Greece vs Germany prediction 04.10.2026 | UEFA Nations League
Greece
Kick off:
Date:
Germany
1
4.10
X
3.80
2
1.83
Contents
- Competition: UEFA Nations League
- Date: Sunday, 4th October, 2026
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
- Venue: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)
After a surprisingly strong start for Greece, with seven points in the first three games, the Greeks will welcome Germany, which secured four points from three games. This will be the second h2h game between these teams after they met in Germany about a week ago, with Greece winning 1:0.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.
Greece vs Germany Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
UEFA Nations League
-
Germany
2 : 1
Greece
Friendly International
-
Germany
4 : 2
Greece
European Championship
In the previous H2H game in Germany, around a week ago, Greece pulled off a big shock, winning 1:0. Germany had 76% ball possession and 1.27 xG, compared to Greece's 0.72 xG. Still, Greece proved once again that they do not need too many chances to secure a positive result. Looking further back, Germany won four of the past five h2h games, and Greece won once.
When it comes to the number of goals, three out of five h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (3).
Greece team overview
Greece have had a pretty bad World Cup qualifying campaign, followed by an even worse four friendlies where they really struggled. However, it was obvious they have great individuals, with many calling this team the best ever. And indeed, something finally clicked, and the Greeks started securing positive results. After beating Serbia and Germany, they were close to winning their third match in the UEFA Nations League against the Netherlands. They had a 2:0 lead but eventually allowed two goals and won "only" one point.
In the previous game against the Netherlands, Christos Tzolis suffered an injury and had to leave the field after only 18 minutes. The Arsenal winger will miss the upcoming game against Germany, and Georgios Masouras will likely get the opportunity to start, especially after scoring against the Netherlands.
Last matches of Greece
-
Greece
2 : 2
Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
-
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
UEFA Nations League
-
Serbia
1 : 2
Greece
UEFA Nations League
-
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Friendly International
-
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
Friendly International
Greece lineup
Goalkeeper
-
12
Konstantinos Tzolakis
Defenders
-
17
Manolis Saliakas
-
5
Panagiotis Retsos
-
4
Konstantinos Mavropanos
-
21
Konstantinos Tsimikas
Midfielders
-
19
Konstantinos Karetsas
-
15
Athanasios Androutsos
-
6
Dimitrios Kourbelis
-
7
Georgios Masouras
Forwards
-
8
Fotis Ioannidis
-
14
Vangelis Pavlidis
Germany team overview
Germany's era under Jurgen Klopp started poorly with one point in the first two UEFA Nations League matches against the Netherlands and Greece. However, they looked very good in their last game against Serbia, and it seems they are getting better and better. Germany won 2:0 but the stats were simply amazing: 3.81 xG compared to Serbia's 0.01, 74% ball possession, and an incredible 32 shots compared to Serbia's 1!
After a win over Serbia, coach Klopp spoke to the media. He was very happy with the win, saying he liked "the beginning, the middle, and the end". The coach was delighted with the performance, saying this is how he wants this team to play.
Last matches of Germany
-
Germany
2 : 0
Serbia
UEFA Nations League
-
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
UEFA Nations League
-
Netherlands
1 : 1
Germany
UEFA Nations League
-
Germany
3 : 4
Paraguay
World Cup
-
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
World Cup
Germany lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Jonas Urbig
Defenders
-
13
Philipp Treu
-
2
Malick Thiaw
-
3
Waldemar Anton
-
18
Maximilian Mittelstädt
Midfielders
-
8
Tom Bischof
-
17
Florian Wirtz
-
5
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Forwards
-
20
Serge Gnabry
-
11
Nick Woltemade
-
9
Derry Scherhant
Prediction
Greece scored in all three games against Serbia, Greece, and the Netherlands, scoring a total of five goals. They have proven they are a super dangerous team in transition or when they succeed in taking the ball from the opposing team in the final third. They have been lethal from those situations, and we firmly believe they will have some chances against Germany.
On the other hand, Germany scored a goal in two of three games, only failing to score against Greece. Still, they created more than enough chances and deserved to score. Also, after Germany's last performance against Serbia, we are convinced that they must score at least once.
Considering all the above, the both teams to score bet should be the safest option for this UEFA Nations League tie.
3 Reasons why both teams should score
- Greece scored in all three UEFA Nations League games
- Germany scored in two of their three games in the competition
- Germany averaged 2.17 xG in the first three games
Main prediction Greece - Germany
Both Teams to Score
Best Odds:
22bet
1.59
Greece vs Germany standings in UEFA Nations League
| Group 2 | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greece | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 - 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 - 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 - 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 - 6 | -4 | 0 |