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Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction 10.10.2026 | LaLiga

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Kick off:

Date:

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

1.40

X

5.85

2

7.70

  • Competition: LaLiga
  • Date: 10th October, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Bernabéu

Real Madrid return to Bernabéu in the Spanish top-flight following nearly a four-week break. Jose Mourinho’s side take on Villarreal in an attempt to bridge the gap with the league leaders Barcelona, while Villarreal will be eager to prolong their winning streak in La Liga.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Villarreal

    0 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Real Madrid

    3 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  3. Villarreal

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Real Madrid

    2 : 0

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  5. Villarreal

    4 : 4

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  6. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

Real Madrid have historically dominated this fixture. The recent record is particularly favourable to Los Blancos: Madrid won both league meetings last season, including a 2-0 away victory in January and a 3-1 home success in October 2025.

Villarreal's most recent victory at the Bernabéu came in April 2023, when they produced a 3-2 comeback win. However, Real Madrid have subsequently won their last three home meetings with the Yellow Submarine.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team overview

Mourinho's men have made a strong attacking start to the campaign, scoring 18 goals in seven league games - an average of 2.6 goals per match. They have also won all three of their home league fixtures, defeating Real Sociedad, Málaga and Rayo Vallecano, collecting nine points and scoring freely at the Bernabéu.

However, Madrid enter this fixture after a 2-1 defeat away to Atlético Madrid, their second league loss of the campaign. They are also dealing with defensive absences. Dean Huijsen is suspended after picking up a red card in the Madrid derby, while Raúl Asencio recently underwent surgery for a stress fracture in his right shin and is expected to be unavailable for several months.

There is better news regarding Ibrahima Konaté, who has returned to full training and is expected to be available despite his recent knee problem. Eder Militão has also resumed training, although his return to competitive action is expected to be more gradual.

Kylian Mbappé is another important fitness consideration. The Frenchman suffered a minor knee injury during the international break but has returned to Madrid and resumed individual training. He remains expected to recover in time for Villarreal.

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Elche

    2 : 3

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  4. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Champions League

  5. Real Betis

    1 : 0

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Thibaut Courtois

Defenders

  • 24

    Denzel Dumfries

  • 22

    Antonio Rüdiger

  • 6

    Eduardo Camavinga

  • 17

    Marc Cucurella

Midfielders

  • 14

    Aurélien Tchouaméni

  • 20

    Bernardo Silva

  • 5

    Jude Bellingham

Forwards

  • 7

    Vinícius Júnior

  • 15

    Arda Güler

  • 19

    Carlos Espí

Villarreal

Villarreal team overview

Villarreal have recovered from a difficult start, winning their last two league matches against Málaga and Levante by identical 3-1 scorelines. Those victories followed three consecutive defeats, meaning Iñigo Pérez's team have now collected six points from their last two matches.

Villarreal should also welcome back several players. Juan Foyth is training normally, while Santi Comesaña has returned to group training following an ankle injury. Tajon Buchanan, however, returned from international duty with hamstring discomfort and is a doubt.

Last matches of Villarreal

  1. Villarreal

    3 : 1

    Levante

    La Liga

  2. Malaga

    1 : 3

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  3. Villarreal

    1 : 2

    Real Betis

    La Liga

  4. Borussia Dortmund

    3 : 2

    Villarreal

    Champions League

  5. Villarreal

    2 : 3

    Deportivo A Coruña

    La Liga

Villarreal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Péter Gulácsi

Defenders

  • 3

    Alexander Freeman

  • 6

    Pau Navarro

  • 12

    Renato Veiga

  • 23

    Sergi Cardona

Midfielders

  • 24

    Nathan-Dylan Saliba

  • 18

    Pape Gueye

  • 7

    Gerard Moreno

  • 19

    Nicolas Pépé

Forwards

  • 22

    Ayoze Pérez

  • 10

    Alberto Moleiro

Prediction

Madrid should have enough attacking quality to secure a fourth consecutive home league victory, while Villarreal's recent scoring form makes Both Teams to Score a realistic secondary selection. Still, Madrid’s relentless attacking dominance at the Bernabéu could see them flourish and potentially secure a victory by more than a single goal.

Prediction: Real Madrid Asian Handicap (-1.5).

Three reasons we expect Real Madrid Asian Handicap (-1.5)

  1. All three of Madrid’s home victories in La Liga have come by at least a three-goal margin. 
  2. Villarreal’s only away win this season came against bottom-of-the-table Málaga. 
  3. Madrid’s last three home wins against Villarreal have all been by more than a single goal.

Main prediction Real Madrid - Villarreal

AH1 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.97

Bet here

Real Madrid vs Villarreal standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31 - 7 +24 21
2 Atlético de Madrid 7 5 1 1 16 - 7 +9 16
3 Real Betis 7 5 1 1 9 - 7 +2 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18 - 8 +10 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10 - 9 +1 13
6 Deportivo Alavés 7 3 2 2 11 - 6 +5 11
7 Deportivo A Coruña 7 2 4 1 10 - 8 +2 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9 - 13 -4 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13 - 12 +1 8
10 Athletic Club 6 2 2 2 7 - 6 +1 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4 - 7 -3 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11 - 16 -5 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6 - 13 -7 8
14 Celta de Vigo 7 1 4 2 8 - 6 +2 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10 - 10 0 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11 - 21 -10 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8 - 12 -4 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11 - 17 -6 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4 - 13 -9 4
20 Málaga 7 0 3 4 3 - 12 -9 3

Real Madrid vs Villarreal – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Real Madrid take on Villarreal on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Real Madrid have won in the LaLiga 2026/27?

6.9

? What is the average number of corners Villarreal have won in the LaLiga 2026/27?

7.3