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Romania vs Sweden prediction 05.10.2026 | UEFA Nations League

Romania

Romania

Kick off:

Date:

Sweden

Sweden

1

4.38

X

4.10

2

1.79

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League
  • Date: Monday, 5th October, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Arena Nationala (Bucharest)

After a massive 6:0 loss to Poland, Romania will try to grab their first points in the UEFA Nations League B against Sweden, which has collected seven points thus far and is sitting at the top of Group 4. This will be the second h2h game between these teams in only about ten days.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.

Romania vs Sweden Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Sweden

    2 : 1

    Romania

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Romania

    0 : 2

    Sweden

    Euro Qualification

  3. Sweden

    2 : 1

    Romania

    Euro Qualification

  4. Romania

    1 : 0

    Sweden

    Friendly International

In the previous h2h game, around ten days ago, Sweden won 2:1 at home at Strawberry Arena. Looking further back, these teams met nine times. Romania won three and Sweden four times. However, in the previous period, Sweden won the past three games.

When it comes to the number of goals, only three out of nine h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored on four occasions. 

Romania

Romania team overview

Romania had an amazing UEFA Nations League C, easily securing promotion after six points in six games. Based on those displays, they looked like they belonged in a higher league. However, they haven't been as good in the World Cup Qualifiers. And that was followed by a poor start in the UEFA Nations League B. They've lost all three games so far and look like they could take a trip back to League C. This is pretty much a must-win game for them. 

Romania will have a major problem in their back line against Sweden, as Radu Dragusin received a red card in the previous match. Moreover, another central defender, Virgil Ghita, received his second yellow card in the previous game and will be suspended as well. 

Last matches of Romania

  1. Poland

    6 : 0

    Romania

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Romania

    2 : 4

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Sweden

    2 : 1

    Romania

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Romania

    2 : 1

    Wales

    Friendly International

  5. Georgia

    1 : 1

    Romania

    Friendly International

Romania lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Otto Hindrich

Defenders

  • 2

    Andrei Rațiu

  • 4

    Andrei Coubiș

  • 22

    Bogdan Racovițan

  • 11

    Nicușor Bancu

Midfielders

  • 13

    Valentin Mihăilă

  • 17

    Tudor Băluță

  • 14

    Ianis Hagi

  • 18

    Răzvan Marin

Forwards

  • 20

    Dennis Man

  • 9

    Daniel Bîrligea

Sweden

Sweden team overview

Sweden participated in the previous World Cup and managed to come out of the Group. However, the overall performance wasn't great, as many pundits expected more from a team with such strong individuals who play in top Premier League clubs. However, in the UEFA Nations League B, they started well, winning seven points in the first three games, and are at the top of the Group. 

Still, due to injuries, the team will be without Alexandar Isak and Anthony Elanga, who are out with their injuries. Additionally, Carl Starfelt suffered an injury in the previous game against Bosnia and Herzegovina and had to leave the field after 31 minutes. He will most likely miss the upcoming game as well. 

Last matches of Sweden

  1. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    1 : 1

    Sweden

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Sweden

    3 : 1

    Poland

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Sweden

    2 : 1

    Romania

    UEFA Nations League

  4. France

    3 : 0

    Sweden

    World Cup

  5. Netherlands

    5 : 1

    Sweden

    World Cup

Sweden lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Viktor Johansson

Defenders

  • 14

    Hampus Skoglund

  • 3

    Victor Lindelöf

  • 4

    Eric Smith

  • 5

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Midfielders

  • 21

    Alexander Bernhardsson

  • 16

    Jesper Karlström

  • 20

    Hugo Larsson

  • 19

    Sebastian Nanasi

Forwards

  • 22

    Besfort Zeneli

  • 17

    Viktor Gyökeres

Prediction

Romania lost their first three games, conceding 12 goals. Looking further back, their only win in the past seven games was against Wales, while they also lost five of those matches. Their defense looked atrocious and will now have additional problems with Dragusin and Ghita out with suspensions. 

Sweden, meanwhile, won seven points in their first three games and probably deserved to win all three. They drew with Bosnia and Herzegovina in the previous game, but we believe they deserved all three points. 

Moreover, in the previous h2h game, Sweden won 2:1. The Swedes also won two h2h games before the last as well. Considering all the above, we believe Sweden is much closer to winning the upcoming UEFA Nations League tie.

4 Reasons why Sweden should win

  1. Romania missed all three games in the competition
  2. Romania allowed 12 goals in the first three games
  3. Sweden collected seven points from the first three games
  4. Sweden won the previous three h2h games

Main prediction Romania - Sweden

Sweden to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.79

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Romania vs Sweden standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 4 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Sweden 3 2 1 0 6 - 3 +3 7
2 Bosnia and Herzegovina 3 1 2 0 5 - 3 +2 5
3 Poland 3 1 1 1 7 - 3 +4 4
4 Romania 3 0 0 3 3 - 12 -9 0

Romania vs Sweden – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Romania in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Romania in the UEFA Nations League this season is 0.66.

? How much is the average xG for Sweden in the UEFA Nations League?

The average xG for Sweden in the UEFA Nations League this season is 1.3.