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Paris FC vs Lyon prediction 12.09.2026 | Ligue 1

Paris FC

Paris FC

Kick off:

Date:

Lyon

Lyon

1

2.72

X

3.74

2

2.62

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Saturday, 12th September, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Two Ligue 1 sides that started the domestic season strongly, Paris FC and Lyon, will face off against each other in the fourth round. Both teams have a 2-1-0 WDL record and the same goal difference of 6:2. While Lyon is expected to have a better season, the bookies expect a close match at Stade Jean Bouin, with Lyon only a slight favorite. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.

Paris FC vs Lyon Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lyon

    1 : 1

    Paris FC

    Ligue 1

  2. Paris FC

    3 : 3

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

Last season, these teams met twice, with both games ending in draws - 1:1 in Lyon and 3:3 in Paris. Both games were super interesting and were very close. Those two games are also the only head-to-head games in the 21st century. In total, we saw eight h2h games, with Paris FC winning twice and Lyon winning three times. 

Regarding the number of goals, five out of eight head-to-head games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (six).

Paris FC

Paris FC team overview

Paris FC came into this season after an excellent one last season. They finished 11th despite being a newly promoted team. Despite a coaching change during the summer, Paris FC seems not to have lost a step. In fact, they are looking better than ever under Liam Rosenior as they won seven points in the first three games. 

The last win, 3:2, was particularly impressive given the fact that it came against Marseille on the road! After the match, coach Liam Rosenior spoke to the media. He was satisfied but also downplayed the significance of the result. He praised his forward, Lassine Sinayoko, who recorded a hat-trick. However, the coach urged the players to stay humble, keep working hard, and focus on the next game. 

When it comes to injuries, they shouldn't have any new ones, but Nhoa Sangui, Otavio, and Jonathan Ikone should remain sidelined. 

Last matches of Paris FC

  1. Marseille

    2 : 3

    Paris FC

    Ligue 1

  2. Paris FC

    3 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  3. Troyes

    0 : 0

    Paris FC

    Ligue 1

  4. Angers

    3 : 2

    Paris FC

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. FSV Mainz

    4 : 0

    Paris FC

    Club Friendlies 3

Paris FC lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 35

    Kevin Trapp

Defenders

  • 14

    Hamari Traoré

  • 31

    Samir Chergui

  • 42

    Diego Coppola

  • 17

    Adama Camara

Midfielders

  • 21

    Maxime Lopez

  • 33

    Pierre Lees-Melou

  • 15

    Luca Koleosho

Forwards

  • 10

    Ilan Kebbal

  • 9

    Lassine Sinayoko

  • 7

    Pablo Pagis

Lyon

Lyon team overview

Lyon overcame the financial problems they had last summer and had a pretty good season, finishing 4th. Les Gones had a chance to secure 3rd place and a spot in the Champions League main phase. Unfortunately, they lost the last two games and were pushed to the Qualifiers. Unfortunately for them, they failed to secure the main phase, as Fenerbahce eliminated them in the Playoff, and Les Gones will have to play in the Europa League this season. 

However, in Ligue 1, they did very well, winning seven points in the first three games. After a 3:1 win over Auxerre in the last game, coach Paulo Fonseca spoke to the media. He was happy with the overall performance, but also said they need to be a lot more clinical. The coach felt they could have scored five or six, or even more, goals but weren't focused enough. 

For the upcoming game, the team should be without injured Julien Duranville. Meanwhile, Keito Nakamura is questionable as he joined recently and appears to have a fitness issue after playing in the World Cup. 

Last matches of Lyon

  1. Lyon

    3 : 1

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  2. Lyon

    1 : 1

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  3. Lyon

    1 : 2

    Fenerbahce

    Champions League

  4. Toulouse

    0 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  5. Fenerbahce

    1 : 1

    Lyon

    Champions League

Lyon lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dominik Greif

Defenders

  • 13

    Zachary Athekame

  • 20

    Felix Bacher

  • 19

    Moussa Niakhaté

  • 16

    Abner

Midfielders

  • 8

    Corentin Tolisso

  • 23

    Tyler Morton

  • 10

    Pavel Sulc

  • 2

    Mads Bidstrup

Forwards

  • 7

    Ernest Nuamah

  • 17

    Loïs Openda

Prediction

Paris FC just scored six goals in the last two games against Marseille and Nice. Looking at their matches, we can safely say those good games aren't a fluke, considering they are creating so many good chances. In the first three games, they had a total of 7.5xG. An incredible 2.5 xG per game! Only Lens and Brest have higher xG thus far.

Meanwhile, Lyon went over 2.5 goals in four out of seven games. They just had a really offensive performance against Auxerre, scoring three goals. Therefore, it is fair to expect both teams to continue with their good offensive displays. 

Moreover, the last h2h game at Stade Jean Bouin ended in a 3:3 draw. Considering all the above, an over 2.5 goals bet seems like the best possible option for this Ligue 1 tie.

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Paris FC went over 2.5 goals in two out of three games
  2. Paris FC have had 2.5 xG per game thus far
  3. Lyon went over 2.5 goals in two of the past three games

Main prediction Paris FC - Lyon

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.74

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Paris FC vs Lyon standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Monaco 3 3 0 0 5 - 1 +4 9
2 Olympique Lyonnais 3 2 1 0 6 - 2 +4 7
3 Paris 3 2 1 0 6 - 2 +4 7
4 LOSC Lille 3 2 1 0 5 - 2 +3 7
5 Rennes 3 2 1 0 7 - 5 +2 7
6 Strasbourg 3 2 0 1 8 - 7 +1 6
7 Brest 3 1 2 0 6 - 5 +1 5
8 Lorient 3 1 1 1 2 - 2 0 4
9 Troyes 3 1 1 1 4 - 7 -3 4
10 Lens 3 1 0 2 6 - 5 +1 3
11 Olympique Marseille 3 1 0 2 6 - 5 +1 3
12 Angers SCO 3 1 0 2 4 - 5 -1 3
13 Paris Saint Germain 3 0 2 1 5 - 6 -1 2
14 Le Mans 3 0 2 1 5 - 6 -1 2
15 Nice 3 0 2 1 1 - 4 -3 2
16 Le Havre 3 0 1 2 2 - 4 -2 1
17 Toulouse 3 0 1 2 2 - 5 -3 1
18 Auxerre 3 0 0 3 4 - 11 -7 0

Paris FC vs Lyon – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Paris FC this season?

The average xG for Paris FC in Ligue 1 this season is 2.5.

? How much is the average xG for Lyon this season?

The average xG for Lyon in Ligue 1 this season is 1.77.