their last game vs Italy
- France won their last game against Turkey 1:0
- Four of the past five H2H games ended with fewer than four goals
Main prediction Belgium - France
Under 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.65
Belgium vs France standings in UEFA Nations League
| Group 1 | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 - 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 - 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Türkiye | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 - 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 - 2 | -2 | 0 |