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Marseille vs Paris FC prediction 06.09.2026 | Ligue 1

Marseille

Marseille

Kick off:

Date:

Paris FC

Paris FC

1

1.87

X

3.96

2

4.37

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 6th September, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

On Sunday evening, Marseille and Paris FC will close the 3rd round of the French Ligue 1. Marseille comes into the match after a 2:0 loss at Monaco and hopes to secure back-to-back home wins, having previously won against Strasbourg in the opening game. Meanwhile, Paris FC will try to extend their unbeaten mini-streak to three, having drawn with Troyes and won against Nice thus far.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.

Marseille vs Paris FC Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Paris FC

    2 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. Marseille

    5 : 2

    Paris FC

    Ligue 1

Last season, these teams met twice. We saw exciting games on both occasions, with Marseille winning 5:2 in their home game, while the match in Paris finished in a 2:2 draw. Those two h2h games are these teams' only head-to-head matches in the 21st century. 

In total, these teams have met eight times, with Marseille securing four wins and Paris FC once. 

Marseille

Marseille team overview

Marseille had a slightly disappointing season, having finished 5th and won 59 points. But considering they won just six more points in the season before, when they finished 2nd, we can safely say they weren't too bad. Over the summer, they replaced coach Habib Beye with Bruno Genesio and are hoping to have a better year. However, looking at their transfer business, we are not really convinced they have gotten better. 

Even though they opened the season well with a win over Strasbourg, the Olympians suffered a 2:0 loss to Monaco in the previous match. Besides losing the game, Marseille also lost two players due to injuries - Geoffrey Kondogbia and Tochukwu Nnadi. Both had to come off the pitch and will most likely be out for the Paris FC game. 

Last matches of Marseille

  1. Monaco

    2 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. Marseille

    4 : 0

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

  3. Marseille

    1 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Club Friendlies 1

  4. Marseille

    3 : 1

    Athletic Bilbao

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Marseille

    3 : 0

    Al Shahaniya

    Club Friendlies 3

Marseille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jeffrey de Lange

Defenders

  • 22

    Timothy Weah

  • 4

    CJ Egan-Riley

  • 21

    Nayef Aguerd

  • 33

    Emerson

Midfielders

  • 8

    Himad Abdelli

  • 7

    Angel Gomes

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

Forwards

  • 77

    Amine Harit

  • 9

    Amine Gouiri

  • 14

    Igor Paixao

Paris FC

Paris FC team overview

Paris FC secured promotion to Ligue 1 in the 2024/25 season, and the goal for the last season was only to survive. We can safely say they fulfilled the expectations, considering they finished 11th - 12 points away from the danger zone. They really did well in the second part of the season, but the club still opted for a coaching change, replacing Antoine Kombouaré with Liam Rosenior. But despite the coaching change, the Parisians started the season well, winning four points in the opening two games. 

In the previous game against Nice, Paris FC won 3:0, but their key defender Otavio suffered an injury and had to leave the field. The 24-year-old was probably the team's best player this season, but will most likely miss the following two to three weeks. Moreover, Jonathan Ikone, Luca Koleosho, and Nhoa Sangui should remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of Paris FC

  1. Paris FC

    3 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  2. Troyes

    0 : 0

    Paris FC

    Ligue 1

  3. Angers

    3 : 2

    Paris FC

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. FSV Mainz

    4 : 0

    Paris FC

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Stuttgart

    2 : 2

    Paris FC

    Club Friendlies 3

Paris FC lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 35

    Kevin Trapp

Defenders

  • 17

    Adama Camara

  • 42

    Diego Coppola

  • 31

    Samir Chergui

  • 14

    Hamari Traoré

Midfielders

  • 21

    Maxime Lopez

  • 7

    Pablo Pagis

  • 33

    Pierre Lees-Melou

Forwards

  • 10

    Ilan Kebbal

  • 9

    Lassine Sinayoko

  • 27

    Moses Simon

Prediction

Marseille had an excellent opening-game win, beating Strasbourg 4:0. Even though they followed that with a 2:0 loss to Monaco, we weren't really disappointed with the performance itself, and the Olympians probably deserved to score at least once. 

Paris FC, on the other hand, scored 3:0 against Nice before drawing 0:0 with Troyes in the opening match. Still, we firmly believe they deserved at least one goal in that game as well. They finished the game with a massive 1.8 xG but weren't clinical. If they continue with such performances, we doubt they will have too many games with zero goals scored. 

Last season, both h2h games ended with both teams scoring. Considering all the above, both teams to score should be the safest option for this Ligue 1 tie.

3 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Marseille won the first home game of the season 4:0 vs Strasbourg
  2. Paris won the previous match 3:0 vs Nice
  3. Both H2H games last season ended with both teams scoring

Main prediction Marseille - Paris FC

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Marseille vs Paris FC standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Monaco 3 3 0 0 5 - 1 +4 9
2 Olympique Lyonnais 3 2 1 0 6 - 2 +4 7
3 LOSC Lille 3 2 1 0 5 - 2 +3 7
4 Paris 2 1 1 0 3 - 0 +3 4
5 Rennes 2 1 1 0 5 - 4 +1 4
6 Troyes 2 1 1 0 2 - 1 +1 4
7 Lens 2 1 0 1 6 - 4 +2 3
8 Olympique Marseille 2 1 0 1 4 - 2 +2 3
9 Angers SCO 2 1 0 1 3 - 3 0 3
10 Strasbourg 2 1 0 1 2 - 5 -3 3
11 Brest 2 0 2 0 4 - 4 0 2
12 Paris Saint Germain 3 0 2 1 5 - 6 -1 2
13 Le Mans 2 0 1 1 4 - 5 -1 1
14 Lorient 2 0 1 1 1 - 2 -1 1
15 Le Havre 2 0 1 1 1 - 2 -1 1
16 Toulouse 3 0 1 2 2 - 5 -3 1
17 Nice 2 0 1 1 0 - 3 -3 1
18 Auxerre 3 0 0 3 4 - 11 -7 0

Marseille vs Paris FC – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Marseille this season?

The average xG for Marseille in Ligue 1 this season is 1.66.

? How much is the average xG for Paris FC this season?

The average xG for Paris FC in Ligue 1 this season is 1.18.