Contents
- Competition: Champions League
 - Date: Wednesday, 5th november, 2025
 - Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
 - Venue: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)
 
On Wednesday evening, Azerbaijani champs, Qarabag, will welcome Chelsea in the fourth round of the Champions League at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku. Both teams have started the competition very well, winning six points in the first three rounds, and are in 13th and 11th spots.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Champions League tie.
Qarabag FK vs Chelsea Head to Head (H2H) stats
- 
				
Qarabag FK
0 : 4
Chelsea
Champions League
 - 
				
Chelsea
6 : 0
Qarabag FK
Champions League
 
The only two matches these teams played against each other were in 2017, in the Champions League Group phase. The Blues absolutely dominated the matches, winning 6:0 at home and 4:0 away from home.
		
			
		
	
Qarabag team overview
Qarabag have been absolutely dominant in Azerbaijan, winning the last four and 11 out of the last 12 league titles. However, in the Champions League, they haven't had much success as they struggled to even secure the main (League) phase, let alone the knockout phase. This year, the Blue and Whites opened the competition really well, beating Benfica and FC Copenhagen and losing to Athletic Bilbao. When it comes to the domestic league, Qarabag are doing well as well, as they are in second place with 20 points from nine matches. Right now, they are one point away from the first-placed Turan Tovuz, but with fewer games played.
After a 2:0 win over Imisli FK, coach Qurban Qurbanov spoke to the media. He said it was not an easy win by any means. The coach also said it was hard to motivate players because the pitch was very rough, and questioned whether it would be better against Chelsea.
Last matches of Qarabag FK
- 
				
Qarabag FK
2 : 0
Mil-Muğan
Premier League
 - 
				
Qarabag FK
0 : 0
Keshla
Premier League
 - 
				
Athletic Bilbao
3 : 1
Qarabag FK
Champions League
 - 
				
Turan
1 : 2
Qarabag FK
Premier League
 - 
				
Qarabag FK
1 : 0
Kapaz
Premier League
 
Qarabag FK lineup
Goalkeeper
- 
								
99
Mateusz Kochalski
 
Defenders
- 
								
2
Matheus Silva
 - 
								
81
Kevin Medina
 - 
								
13
Bahlul Mustafazada
 - 
								
44
Elvin Cafarquliyev
 
Midfielders
- 
								
35
Pedro Bicalho
 - 
								
15
Leandro Andrade
 - 
								
20
Kady Borges
 
Forwards
- 
								
17
Camilo Durán
 - 
								
7
Nariman Akhundzada
 - 
								
10
Abdellah Zoubir
 
		
			
		
	
Chelsea team overview
Chelsea had a disastrous 2022/23 season when they finished 12th, but are slowly recovering. Last year, they finished fourth in the Premier League and secured the Conference League as well. This year, after some ups and downs, the Blues are playing well as they have managed to win six out of the last seven games across the competitions. In the PL, they are in sixth place with 17 points - one point away from the Champions League spots.
The players who missed the previous game(s) will remain sidelined - Levi Colwill, Benoit Badiashile, Dario Essugo, Cole Palmer, while Mykhailo Mudryk will remain sidelined due to a doping ban. On the positive note, Joao Pedro served his one-game suspension in the previous CL game against Ajax and will be available.
Last matches of Chelsea
- 
				
Tottenham Hotspur
0 : 1
Chelsea
Premier League
 - 
				
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 : 4
Chelsea
Carabao Cup
 - 
				
Chelsea
1 : 2
Sunderland
Premier League
 - 
				
Chelsea
5 : 1
Ajax
Champions League
 - 
				
Nottingham Forest
0 : 3
Chelsea
Premier League
 
Chelsea lineup
Goalkeeper
- 
								
1
Robert Sánchez
 
Defenders
- 
								
27
Malo Gusto
 - 
								
29
Wesley Fofana
 - 
								
23
Trevoh Chalobah
 - 
								
3
Marc Cucurella
 
Midfielders
- 
								
24
Reece James
 - 
								
8
Enzo Fernández
 - 
								
25
Moisés Caicedo
 
Forwards
- 
								
7
Pedro Neto
 - 
								
20
João Pedro
 - 
								
49
Alejandro Garnacho
 
Prediction
Qarabag have been in a mini-bad form, as they lost 3:1 vs Athletic Bilbao and then drew 0:0 with Shamkhi before finally winning vs Imisli FK 2:0 in the last game. Last year, they were a team that really struggled in the Europa League, losing seven out of eight games - 87.5%. Four of those seven games were by two or more goals.
Chelsea are in excellent form, having won six out of the last seven games while beating some great teams like Tottenham, Ajax, and Liverpool. All of those teams should be much better than Qarabag.
Considering the results in the previous h2h games and all the above, we firmly believe the Blues will dominate the game and win by two or more goals difference in this Champions League tie.
3 Reasons why Chelsea should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread
- Qarabag won four points in the last three games
 - Chelsea won six out of the last seven games across the competitions
 - Chelsea won the previous two h2h games 4:0 and 6:0
 
Main prediction Qarabag FK - Chelsea
AH2 (-1.5)
Best Odds:
Qarabag FK vs Chelsea standings in Champions League
| League Stage | P | W | D | L | 
							 
								
								G - A
								
							 
						 | 
						GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 - 3 | +10 | 9 | 
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 - 2 | +10 | 9 | 
| 3 | Inter | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 - 0 | +9 | 9 | 
| 4 | Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 - 0 | +8 | 9 | 
| 5 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 - 1 | +7 | 9 | 
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 - 7 | +5 | 7 | 
| 7 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 - 2 | +4 | 7 | 
| 8 | Newcastle United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 - 2 | +6 | 6 | 
| 9 | FC Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 - 4 | +5 | 6 | 
| 10 | Liverpool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 - 4 | +4 | 6 | 
| 11 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 - 4 | +3 | 6 | 
| 12 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 - 4 | +3 | 6 | 
| 13 | Qarabağ | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 - 5 | +1 | 6 | 
| 14 | Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 - 6 | -1 | 6 | 
| 15 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 - 2 | +1 | 5 | 
| 16 | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 - 6 | +2 | 4 | 
| 17 | Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 - 5 | -3 | 4 | 
| 18 | Olympique Marseille | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 - 4 | +2 | 3 | 
| 19 | Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 - 8 | -1 | 3 | 
| 20 | Club Brugge | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 - 7 | -2 | 3 | 
| 21 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 - 7 | -3 | 3 | 
| 22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 - 11 | -4 | 3 | 
| 23 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 - 9 | -5 | 3 | 
| 24 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 - 9 | -6 | 3 | 
| 25 | Juventus | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 - 7 | -1 | 2 | 
| 26 | Bodø / Glimt | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 - 7 | -2 | 2 | 
| 27 | Monaco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 - 6 | -3 | 2 | 
| 28 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 - 5 | -3 | 2 | 
| 29 | Pafos FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 - 5 | -4 | 2 | 
| 30 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 - 10 | -5 | 2 | 
| 31 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 - 5 | -3 | 1 | 
| 32 | FC København | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 - 8 | -4 | 1 | 
| 33 | Olympiacos F.C. | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 - 8 | -7 | 1 | 
| 34 | Kairat | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 - 9 | -8 | 1 | 
| 35 | Benfica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 - 7 | -5 | 0 | 
| 36 | Ajax | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 - 11 | -10 | 0 |