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Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction 05.11.2025 | Champions League

Qarabag FK

Qarabag FK

Kick off:

Date:

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

8.50

X

5.30

2

1.34

  • Competition: Champions League
  • Date: Wednesday, 5th november, 2025
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

On Wednesday evening, Azerbaijani champs, Qarabag, will welcome Chelsea in the fourth round of the Champions League at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku. Both teams have started the competition very well, winning six points in the first three rounds, and are in 13th and 11th spots. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Champions League tie.

Qarabag FK vs Chelsea Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Qarabag FK

    0 : 4

    Chelsea

    Champions League

  2. Chelsea

    6 : 0

    Qarabag FK

    Champions League

The only two matches these teams played against each other were in 2017, in the Champions League Group phase. The Blues absolutely dominated the matches, winning 6:0 at home and 4:0 away from home.

Qarabag FK

Qarabag team overview

Qarabag have been absolutely dominant in Azerbaijan, winning the last four and 11 out of the last 12 league titles. However, in the Champions League, they haven't had much success as they struggled to even secure the main (League) phase, let alone the knockout phase. This year, the Blue and Whites opened the competition really well, beating Benfica and FC Copenhagen and losing to Athletic Bilbao. When it comes to the domestic league, Qarabag are doing well as well, as they are in second place with 20 points from nine matches. Right now, they are one point away from the first-placed Turan Tovuz, but with fewer games played. 

After a 2:0 win over Imisli FK, coach Qurban Qurbanov spoke to the media. He said it was not an easy win by any means. The coach also said it was hard to motivate players because the pitch was very rough, and questioned whether it would be better against Chelsea. 

Last matches of Qarabag FK

  1. Qarabag FK

    2 : 0

    Mil-Muğan

    Premier League

  2. Qarabag FK

    0 : 0

    Keshla

    Premier League

  3. Athletic Bilbao

    3 : 1

    Qarabag FK

    Champions League

  4. Turan

    1 : 2

    Qarabag FK

    Premier League

  5. Qarabag FK

    1 : 0

    Kapaz

    Premier League

Qarabag FK lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Mateusz Kochalski

Defenders

  • 2

    Matheus Silva

  • 81

    Kevin Medina

  • 13

    Bahlul Mustafazada

  • 44

    Elvin Cafarquliyev

Midfielders

  • 35

    Pedro Bicalho

  • 15

    Leandro Andrade

  • 20

    Kady Borges

Forwards

  • 17

    Camilo Durán

  • 7

    Nariman Akhundzada

  • 10

    Abdellah Zoubir

Chelsea

Chelsea team overview

Chelsea had a disastrous 2022/23 season when they finished 12th, but are slowly recovering. Last year, they finished fourth in the Premier League and secured the Conference League as well. This year, after some ups and downs, the Blues are playing well as they have managed to win six out of the last seven games across the competitions. In the PL, they are in sixth place with 17 points - one point away from the Champions League spots.

The players who missed the previous game(s) will remain sidelined - Levi Colwill, Benoit Badiashile, Dario Essugo, Cole Palmer, while Mykhailo Mudryk will remain sidelined due to a doping ban. On the positive note, Joao Pedro served his one-game suspension in the previous CL game against Ajax and will be available. 

Last matches of Chelsea

  1. Tottenham Hotspur

    0 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  2. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    3 : 4

    Chelsea

    Carabao Cup

  3. Chelsea

    1 : 2

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  4. Chelsea

    5 : 1

    Ajax

    Champions League

  5. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 3

    Chelsea

    Premier League

Chelsea lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Robert Sánchez

Defenders

  • 27

    Malo Gusto

  • 29

    Wesley Fofana

  • 23

    Trevoh Chalobah

  • 3

    Marc Cucurella

Midfielders

  • 24

    Reece James

  • 8

    Enzo Fernández

  • 25

    Moisés Caicedo

Forwards

  • 7

    Pedro Neto

  • 20

    João Pedro

  • 49

    Alejandro Garnacho

Prediction

Qarabag have been in a mini-bad form, as they lost 3:1 vs Athletic Bilbao and then drew 0:0 with Shamkhi before finally winning vs Imisli FK 2:0 in the last game. Last year, they were a team that really struggled in the Europa League, losing seven out of eight games - 87.5%. Four of those seven games were by two or more goals. 

Chelsea are in excellent form, having won six out of the last seven games while beating some great teams like Tottenham, Ajax, and Liverpool. All of those teams should be much better than Qarabag.

Considering the results in the previous h2h games and all the above, we firmly believe the Blues will dominate the game and win by two or more goals difference in this Champions League tie.

3 Reasons why Chelsea should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

  1. Qarabag won four points in the last three games
  2. Chelsea won six out of the last seven games across the competitions
  3. Chelsea won the previous two h2h games 4:0 and 6:0

Main prediction Qarabag FK - Chelsea

AH2 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

20Bet

1.95

Bet here

Additional predictions

Qarabag FK vs Chelsea odds

Qarabag FK vs Chelsea standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 3 3 0 0 13 - 3 +10 9
2 FC Bayern München 3 3 0 0 12 - 2 +10 9
3 Inter 3 3 0 0 9 - 0 +9 9
4 Arsenal 3 3 0 0 8 - 0 +8 9
5 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 8 - 1 +7 9
6 Borussia Dortmund 3 2 1 0 12 - 7 +5 7
7 Manchester City 3 2 1 0 6 - 2 +4 7
8 Newcastle United 3 2 0 1 8 - 2 +6 6
9 FC Barcelona 3 2 0 1 9 - 4 +5 6
10 Liverpool 3 2 0 1 8 - 4 +4 6
11 Sporting CP 3 2 0 1 7 - 4 +3 6
12 Chelsea 3 2 0 1 7 - 4 +3 6
13 Qarabağ 3 2 0 1 6 - 5 +1 6
14 Galatasaray 3 2 0 1 5 - 6 -1 6
15 Tottenham Hotspur 3 1 2 0 3 - 2 +1 5
16 PSV 3 1 1 1 8 - 6 +2 4
17 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 2 - 5 -3 4
18 Olympique Marseille 3 1 0 2 6 - 4 +2 3
19 Atlético Madrid 3 1 0 2 7 - 8 -1 3
20 Club Brugge 3 1 0 2 5 - 7 -2 3
21 Athletic Club 3 1 0 2 4 - 7 -3 3
22 Eintracht Frankfurt 3 1 0 2 7 - 11 -4 3
23 Napoli 3 1 0 2 4 - 9 -5 3
24 Union Saint-Gilloise 3 1 0 2 3 - 9 -6 3
25 Juventus 3 0 2 1 6 - 7 -1 2
26 Bodø / Glimt 3 0 2 1 5 - 7 -2 2
27 Monaco 3 0 2 1 3 - 6 -3 2
28 Slavia Praha 3 0 2 1 2 - 5 -3 2
29 Pafos FC 3 0 2 1 1 - 5 -4 2
30 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 0 2 1 5 - 10 -5 2
31 Villarreal 3 0 1 2 2 - 5 -3 1
32 FC København 3 0 1 2 4 - 8 -4 1
33 Olympiacos F.C. 3 0 1 2 1 - 8 -7 1
34 Kairat 3 0 1 2 1 - 9 -8 1
35 Benfica 3 0 0 3 2 - 7 -5 0
36 Ajax 3 0 0 3 1 - 11 -10 0

Qarabag vs Chelsea – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel. 

? Who could be the goalscorer for Qarabag?

Abdellah Zoubir, who scored five goals in 17 appearances this season.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Chelsea?

João Pedro, who scored six goals in 15 appearances this season.