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Northern Ireland vs Hungary prediction 28.09.2026 | Nations League

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland

Kick off:

Date:

Hungary

Hungary

1

3.30

X

3.10

2

2.25

  • Competition: Nations League
  • Date: 28th September 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Windsor Park

Belfast will be rocking. Northern Ireland clashes with Hungary, and history firmly favors the visitors. It's usually a tough watch for the Green and White Army. But wait. Remember Kyle Lafferty’s dramatic late equalizer against them in 2015? I lost my voice celebrating that night. Pure bedlam. Hungary brings serious tactical discipline and elite technical quality to the pitch. They will try to silence the home crowd early by dictating the tempo. Northern Ireland simply must weaponize Windsor Park’s hostile, electric atmosphere. Expect a gritty, physical battle. Let’s dig into the betting value.

Northern Ireland vs Hungary Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Northern Ireland

    0 : 1

    Hungary

    Friendly International

  2. Northern Ireland

    1 : 1

    Hungary

    Euro Qualification

  3. Hungary

    1 : 2

    Northern Ireland

    Euro Qualification

  4. Northern Ireland

    0 : 2

    Hungary

    Friendly International

Hungary completely bosses the history here. Five wins from seven matches. Northern Ireland trails with just one lonely victory, though they always fight. It's usually tight. Frankly, that cagey 1-0 friendly loss in 2022 bored me to tears. These games average a low 1.86 goals.

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland team overview

Northern Ireland enters this one on the back of a dramatic 1-0 away victory against Georgia. The Green and White Army completely missed out on Euro 2024, but they previously won their 2024 Nations League League C group with 11 points to earn promotion.

Michael O'Neill’s men boast a formidable home form at Windsor Park, currently six wins from their last seven competitive games on home soil. Midfield anchor Shea Charles is the key man after slamming home a 99th-minute winner last time out.

Sadly, star defender Dan Ballard is completely ruled out after picking up a brutal hamstring injury during that same match.

Honestly, losing Ballard is a massive blow to our backline, and it makes me incredibly nervous about keeping a clean sheet here.

Last matches of Northern Ireland

  1. Georgia

    0 : 1

    Northern Ireland

    UEFA Nations League

  2. France

    3 : 1

    Northern Ireland

    Friendly International

  3. Northern Ireland

    1 : 0

    Guinea

    Friendly International

  4. Wales

    1 : 1

    Northern Ireland

    Friendly International

  5. Italy

    2 : 0

    Northern Ireland

    WC Qualification Europe

Northern Ireland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Pierce Charle

Defenders

  • 17

    Paddy McNair

  • 18

    Tom Atcheson

  • 22

    Ciaron Brown

  • 5

    Trai Hume

Midfielders

  • 19

    Shea Charles

  • 7

    Ethan Galbraith

  • 3

    Justin Devenny

Forwards

  • 16

    Patrick Kelly

  • 14

    Isaac Price

  • 10

    Jamie Donley

Hungary

Hungary team overview

Hungary prepares for this one on the back of a tough 1-0 home defeat against Ukraine. The Magyars suffered relegation from League A during the last Nations League cycle, following a Euro 2024 campaign where they exited in the group stage.

Marco Rossi’s men are desperate for a bounce-back result. Fortunately for them, they are carrying a solid run on the road, remaining unbeaten in their last three competitive away fixtures.

Captain Dominik Szoboszlai is the undisputed key figure. The Liverpool midfielder pulls the strings effortlessly, boasting five goal contributions across his last 6 international appearances.

However, the squad faces a massive setback as star striker Barnabás Varga was left off the roster entirely due to an injury problem. Honestly, Varga's absence leaves their frontline looking remarkably toothless, and they'll heavily rely on Szoboszlai’s individual brilliance to break through.

Last matches of Hungary

  1. Hungary

    0 : 1

    Ukraine

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Hungary

    3 : 1

    Kazakhstan

    Friendly International

  3. Hungary

    2 : 1

    Finland

    Friendly International

  4. Hungary

    0 : 0

    Greece

    Friendly International

  5. Hungary

    1 : 0

    Slovenia

    Friendly International

Hungary lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Balázs Tóth

Defenders

  • 14

    Bendegúz Bolla

  • 6

    Willi Orbán

  • 3

    Márk Csinger

  • 11

    Milos Kerkez

Midfielders

  • 13

    András Schäfer

  • 15

    Áron Csongvai

  • 8

    Milán Vitális

Forwards

  • 10

    Dominik Szoboszlai

  • 23

    Damir Redzic

  • 16

    Dániel Lukács

Prediction

This has 1-0 written all over it. Northern Ireland's defense is incredibly stubborn at Windsor Park, but losing Ballard completely guts their backline's composure. It's devastating. I honestly expect Marco Rossi to set up a tactical masterclass to exploit that exact weakness. Hungary will happily suffocate the tempo. Then, Szoboszlai produces a moment of pure magic to break the deadlock. It won't be pretty, but the Magyars grind out a narrow 1-0 away victory.

Four reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Three of the last four meetings between Northern Ireland and Hungary.
  2. Northern Ireland have just two goals in their last five competitive matches.
  3. At least one side failed to score in three of the last five games of Hungary.
  4. All the last six competitive games of Northern Ireland finished with under 2.5 goals.

Main prediction Northern Ireland - Hungary

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.57

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Northern Ireland vs Hungary standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 2 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Ukraine 1 1 0 0 1 - 0 +1 3
2 Northern Ireland 1 1 0 0 1 - 0 +1 3
3 Georgia 1 0 0 1 0 - 1 -1 0
4 Hungary 1 0 0 1 0 - 1 -1 0

Northern Ireland vs Hungary – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Monday’s Nations League encounter.

? How many corners do Hungary win on average per game on the road?

Around 4.70 per away match, which remains a strong attacking indicator for the visitors.

? What about bookings for Michael O'Neill’s side on the road?

About 1.50 yellow cards on average in their home games.