Scotland vs Slovenia prediction 06.10.2026 | UEFA Nations League
Kick off:
Date:
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1.82
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3.64
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4.85
Contents
- Competition: UEFA Nations League
- Date: Tuesday, 6th October, 2026
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: Hampden Park (Glasgow)
On Tuesday evening, two teams that have won four points from their first three games so far, Scotland and Slovenia, will face off. In their last game, Scotland secured an easy 2:0 win over North Macedonia, while Slovenia lost 2:1 to Switzerland.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
UEFA Nations League
-
Slovenia
2 : 2
Scotland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Scotland
1 : 0
Slovenia
WC Qualification Europe
-
Slovenia
1 : 1
Scotland
Friendly International
-
Slovenia
0 : 3
Scotland
WC Qualification Europe
These teams have already met in the UEFA Nations League in this cycle, in September. That time, the match ended in a goalless draw in a game where Scotland were a better team and deserved to win the match. They had 2.16 xG compared to Slovenia's 0.47, plus 65% possession and many more goalscoring chances.
Looking further back, these teams have met six times. Scotland won twice, while the remaining games ended with four draws.
When it comes to the number of goals, two out of the past six h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (2).
Scotland team overview
Scotland appeared in the previous World Cup, and although they have an interesting squad, it was clear they lack the quality to compete against teams like Brazil or Morocco. Then, in the UEFA Nations League, they continued with poor results, collecting one point in the first two games against Slovenia and Switzerland. However, they seemed to deserve more from those matches. They finally grabbed their first win in the last game, easily winning against struggling North Macedonia. Now, this game against Slovenia is crucial, as it could decide which team finishes second, assuming Switzerland finishes first.
In the previous game against North Macedonia, central defender Scott McKenna received a red card and will be suspended. With him out, Luke Graham could get the opportunity to start.
Last matches of
-
North Macedonia
0 : 2
Scotland
UEFA Nations League
-
Scotland
0 : 3
Switzerland
UEFA Nations League
-
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
UEFA Nations League
-
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
World Cup
-
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
Friendly International
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Angus Gunn
Defenders
-
18
Luke Graham
-
4
Luis Binks
-
5
Stephen Welsh
Midfielders
-
17
Ben Gannon-Doak
-
8
Billy Gilmour
-
19
Lewis Ferguson
-
7
John McGinn
-
3
Andrew Robertson
Forwards
-
9
Oli McBurnie
-
20
Kieron Bowie
Slovenia team overview
Slovenia had a bad World Cup qualifying campaign, finishing 3rd in Group B with Switzerland, Kosovo, and Sweden, while winning only four points. Even though they have solid individuals, Slovenia continued with pretty poor performances across competitions, winning only against poor North Macedonia and Montenegro. However, a positive result here could mean a lot and would pretty much change the overall view of the performances.
By far the biggest star on the team, Benjamin Sesko, is still without an appearance for the NT under the new head coach. According to credible sources, he is dealing with a shin injury and will most likely miss the Scotland game as well.
Last matches of
-
Switzerland
2 : 1
Slovenia
UEFA Nations League
-
Slovenia
2 : 0
North Macedonia
UEFA Nations League
-
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
UEFA Nations League
-
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
Friendly International
-
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
Friendly International
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Jan Oblak
Defenders
-
2
Zan Karnicnik
-
17
David Zec
-
21
Vanja Drkusic
-
6
Jaka Bijol
-
13
Erik Janza
Midfielders
-
20
Aljosa Matko
-
4
Mark Zabukovnik
-
8
Sandi Lovrić
-
15
Danijel Sturm
Forwards
-
18
Zan Vipotnik
Prediction
Scotland went under 2.5 goals in two of their three UEFA Nations League matches. They have problems with efficiency, scoring just two goals against North Macedonia in their last five games across competitions. Therefore, we believe they will not have an easy task of scoring against Slovenia, which often plays with five at the back.
Slovenia also went twice under 2.5 goals in three UEFA Nations League games. Like Scotland, they haven't been too great offensively. In the past 12 games across competitions, they scored one or zero goals in ten games - 83%.
Moreover, the first h2h game around ten days ago finished as a goalless draw. Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- Both teams went under 2.5 goals in two of their three games in the competition
- The first h2h game ended as a goalless draw
- Scotland scored two and Slovenia three goals in their three Nations League games
Main prediction -
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
22bet
1.66
vs standings in UEFA Nations League
| Group 1 | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 - 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 - 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 - 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 - 7 | -7 | 0 |