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Montenegro vs Armenia prediction 05.10.2026 | Nations League

Montenegro

Montenegro

Kick off:

Date:

Armenia

Armenia

1

1.60

X

4.34

2

5.71

  • Competition: Nations League
  • Date: 5th October 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Podgorica City Stadium

A grudge match is brewing. Just days after a five-goal thriller in Yerevan, Montenegro and Armenia square off again with top spot in the group on the line. I am still catching my breath after that 3-2 comeback. It was wild. History says these two refuse to play boring football, splits perfectly down the middle with two wins apiece. Montenegro holds the momentum now, but Armenia is notoriously stubborn on the road. Let’s hunt some value.

Montenegro vs Armenia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Armenia

    2 : 3

    Montenegro

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Montenegro

    2 : 2

    Armenia

    Friendly International

  3. Armenia

    1 : 0

    Montenegro

    Friendly International

  4. Montenegro

    4 : 1

    Armenia

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Armenia

    3 : 2

    Montenegro

    WC Qualification Europe

Montenegro and Armenia share a perfectly deadlocked history, splitting their five meetings with two wins each and a draw. Expect goals when they clash. Their explosive rivalry averages exactly four goals per match, highlighted by Montenegro's frantic 3-2 victory just days ago.

Montenegro

Montenegro team overview

Montenegro enters this one on the back of a three-game winning run in the UEFA Nations League. The Brave Falcons are absolutely flying at the top of League C Group 2 after beating Cyprus 2-1 and outlasting Armenia 3-2.

Mirko Vučinić’s men also just grounded Latvia 2-1 on Friday. It is a massive turnaround since they have never qualified for a major tournament and struggled during the last Nations League cycle.

Their win against Cyprus on the opening day of the Nations League campaign ended a two match losing streak at home.

Nineteen-year-old Juventus midfielder Vasilije Adžić is the spark, fresh off bagging a vital brace against Latvia! Sadly, creative flank threat Sead Hakšabanović and experienced fullback Adam Marušić miss out through injury.

Last matches of Montenegro

  1. Latvia

    1 : 2

    Montenegro

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Armenia

    2 : 3

    Montenegro

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Montenegro

    2 : 1

    Cyprus

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Slovakia

    2 : 2

    Montenegro

    Friendly International

  5. Bulgaria

    0 : 1

    Montenegro

    Friendly International

Montenegro lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Balša Popović

Defenders

  • 7

    Marko Vešović

  • 6

    Slobodan Rubežić

  • 5

    Igor Vujačić

  • 3

    Risto Radunović

Midfielders

  • 22

    Stefan Lončar

  • 8

    Marko Janković

  • 17

    Vasilije Adžić

Forwards

  • 20

    Milutin Osmajić

  • 9

    Nikola Krstović

  • 10

    Stevan Joveti

Armenia

Armenia team overview

Armenia enters this one on the back of a disappointing 2-0 defeat away to Cyprus on Friday. The Havakakan must regroup quickly to salvage their promotion hopes in League C Group 2.

Yeghishe Melikyan’s men are under severe pressure, especially since the nation has never qualified for a major tournament and finished dead last in their group during the previous Nations League cycle.

They find themselves trapped in a two match losing streak with five goals conceded and also lost their last five away competitive games.

Al-Ahli's orchestrator Eduard Spertsyan remains their undisputed key player, carrying 13 international goals and a recent strike against Montenegro.

However, the creative engine rooms are weakened by the long-term absence of Lucas Zelarayán for family reasons and the retirement of veteran defender Varazdat Haroyan.

Last matches of Armenia

  1. Cyprus

    2 : 0

    Armenia

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Armenia

    2 : 3

    Montenegro

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Armenia

    2 : 0

    Latvia

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Armenia

    1 : 1

    Moldova

    Friendly International

  5. Armenia

    1 : 1

    Kazakhstan

    Friendly International

Armenia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Ognjen Čančarević

Defenders

  • 3

    Erik Piloyan

  • 5

    Argishti Petrosyan

  • 4

    Georgiy Harutyunyan

  • 2

    Artyom Bandikyan

Midfielders

  • 21

    Nair Tiknizyan

  • 9

    Artur Serobyan

  • 6

    Ugochukwu Iwu

Forwards

  • 10

    Eduard Spertsyan

  • 11

    Zhirayr Shaghoyan

  • 18

    Artur Miranyan

Prediction

Everything points to a high-scoring home win. Montenegro’s defense is a leaky faucet, but their red-hot attack more than makes up for it. I don't see Armenia's fragile away backline surviving a ninety-minute onslaught without Haroyan anchoring them. It's going to get ugly for the visitors. My gut tells me Vasilije Adžić will run riot again. Back Montenegro to lock up a convincing 3-1 victory in Podgorica.

Four reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Montenegro are without a clean sheet in their last nine competitive games.
  2. Armenia finished only one of their last 30 competitive games without conceding.
  3. Four of the last five meetings between Montenegro and Armenia produced 4+ goals.
  4. Bets on over 2.5 goals won in each of the last seven games of Montenegro.

Main prediction Montenegro - Armenia

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.79

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Montenegro vs Armenia standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 2 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Montenegro 3 3 0 0 7 - 4 +3 9
2 Cyprus 3 1 1 1 3 - 2 +1 4
3 Armenia 3 1 0 2 4 - 5 -1 3
4 Latvia 3 0 1 2 1 - 4 -3 1

Montenegro vs Armenia – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Monday’s Nations League encounter.

? How many corners do Montenegro win on average per game in this Nations League campaign?

Around 5.20 per match, which remains a strong attacking indicator for the hosts.

? What about bookings for Armenia per game in this Nations League campaign?

About 1.50 yellow cards on average in their Nations League games.